|
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend Bookmark this thread |
This topic is archived. |
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:00 PM Original message |
Reverse Bradley Effect? Barack Obama continues to out perform polls |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
C_U_L8R (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:01 PM Response to Original message |
1. it has nothing to do with Bradley |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
Drunken Irishman (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:01 PM Response to Original message |
2. I think a lot of it has to do with the fact there are so many new voters. |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
NJSecularist (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:02 PM Response to Original message |
3. I'm not so sure.. some of those states were underpolled |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:05 PM Response to Reply #3 |
6. states that didn't have several recent polls were not included |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
MindMatter (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 09:21 PM Response to Reply #3 |
16. Or were they over-hoped? :) |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
Barack_America (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:03 PM Response to Original message |
4. Will we soon talk about the "Hillary Effect"? |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
Liberal Dose (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Mar-04-08 05:31 PM Response to Reply #4 |
30. I can't believe I was writing to Hillary 5 years ago, begging her to run. IMO she has changed so |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
MadBadger (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:04 PM Response to Original message |
5. I think its all those new voters Obama brings in that wouldnt be considered "likely" voters |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
WHAT (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 11:10 PM Response to Reply #5 |
19. my theory is... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
tritsofme (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:06 PM Response to Original message |
7. Not really an assumption you can make when there are substantial undecideds |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:21 PM Response to Reply #7 |
14. that would only be true if all undecideds voted. All appearences point |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
OzarkDem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:06 PM Response to Original message |
8. He's still losing in Ohio |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
jefferson_dem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:07 PM Response to Original message |
9. Hi grantcart. I just posted a thread on this same topic. |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:08 PM Response to Reply #9 |
12. lol I didn't see it |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
theboss (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:07 PM Response to Original message |
10. Cell phones have destroyed pre-election polling |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
WillyT (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:07 PM Response to Original message |
11. K & R !!! |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
tekisui (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 08:09 PM Response to Original message |
13. NH and CA are the only negative anomalies. |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
Tom Joad (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 09:02 PM Response to Original message |
15. think it has something to do with people changing their mind and going with the momentum... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Mar-04-08 05:04 PM Response to Reply #15 |
26. also people who are not really committed find an excuse not to vote |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
BearSquirrel2 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 10:46 PM Response to Original message |
17. I suspect weightings ... |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-03-08 12:04 AM Response to Reply #17 |
20. i agree |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
VolcanoJen (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Sun Mar-02-08 10:49 PM Response to Original message |
18. It's the turnout model thing |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-03-08 12:10 PM Response to Reply #18 |
23. Also how do you factor 1,000,000 phone calls or 1,000,000 |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
saltpoint (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-03-08 06:03 AM Response to Original message |
21. Very useful post and good insight. |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-03-08 03:54 PM Response to Reply #21 |
24. tks it will be very interesting to see tomorrow if it holds true again |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
Scurrilous (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-03-08 09:51 AM Response to Original message |
22. K & R |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Mon Mar-03-08 05:34 PM Response to Original message |
25. kick |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
democrattotheend (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Mar-04-08 05:04 PM Response to Original message |
27. I have a bad feeling the opposite may happen tonight |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
grantcart (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Mar-04-08 05:28 PM Response to Reply #27 |
29. remember exits wont have early voters |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
awaysidetraveler (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Mar-04-08 05:26 PM Response to Original message |
28. Nice post! I've noticed the same thing. |
Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top |
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) | Wed May 08th 2024, 08:35 AM Response to Original message |
Advertisements [?] |
Top |
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators
Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.
Home | Discussion Forums | Journals | Store | Donate
About DU | Contact Us | Privacy Policy
Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.
© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC