TX EARLY VOTING: OBAMA 56% 484,538 CLINTON 43% 367,632

[Unsane]

Per HuffPo & Sludge

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Not exit polls, results. Don't get your hopes up, that lead will shrink a bit.

I feel better about Texas, as an Obama supporter, but it will tighten.

[panader0]

9. Pretty sure these are the early voter numbers. Still. Gotta love 'em!

[book_worm]

10. I agree.

I just want a win in TX doesn't matter how big.

[jgraz]

2. link please

[NightWatcher]

3. they reported the numbers from large cities first- big obama base

ohio is doing the opposite. I still predict that OH and TX will be close (less than 6 points difference)

[Drunken Irishman]

The problem here is I doubt they counted the votes that fast in the larger cities.

Generally it takes a few hours to count major cities.

[Coexist]

4. thats just the early voting numbers - no precincts yet.

[nomorewhopper]

23. i believe it's about 30% of the total votes they expect in TX

almost 900,000 votes counted wow

i've heard that 3 million votes are expected to be cast in the dem primary in texas.

[cottonseed]

34. Expected votes, about 3.7 million.

From this link atleast:

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/04/730141.aspx

[nomorewhopper]

37. wow

thats a lot of votes

[Coexist]

44. so he needs 1,365,000 of those remaining votes to stay in the lead

how does that square w/the exit polls.

[Coexist]

45. according to the latest exit polls, he has enough to win.

if they are right.

[BeatleBoot]

5. It's totallly over now..

by golly...


:rofl:

[Renew Deal]

6. Those are early results, not exits.

That's from early voting.

[demo dutch]

7. Only 1% reporting, Obama precincts first

[awaysidetraveler]

28. Which precincts are those?

Houston?

[demo dutch]

43. yes

[MonkeyFunk]

8. How stupid

those are early results with 1% reporting. Not exit polls.

Glad you wasted a thread on this.

[TAWS]

15. It may be 1% reporting but thats at least 25% of the total votes cast n/t

[Unsane]

20. agreed. 750,000 can't be 1%

[JackORoses]

25. It is Early vote Totals plus 1% of Today's tally

Obama is kicking ass!

[BringBigDogBack]

27. Yep.

[LostinVA]

22. Whaaa -- that makes absolutely zero sense

1% of 1%.

[cottonseed]

32. Expected votes, about 3.7 million. So, in fact, that does make sense.

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/04/730141.aspx

[NJSecularist]

11. Those are not exit polls

Just early numbers.

[grantcart]

12. dont believe it save your posts its going to be a long night

[Blarch]

13. MSNBC 1% in ...

I would imagine things will tighten a bit.

[FlyingSquirrel]

14. Oh, THANKS Sludge!

:sarcasm:

[MaraJade]

16. Some BLOWOUT

With only 1-2% of polls reporting. . .

Sheesh

:crazy:

[thewiseguy]

19. 900K of the votes are in

This would be about 30% of the total vote. They probably are not assigning precints to them because they are the early votes.

[Drunken Irishman]

21. Look at the total votes, almost 1 million.

With 1%, that suggests about one hundred million Texas Democrats voted today, that isn't possible. The 1% is default, probably early voting and that means Clinton will need to win the voting TODAY by 13+ to beat Obama in Texas.

[JackORoses]

26. These totals are Early Voting + 1% of today's voting

Your girl is going down, friend.

[curvy rider]

41. Yes, I think we are rushing a bit

Many things can change with 98% of votes left to be counted.

[William769]

17. Actually the two you reference are both laughable!

But hey hold on to that if you feel better, when South and South West Texas comes in and the Early votes are counted with in the next two hours it will be a blow out, but it will be in favor of Hillary.

[blocker]

18. Looks good for Obama, clinton looks good in ohio

Oh god, it looks like a tie tonight if it holds up,the good news for obama are the coming states before PA.

[MadBadger]

24. They are early voting numbers, and Clinton areas havent come in yet

[cottonseed]

29. Expected primary votes: 3.6 to 3.8 million.

From this link:

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/04/730141.aspx

So, these early votes look pretty good. a lead of 150K in the early voting I'll take. We'll have to see what the precincts are reporting.

[DLnyc]

30. To reply to several here, 484,538 + 367,632 = 852,170. That's more that 1%

Unless 85,000,000 are going to vote in TX, that's way more than 1% of the vote.

Reasonable assumption: 852,170 is 1/2 of 1.7 million, the expected total, I think. They (CNN) apparently have official returns from 1% of TODAY'S vote in and ALL of the early voting.

Sooooooo, Hillary would need to get something like 56/43 advantage today to tie it up. But today';s vote is not likely to be vastly different than early vote. Soooooo. Probably a big win for Obama in primary percentage. Delegate percentage depends how that win is distributed over districts. But an educated guess might give Obama a nice gain in delegates from the state of Texas, for which I must admit I've gained some respect recently.

[backscatter712]

31. Very good sign so far.

I do suspect the lead will close by a bit, but let's hope that Texas remains an Obama state.

[VolcanoJen]

33. I LOVE TEXAS!!

Temporarily, until November, of course.

KIDDING!

Way to Go TEXAS! We Buckeyes have been honored to share our GOTV effort with our Junior Tuesday Partners!!!

[RiverStone]

35. Then we have the caucus totals...anybody know when they will be reported?

Good news so far anyway....:)

[meow mix]

36. looking like this number will hold

:bounce:

[TexasLady]

38. I just got back from my precinct convention

in my widdle precinct in Bell County, Obama is doin juuuuust fine. :D

The turnout was so huge, our precinct chair was kinda freakin. Soo many warm beautiful bodies.

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

39. So really that's about ~25% reporting, right?

[cottonseed]

40. Yes.. 1 million counted -- expecting about 3.7 million.

Count:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#TX

Expected:

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/03/04/730141.aspx

[tulip]

42. TX 179 precincts in out of 8,247

http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/mar04_136_state.htm?x=0&y=278&id=503

[loveangelc]

46. when they were reporting the numbers not long ago they said houston/austin/dallas

had not yet reported...

but i saw them being reported on the cnn website

was it early voting?