15% of Clinton voters will be unsatisfied if she gets the nomination?!?

[skipos]

From dailykos.com

Here is an interesting tidbit from the Mississippi exit poll. Look at the percentage of Hillary Clinton voters who are dissatisfied with the idea of an eventual Clinton nomination:

A full 15% of voters who said they voted for Hillary Clinton say they will be unsatisfied if she gets the nomination. In contrast, only 4% of Obama voters say the same about their candidate.

Looking at other exit polls, we see a similar result. In Ohio, for example (which was also an open primary), 12% of Clinton voters said they would be unsatisfied if Clinton were the nominee, while only 3% of Obama voters would be unsatisfied with Obama.

In Texas (open primary), 10% of Clinton voters would not be satisfied if she were the nominee to Obama's 7%.

In Tennessee (also an open primary), 11% of Clinton voters would be unhappy with Clinton as nominee, and only 4% of Obama voters unhappy with their candidate.

The phenomenon doesn't appear to be universal (in Wisconsin, for example, the numbers break down 4% for Clinton and 6% for Obama). But it is prevalent enough to merit a closer look. Why are upwards of 1 in 10 Clinton voters in some states unsatisfied with the prospect of a Clinton nomination? Does that number reflect Republican crossover votes? A little mischief perhaps? After all, Clinton did dominate the Republican vote in Mississippi (75%-25%). Is a certain block of Hillary's "support," in other words, an effort to nominate a candidate they think will be "weaker" in the general election?

Or, on the flip side (and less likely, I think), are some voters picking the candidate they thing will be the "strongest," even if they don't necessarily like that candidate?

The same questions apply to Obama's "dissatisfied" voters, of course, but to a lesser degree.
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/3/12/02257/1544/210/474723

[ingac70]

1. Musta been them Dittohead disrupters...

answering those exit polls.

[havocmom]

2. Are they holding out for a coronation instead?

:shrug:

[Cali_Democrat]

3. Before the Republicans started really meddling in open primaries Obama was winning them

After what Rush Limbaugh was said along withe the rest of the radio talk show hosts, it looks like they're all going for Hillary. Initial Republican support for Obama was genuine. Republican support for Hillary is not genuine and they're trying to cause chaos by helping Hillary.

[Tarheel_Dem]

4. She clearly has Rush Limbaugh & Laura Ingraham to thank for her

survival. I thought the exit polls of Clinton voters who would not vote for Obama seemed inflated. Neither of them is going to win Mississippi, but 72% of her voters won't support Obama. Whereas, just over 50% of Obama supporters felt the same way about supporting her. She owes her wins in OH, TX & MS to Republican chicanery.

I feel vindicated, and so should Obama.

[woolldog]

10. Is the North Carolina primary open?

[Tarheel_Dem]

12. LMAO...

I'm ashamed to say, but I don't know. I'll have to check. I've never ever really been concerned about NC primaries, because the candidate's always been chosen before they get to us. This will be my first primary. Don't be mean to me, I need DU love.

:hi:

[Tarheel_Dem]

14. I just found out that Dem, Repub, Libertarian primaries are OPEN

to UNAFFILIATED VOTERS ONLY. From the State B.O.E. website, it appears that Independents can vote in any of the above. So as I read it, Repubs aren't welcome.

What about other changes?
It is important that the board of elections is able to contact you by mail to inform you of changes to your polling place and/or voting districts. Therefore, any changes to your mailing address should be reported. Name changes and party affiliation changes should be made upon your decision to change them. Note that a person must be registered with a political party in order to participate in its party's primary unless the party has opened its primary to unaffiliated voters. The following parties have opened their primaries to unaffiliated voters: Democratic, Libertarian, and Republican. Note that on the day of any primary election, an unaffiliated voter may choose to participate in only one party's primary.

http://www.sboe.state.nc.us/NCSBE/VR/vr_update.html

[Umbram]

5. Kick. nt.

[BzaDem]

6. Um, even a dittohead voting for a candidate should be satisfied with that candidate being nominated

so McLame can win in November.

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

7. At first blush, you think "What a pointless question."

Having just voted for that person.

Obviously there is a point to it, though.

[Umbram]

My thoughts exactly. (nt)

[TheWebHead]

8. this is troubling

but I think you have to recognize that those who are causing mischief would be more likely to want to be surveyed afterwards to essentially gloat about what they're doing, so the numbers could be inflated quite a bit.

[mojowork_n]

9. I can think of only two explanations

Highly motivated movement conservatives crossing over to skew the totals, for their "dream" Democrat, or it's the "grumpy old coot, we don't like nothin' and nobody" voting bloc.

[Drachasor]

11. Grumpy Theory doesn't work...

The exit polls distinguish between not being happy with Hillary, and not being happy with ANYONE.

That said, Hillary won the "not happy with anyone" vote by a huge margin in Mississippi at least.

[ctaylors6]

13. If asked after I voted last week, I don't think I could have said "satisfied"

I wanted to pick one the two remaining candidates and not write in, so I voted for one of them. I'll vote for the eventual nominee too. However, the two left probably would have been my last 2 choices out of the bunch that started.