Federal Review Composite Poll (5/18): Bush 275-Kerry 263

[phillybri]

http://www.federalreview.com/compositepoll.htm



Turn Toward Kerry Bush 46.83 | Kerry 49.45
May 18, 2004

The polls are heading Kerry's way, as he gets his biggest lead this week in the Composite Poll. Bush maintains a very slight lead in the Electoral Vote -- held up by state polling. If Arkansas falls into the Kerry column, we'd have a tied race, and the House of Representatives would supplant the Electoral College.

Now, to the data.

This Week’s Polls
Zogby
Newsweek
CNN/Time
Rasmussen Research
Iowa Electronic Market

Last Week’s Poll
FoxNews / Opinion Dynamics
CNN / USA Today / Gallup
Rasmussen Research
Quinnipiac University Poll
Iowa Electronic Market

Bush State Gains
None

Kerry State Gains
New Mexico
Wisconsin

[dusty64]

1. A Kerry gain of 15 ev's

since last time. http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=523996

For what its worth I disagree with PA has a rethug lean and the latest polls I've seen have Arkansas and Arizona has ties.

[phillybri]

2. I agree w/ you about PA....

I just don't see it going red. Especially when Hoeffel should hand Specter his lunch in the Senate race.

AR and AZ are definite toss-ups...

[kodi]

8. i'm with you both. no way pa goes repuke this year, unless ridge is vp

one reason i would not be disappointed with gephardt on the ticket is that his ties with traditional labor would help put feet on the ground in the industrial based battleground states, pa being one of them.

[phillybri]

3. NC could be in play as well...

http://www.journalnow.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=WSJ%2FMGArticle%2FWSJ_BasicArticle&c=MGArticle&cid=1031775539061

Adding Edwards may help Kerry
N.C. running mate would create a challenge for Bush in state, poll finds

If the presidential election were held this month, North Carolinians would choose President Bush over Sen. John Kerry in large numbers - unless Sen. John Edwards was on the ticket, too, according to a new statewide poll.

Bush handily beat Kerry 48 percent to 41 percent in a Mason-Dixon poll released yesterday.

But with Edwards as Kerry's vice-presidential running mate, the race tightens to a statistical dead heat - 46 percent to 45 percent.

[phillybri]

4. Kick

:kick:

[phillybri]

5. One more kick for the afternoon crowd...

:kick:

[dusty64]

6. any other

comments?

[NewYorkerfromMass]

7. If this poll shows PA for Bush then it's in the bag for Kerry

Teresa Heinz will deliver!