Who do you predict will win your county?

[ButterflyBlood]

Blue Earth County, Minnesota voted for * by a very narrow margin in 2000, Nader took almost 3 times what Gore would need. Kerry wins here by at least 4 points is my prediction.

[TSIAS]

1. Kerry by a big margin

Gore took 62.3% to Bush's 35.3% in Palm Beach County in 2000.

[dryan]

33. Great!

Where did the 500 votes for Bush come from?

PS - I love Palm Beach!

[billbuckhead]

2. I live in Fulton County Georgia and it won't be close

Kerry will win my county and Bush will win Georgia.

[theo4487]

3. Dallas County Texas here

Bush will win both

[newyawker99]

10. Hi theo4487!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

[mitchum]

5. I live in Athens-Clarke County Georgia and Kerry will handily...

win here also. Unfortunately, you are correct; Bush will win Georgia.

[Feanorcurufinwe]

4. My county since 1960

Missoula County, Montana

1960 - Nixon
1964 - Johnson
1968 - Nixon
1972 - Nixon
1976 - Ford
1980 - Reagan
1984 - Reagan
1988 - Dukakis
1992 - Clinton
1996 - Clinton
2000 - Bush
2004 - Kerry!

[NoPasaran]

6. Travis County,Texas

Went rethug in 2000 for the first time since the earth was flat. I think we will fix that this time.

[Zynx]

7. Bush will win Waukesha, WI by a big margin.

[eyesroll]

12. Yep.

I'm there, too.
Last time, I read somewhere (can't find it anywhere now) that Bush took a greater percentage of the vote in Waukesha County than he did in any other county of its size in the country (it's the third-biggest county in Wisconsin, so this doesn't include a county of 200 rural Texans or anything, but it's still a dubious accomplishment).

[ButterflyBlood]

19. there were some suburban Texas counties that went for a wider margin

and our larger. pretty much any county bordering Dallas county.

[Arkana]

8. Hoo yeah

Worcester County in MA. This is Kerry's home turf. We don't, er, take kindly to Repukes here (except for that scumbag Romney), so it's safe to say Kerry by a landslide here.

[Gothmog]

9. Gore carried Harris county in 2000

Gore carried Harris County in Texas by 3 or 4% in 2000. I expect the same to happen in 2004.

[Monte Carlo]

11. In Plymouth County, MA?

Where it all began? Kerry, most certainly.

[WI_DEM]

13. easy Kerry

Dane County, Wisconsin including city of Madison is hugely Democratic and will give Kerry a big win, but it will also be one of Nader's best counties--he might attract 10% here and win some of the more progressive wards on the Isthmus in the city of Madison.

[fujiyama]

14. Wayne County

MI, one of the counties with the largest margin of victory for Gore. Granted, I'm on the western part of it...and unfortunately I think Bush will carry this district. I do have a repuke representing it..

[Lydia Leftcoast]

15. Hennepin County Minnesota

has some suburban Republicans, but its greatest population center is Minneapolis, which is solidly Democratic and where Dennis Kucinich polled at least 20% in most precincts. No way are the Minneapolitans going for Bush.

[phillybri]

16. Wake County, NC is solidly Dem...

:thumbsup:

[phillybri]

22. Holy shit! I was wrong. Look at this map...

http://www.usatoday.com/news/vote2000/cbc/nccbc.htm

[TN al]

17. Wilson County...

...where the freepers are plentiful and unusually hard headed. They would vote for osama if Steve Gill, local rush clone, told them too.

[aldian159]

18. Kerry in a rout

I live in Cook County, IL. Need I say more?

[mohinoaklawnillinois]

24. No, nuff said.

Hell, "bunnypants" won't even bother to come to Cook County, IL except to land Air Force One at ORD when he's campaigning in DuPage, Lake, McHenry or Kane.

[Doomsayer13]

20. Santa Barbara county

The Coast and city are very liberal, but there are some hardcore wingnuts over the hills in the valley. We went to Bush 52%.

[Mountainman]

21. I used to live in Santa Barbara County

I was amazed to find that the coast was liberal then I thought about why people live at the coast. They want the openness and ocean view. Repubs want to develop the shit out of every square inch of coastline.

[Scoopie]

23. Unfortunately

The Chimpinator will claim my county - which is in the heart of the most conservative voting district in the country.

[bluedog]

25. florida

PInellas county.....big republican group of seniors.and the country club.tax break types...

[VOX]

26. L.A. County, CA -- liberal to the extent that Kerry should breeze by...

In 2000, Gore won 63% to 42%.

But am not taking anything for granted this time out.

[jsw_81]

27. King County, Washington

Definitely Kerry; We went for Gore by a landslide in 2000.

[Progressive420]

28. I live in a rural county

and its pretty conservative around here but all of our local officials and all of our state officials are democrat so i see that as a pretty strong indicator that this county will go Kerry

[BigEdMustapha]

29. Bush - Ellis County, Texas

We are adjacent and almost directly south of Dallas county - but out far enough in the sticks to make us solid Bush country...

[MallRat]

30. Landslide counties are becoming more common.

I caught this fascinating column last week- someone here at DU posted the link to it at csmonitor.com. In short, political segregation is a rapidly developing trend in the US.

Your ideology and political values are becoming an important determinant of where you live.

You have to wonder what might happen if you carry this trend out to its most extreme conclusion. 20-30 years from now, if our venomous political climate worsens, will Red and Blue America become so geographically distinct that civil war actually becomes possible?

-MR


================================
A suddenly segregated red and blue US?
By Dante Chinni

"The world is an extraordinarily complex mix of ideas and factions, and the problems we face as a people are probably as multifaceted as any in recent memory. Yet here we are, six months before November, with an election that looks like something out of Sesame Street: The 2004 presidential race, brought to you by the colors red and blue."

(snip)

"Polls and election results suggest two things: On the whole, the nation is as close to a 50/50 political split as possible - witness the 2000 presidential race and the makeup of the House and Senate. But zero in on specific communities, and the map turns monochromatic - all red or all blue."

"In a lengthy series of articles, the Austin American-Statesman examined how the number of communities that are entirely red (Republican) or entirely blue (Democratic) have grown dramatically. In the closely fought 1976 presidential race, about 26 percent of the nation's counties went by landslide margins for one candidate or the other. By the 2000 election, the number of landslide counties had climbed to 45 percent."

"And the split is more than just political; it is cultural. The people who live in these areas all eat and drink at certain kinds of restaurants and shop at certain kinds of stores."

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/0506/p09s02-codc.html

[5thGenDemocrat]

31. Saginaw County, Michigan

Will go for Kerry easy.
John
Like, wider than 60-40 IMHO.

[last_texas_dem]

32. Orange County, TX

I'm saying * unfortunately. Orange has only voted for Re:puke:s twice in "recent" elections: Nixon in 1972 and Shrub in 2000. But Shrub took over 60-percent of the vote in 2000, and Orange is trending more and more Re:puke for various reasons. Since the shipyards closed in the city the union presence has disappeared, the older voters (the yellow dog Dems) are dying off, and the shift of the South to voting solid Re:puke: seems to be taking over the few holdout counties, like those in SE TX. Plus, there's plenty of fools down here who will vote for * just because he's from Texas...

[dryan]

34. Orange County, Florida

Kerry will win...Gore won here in 2000. Hey, how many "Orange Counties" are there?

[Renew Deal]

35. Nassau County NY went to Gore

And I bet it will go to Kerry

[rebellious woman]

36. Berkshire County, Mass.....Kerry Country

[DrFunkenstein]

Hudson County, NJ

We are the people on the train going to protest the convention...

[DU GrovelBot]

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[Psst_Im_Not_Here]

38. That's an easy one

Bush by a big margin here in Colorado Springs...home of "Focus on the Family". BUT, hubby and I will be taking away at least 2 votes from the (*&^)(&.And doing our best to convince more people to take away some more votes.