Obama Takes 4 point lead in Connecticut

[Perky]

Connecticut -- The Entire Democratic Nomination Battle Boiled Down to Its Essence: Few if any states present as perfect a microcosm of the Hillary Clinton - Barack Obama drama as does Connecticut. Men back Obama. Women back Clinton. Young voters back Obama. Older voters back Clinton. White voters split. Black voters back Obama. Hispanics back Clinton. Moderates back Clinton. Liberals back Obama. Voters focused on Health Care back Clinton. Voters focused on Iraq split. Voters focused on the Economy split. When all is added up, 4 days to the 02/05/08 Primary, it's Obama 48%, Clinton 44%, within the survey's 3.8 point margin of sampling error. Effectively tied. Given that 29% of voters say they may yet change their mind, it's not just tied, it's fluid. Obama leads in greater Hartford and New Haven. Clinton leads in the rest of the state. Relative turnout of men vs women, young vs old, white vs black, will largely shape the outcome.

Filtering / Timing: 2,300 state of CT adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. All interviews completed after results of the Florida Primary were known. All interviews completed after John Edwards withdrew from the race. All interviews completed before the Democratic debate in California that began 8 pm ET on 01/31/08. During the field period for this survey, Obama received prominent endorsements. Of the adults interviewed, 2,011 were registered to vote. Of them, 679 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Primary.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a1098963-1ba9-4f53-b67c-e9a7583fb60e

[Nimrod2005]

1. Good morning to you too!!!

[agdlp]

2. Black Obama 75 %, Clinton 21 - Hispanic Obama 21 %, Clinton 73 %, White Obama 45 %, Clinton 45 %

:-)

[Perky]

12. Pretty telling huh.

[stillcool]

14. Keep pounding that race shit home...

I just love the boomerang effect...

Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13283

Connecticut -- The Entire Democratic Nomination Battle Boiled Down to Its Essence: Few if any states present as perfect a microcosm of the Hillary Clinton - Barack Obama drama as does Connecticut. Men back Obama. Women back Clinton. Young voters back Obama. Older voters back Clinton. White voters split. Black voters back Obama. Hispanics back Clinton. Moderates back Clinton. Liberals back Obama. Voters focused on Health Care back Clinton. Voters focused on Iraq split. Voters focused on the Economy split. When all is added up, 4 days to the 02/05/08 Primary, it's Obama 48%, Clinton 44%, within the survey's 3.8 point margin of sampling error. Effectively tied. Given that 29% of voters say they may yet change their mind, it's not just tied, it's fluid. Obama leads in greater Hartford and New Haven. Clinton leads in the rest of the state. Relative turnout of men vs women, young vs old, white vs black, will largely shape the outcome.

Filtering / Timing: 2,300 state of CT adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. All interviews completed after results of the Florida Primary were known. All interviews completed after John Edwards withdrew from the race. All interviews completed before the Democratic debate in California that began 8 pm ET on 01/31/08. During the field period for this survey, Obama received prominent endorsements. Of the adults interviewed, 2,011 were registered to vote. Of them, 679 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Primary.

1 If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
679 Likely Voters All Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Ideology Attend Religious Service Abortion Change Your Mind Top Issue For Next President Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8% Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispanic Other Conserva Moderate Liberal Regularl Occasion Almost N Pro-life Pro-choi Could Ch Mind Mad Economy Environm Health C Iraq Terroris Social S Educatio Immigrat Fairfiel Hartford New Have Rest of
Clinton 44% 33% 53% 35% 39% 46% 56% 38% 50% 45% 21% 73% 37% 38% 48% 42% 48% 45% 39% 44% 44% 39% 47% 46% 21% 51% 43% 33% 63% 15% 59% 48% 41% 39% 49%
Obama 48% 59% 39% 61% 52% 45% 33% 55% 40% 45% 75% 21% 60% 51% 43% 52% 42% 46% 56% 42% 50% 40% 50% 46% 74% 40% 49% 54% 14% 75% 25% 44% 50% 53% 41%
Other 4% 4% 3% 0% 5% 2% 6% 3% 4% 4% 1% 2% 3% 7% 4% 2% 5% 4% 2% 7% 3% 7% 2% 3% 2% 5% 3% 8% 10% 3% 5% 3% 4% 3% 4%
Undecided 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 7% 5% 4% 6% 6% 2% 4% 0% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6% 4% 7% 4% 14% 1% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 12% 7% 10% 5% 5% 4% 6%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Likely Voters 100% 45% 55% 16% 33% 32% 19% 49% 51% 77% 13% 7% 4% 8% 46% 30% 40% 27% 32% 24% 73% 29% 70% 40% 6% 16% 21% 3% 3% 5% 4% 23% 28% 27% 22%

[Perky]

15. I am not sure that was the intent. note the split among white voters.

It is tied at 45/45... and Obama is getting a huge majority among AA voters.

If it is race baiting it is a pretty bad case ..

[stillcool]

17. Do you think this statement...

accurately reflects the polling data:

Black Obama 75 %, Clinton 21 - Hispanic Obama 21 %, Clinton 73 %, White Obama 45 %, Clinton 45 %

[boston bean]

3. The same voters who gave us "Independent Democrat "Lieberman.

My southern neighbors have always been a little fucked.

[Tellurian]

4. Lieberman guaranteed to deliver CT to Obama..

Obama's brother Joe, said: "have no worries, we've got diebold here!"

[jasmine621]

5. Why? didin't Obama support Lamont?

[NYCGirl]

16. Ned Lamont endorses Barack Obama:

http://nedlamont.com/news/2256/why-im-supporting-barack-obama

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UcL_AW9Y8ME

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FChJLsJeLjc

[rateyes]

7. Lieberman endorsed McCain. nt

[cali]

9. Another deeply stupid post from a Clinton acolyte

Lieberman is supporting McCain, little genius, and actively supporting him in CT. duh.

[Tellurian]

10. Lieberman is Obama's mentor..

Do you need a link? Or can you find that yourself?

[cali]

11. ooh, I'm happy to have the opportunity to correct your profound ignorance, sweetie

Lieberman was assigned to mentor Obama by the leadership. Obama had zero input into that. Besides, I thought conservative repuke lite dems like you loved Liebertoad. His positions mirror yours so well.

[book_worm]

6. really? the Dem primary voted for Lamont who also has endorsed Obama.

[cali]

8. Massachusetts: How many years have you had a repuke gov before

Patrick? And Vermont has a repuke gov, but it also has Leahy, Sanders and Welch. And CT gave us Dodd and all there reps are dems but Shays.

What a deeply stupid post yours is.

[cgrindley]

13. Yeah! I can't vote for him but my wife is going to...

I'm a resident alien so I don't get to vote, but my wife is planning on supporting him. We live in CT.