SUSA Poll Maryland: Obama 52% Clinton 33%

[Perky]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c0543f1a-189f-4fb7-9345-09977fc98ed8

Maryland Democratic Primary: White Voters Split, Black Voters Propel Obama to Strong Advantage - In a Democratic Primary in Maryland today, 4 days to the vote, Barack Obama defeats Hillary Clinton, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WJLA-TV Washington DC. White voters split, 42% for Clinton, 40% for Obama. But Obama leads 4:1 among African Americans. When all likely voters are combined, it's 52% Obama, 33% Clinton. In the city of Baltimore, Obama leads by 31. In the Baltimore suburbs, Obama leads by 8. In the rest of Maryland, Obama leads by 23. Among seniors, Clinton leads by 15 points. But Obama leads among voters under age 65, including a 39-point advantage among voters age 35 to 49. If younger voters do not vote in the numbers here forecast, Obama's margin is overstated. At stake is a larger share of Maryland's 99 proportionally allocated delegates to the Democratic National Convention.

Filtering: 1,700 state of Maryland adults were interviewed 02/07/08 and 02/08/08. Of them, 1,527 were registered to vote. Of them, 737 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/12/08 Maryland Democratic Primary.

[Colobo]

1. Obama will win MD!

[Perky]

4. He is going to win everything left this month

The real question is whether that winning streak translate in to momentum for Ohio and Texas.Hillary has top be cpounting on those two ad a firewall.

I am just not sure what happend in those states. Texas is closed and It might prove to be a wash there AA and anti Hillary folks teames up with latte drinkers migt drwa with women and Hispanics. The problems is that Hillary does not do well with women in the South if you look at SC/GA/AL Tennessee is a bit of an anomoly and AR is a favortite daughter issue.

In Ohio. I would have to see polling. Obama is weak with unions and Hillary has the Governor in her shop. So I think she wins there unless with an open priomay and no race on the GOP side at that point. Indies vote in droves for Obama because they do not like McCain. He might need to pick a fight with McCain a week out.

Afte that. with the exception of the PA mystery...I believe Obama is going to pretty much run the table

9-Feb-08 Louisiana primary
9-Feb-08 Nebraska caucus
9-Feb-08 U.S. Virgin Islands primary
9-Feb-08 Washington caucus
10-Feb-08 Maine caucus
12-Feb-08 District of Columbia primary
12-Feb-08 Maryland primary
12-Feb-08 Virginia primary
19-Feb-08 Hawaii caucus
19-Feb-08 Wisconsin primary
4-Mar-08 Ohio primary
4-Mar-08 Rhode Island primary
4-Mar-08 Texas Hybrid
4-Mar-08 Vermont primary
8-Mar-08 Wyoming caucus
11-Mar-08 Mississippi primary
22-Apr-08 Pennsylvania primary
3-May-08 Guam primary
6-May-08 Indiana primary
6-May-08 North Carolina primary
13-May-08 West Virginia primary
20-May-08 Kentucky primary
20-May-08 Oregon primary
1-Jun-08 Puerto Rico primary
3-Jun-08 Montana primary
3-Jun-08 South Dakota primary

[cali]

2. That's a margin I could live with but

I'd love to see him beat her by 25+ pts in MD.

[Olney Blue]

5. I think Obama will win in MD, but I think it will be very close.

[usregimechange]

3. This is a state he will win, all the demographics favor him