Rasmussen Maryland Obama 57% Clinton 31%

[Perky]

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/maryland/maryland_democratic_presidential_primary

Saturday, February 09, 2008
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In Maryland, Barack Obama appears headed for a large victory over Hillary Clinton on Tuesday. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race shows Obama with 57% of the vote and Clinton twenty-six percentage points behind at 31%.

Clinton leads just 43% to 41% among white voters while Obama leads 82% to 12% among African-Americans. Clinton leads among white women while Obama leads among white men.

Seventy-three percent (73%) have a favorable opinion of Clinton, including 81% of women and 62% of men.

For Obama, 83% offer a favorable opinion. That figure includes 95% of African-Americans. There is no gender gap in attitudes towards Obama.

Eighty-three percent (83%) of Likely Voters believe that Obama would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Seventy-nine percent (79%) have such confidence if nominated.

Forty-eight percent (48%) view the economy as the top voting issue while 21% see the War in Iraq as the highest priority.

Obama also leads in new polling for Tuesday’s Democratic Presidential Primary in Virginia. Clinton has a modest lead over Obama nationally in the daily Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll.

A Rasmussen Reports analysis of the political environment for Election 2008 shows a nation deeply concerned about its future and searching for leadership. While this should be good news for the Democrats, the continuing stalemate between Clinton and Obama could create problems for their team in the fall.

Rasmussen Markets data on Saturday morning shows that Obama has a 90% chance of winning in Virginia. He is also expected to do well in Maryland, Louisiana, Washington, and Nebraska. Obama is favored in Maine, but Clinton is given a better chance in that state (see the latest market results for upcoming states), Nationally, the markets now give Obama a 61.1% chance of winning the nomination while expectations for Clinton are at 40.0%. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

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[Perky]

1. kick

[Perky]

2. kick

[AnnieBW]

3. No big surprise there.

Maryland is pretty liberal, and has a lot of African-Americans. My bet is, from living here, that Anne Arundel County (Annapolis area), Southern Maryland, Western Maryland and Eastern Shore will go for Hillary. Baltimore City, Montgomery, and Prince Georges County will go heavily for Obama. Tossups will be the exurb counties of Baltimore, Frederick, Howard, and Carroll Counties.

DC will go overwhelmingly for Obama

Virginia will split along the traditional lines - NoVA will go for Obama, and the southern portions will go for Hillary.

[NOVA_Dem]

10. Sounds about right n/t

[Leopolds Ghost]

11. Southern Maryland will go gor Obama.

Blacks make such a high percentage of the vote in those rural counties
(Charles County is both historically a mix of black and white southerners,
and middle class blacks from the DC area) to make Charles County contested
in November (Gore won it, and Kerry too I think)... I believe those rural
counties (Charles at least) will go Obama on the strength of black vote.

[AnnieBW]

12. I think you're right

So, MoCo, PG, St. Mary's, Charles and Baltimore City for Obama. Baltimore County, Eastern Shore and Western MD for Hillary. I'd put Howard in the Obama column, Frederick and Carroll in Hillary's.

[HughMoran]

4. SUSA has similar numbers - 52-33

Maryland - 2-8-08

[joshcryer]

5. Late deciders break overwhelmingly for Clinton.

[NJSecularist]

7. Untrue

[HughMoran]

8. Yeah, I dunno

I was just posting a second poll for reference.

[cali]

9. Maybe. I think we have to wait and see

how it sugars off on Tues.

[cali]

6. I like those numbers but I'd be surprised if he won by that much