Research 2000: Kerry with large lead in Vermont

[Nicholas_J]

Burlington, Vermont - May 5, 2004

All the figures were bad for President Bush. John Kerry has nearly twice the favorability rating of the President and Mr. Bush's unfavorable rating was 16 points higher than Kerry's.

Vermonters do not think much of the President's job performance either. Even before the current problems with soldiers guarding Iraqi prisoners, Mr. Bush's performance rating was 35% good and 48% fair and 14% think it is poor.

So, the bottom line is if the election were held today, Kerry would take 51% of the vote to Mr. Bush's 36%. Ralph Nader is a relatively inconsequential factor at this point.

"Mr. Bush is in trouble in Vermont. The big problem for him is: not only does he lose to Kerry, and Kerry is over 50%, but Ralph Nader's possible candidacy would not have an effect at this point. Even though Nader has 4%, Kerry not only leads the president, he leads him with 51%. The other problem is he is not liked by Vermont voters. He's got very low favorables, and very high unfavorables, and his job disapproval rating is over 60%, while only 32% approve oft he job he is doing," says Del Ali with polling firm Research 2000.

http://www.wcax.com/Global/story.asp?S=1842745&nav=4QcSMrmO

All that is left of the Northeast for Kerry to have a sweep of the region is New Hampshire where he is ahead, but too close too tell.

WIth a focus on the midwest and western U.S. Kerry could win the electoral college without a single southern state.