States Following Super Tuesday Are Likely Obama Wins 19 to 6 !

[Dems Will Win]

Here they are with pledged delegate totals for each state and month. Hillary may only win Virginia and Ohio between Feb. 6th and the Pennsylvania primary on April 22nd. States are assigned to OBAMA for high African-American voters like IN, RI, the Virgin Islands, DC, MD, VA or NC and also progressive places like ME, VT and OR. VA for example is about 40% black vote in the Dem primary, plus Gov. Kaine is backing Obama.

Then there are Midwestern states near IL like WI and of course Hawaii is Obama's birth state. If it is a caucus, figure OBAMA will win all the rest of those as Hillary still has little ground game in these states. Obama has the SD Senators even.

February 9, 2008 Louisiana primary 56 OBAMA
February 9, 2008 Nebraska<40> caucus 24 OBAMA
February 9, 2008 Washington caucus<41> 78 OBAMA
February 9, 2008 U.S. Virgin Islands primary 6 OBAMA
February 10, 2008 Maine caucus<42> 24 OBAMA
February 12, 2008 District of Columbia primary<43> 15 OBAMA
February 12, 2008 Maryland primary 70 OBAMA
February 12, 2008 Virginia primary 83 OBAMA
February 19, 2008 Hawaii caucus 20 OBAMA
February 19, 2008 Wisconsin primary 74 OBAMA
- Total - - - - 447


March

March 4, 2008 Ohio primary 141
March 4, 2008 Rhode Island primary 21 OBAMA
March 4, 2008 Texas<44> open primary, closed caucus hybrid<45> 193 OBAMA
March 4, 2008 Vermont primary 15 OBAMA
March 8, 2008 Wyoming caucus 12 OBAMA
March 11, 2008 Mississippi primary 33 OBAMA
- Total - - - - 415


Post-March

April 22, 2008 Pennsylvania<46> primary 151
May 3, 2008 Guam primary 5
May 6, 2008 Indiana primary 66 OBAMA
May 6, 2008 North Carolina<48> primary 91 OBAMA
May 13, 2008 West Virginia primary 26
May 20, 2008 Kentucky primary 47
May 20, 2008 Oregon primary 48 OBAMA
June 1, 2008 Puerto Rico<49> primary 55
June 3, 2008 Montana primary 15 OBAMA
June 3, 2008 South Dakota primary 14 OBAMA

Total - 516

Hillary's only good states after Feb. 5 are Guam, PR, WV, KY, PA and maybe OH, and I'm beginning to doubt those except maybe for Puerto Rico.

What does all this mean? What the hell do you think it means?

PLEASE RECOMMEND IF YOU WANT TO SEE OTHERS FIRED UP!

[Faygo Kid]

1. Good luck. You're gonna need it.

Here come the Hillary backers. Can you feel the love?

[neutron]

17. He Won! He Won! Yippeeee!

[neutron]

18. self delete

self delete

[hertopos]

22. I am from Maryland

As far as I know, Hillary has strong support in Maryland.
We have RFK family in Maryland and the governer is very close to Clintons.
In fact, I am very much looking forward to see Hillary finally in person.

Hertopos

[Texas_Kat]

2. Expect Texas to be in the Clinton camp

[AX10]

3. Same with Pennsylvania.

[Dems Will Win]

11. I agree that Clinton takes PA - barely tho because of Philadelphia black population.

[cali]

6. why? He's already closed the gap t o 10 points and he has

a month to close it further. What makes you think that's so impossible?

[Dems Will Win]

8. Obama will take TX. It has enough African American voters and it is partly a caucus

plus it will go March 4, after Clinton has lost all the remaining February primaries and cucuses except maybe Virginia.

TX will go OBAMA in the end.

It is now Clinton 48, Obama 38 in TX.

http://blogs.chron.com/texaspolitics/archives/2008/02/obama_surging_i.html

[TexasObserver]

20. I like Obama's chances in Texas.

But it's too early to call.

I see a lot people excited about Obama. Not much excitement about Clinton.

[featherman]

9. Agree Texas is uncertain tilting Clinton at this point

PA is certainly Clinton unless the ground shifts measurably by then

[thevoiceofreason]

14. We're in play now

[goldcanyonaz]

4. Is there proof to any of this, or is this just your opinion? Texas for Obama?

[Joe the Revelator]

13. A new poll came out today showing Obama dramatically closing the gap

Just like he doing everywhere else.

[MadBadger]

5. What the hell are you talking about?

[Dems Will Win]

10. You have to get used to me - I think ahead - no one in the media

has mentioned that the states after Feb 5th mostly favor Obama.

[MadBadger]

12. Do you have any polls to back up your points? Oh, and its WI, not WS.

[Joe the Revelator]

15. MD and VA are both leaning Obama, I know that part is factually accurate

[hertopos]

24. Where did you get that?

I am from MD and MD has a strong supporting base for Hillary.

Hertopos

[Dems Will Win]

31. Sorry Obama is well ahead in MD right now. The black vote switched a couple of weeks ago

Obama 39 Clinton 26, Edwards 12

http://www.delmarvadealings.com/2008/01/14/obama-mccain-lead-in-maryland-polls/

[TexasObserver]

7. Looks good. Texas could go Obama.

Hillary will do well in rural Texas, but not among the young or urban.

[papau]

16. ? - so far it is Hillary doing well in urban areas and Obama getting the rural areas

[papau]

19. Will Obama win majority of delegates from any states carried by Gore?

or is it just GOP states that are his strength?

[Dems Will Win]

21. Obama is winning everywhere!

[MaineDem]

26. And the proof is...?

Where is this coming from?

[Sulawesi]

23. It seems to me 1) you have no real data here, and 2) super tuesday could change momentum entirely...

and 3) they are not winner take all.

[Dems Will Win]

27. There's plenty of polls, Obama is now only 10 behind in TX,

he's ahead in NC, and MD. VT and HI are obviously locks for him, as are the caucuses (Clinton will give up on those as she did SC).

And if he wins CA, then the race will likely be over by Feb. 12. It won't be possible for Clinton to win if that happens, which would be clear by then.

Look at February, look at the black percentages in each of those states, or some other Obama factor such as a caucus and you will start to understand the advantage he has.

Her only chance really was to hold on to her black vote.

Bill blew that for her, if you'll pardon the expression.

[Sulawesi]

32. Don't get me wrong, I want Obama to win, I just think it will be a tough slog if he comes out of

Tuesday behind...the states ahead look strong, but he could lose the momentum. I think if he comes out of Tuesday tied or ahead, it is over.

[MaineDem]

25. Did you make this up?

Clinton has been leading in Maine.

Granted, there are more Obama people on the ground here and they're working extra hard. I have no idea which way Maine will go.

Do you have poll results to back up what you've posted? I'd love to see them.

Thanks.

[Dems Will Win]

30. Obama has the biggest ground game ever would be a better description

Hillary does not even LIST Maine on her Web site. Here are the Obama events for Maine:

Saturday, February 2 at 10:00 AM
Multiple Locations in York County (Wells, ME)
Stand for change in York County! Leading up to the Feb. 10 Democratic caucus in Maine, phone banking is already underway every evening in multiple...

OBAMA Precinct Captain Training (Organizing)
Saturday, February 2 at 11:00 AM
Epstein Commercial Real Estate (Bangor, ME)
If you are a precinct captain, or want to help ensure Barack Obama wins at your caucus site on February 10th, please join us this...

canvassing in the oxford county area (Meeting)
Saturday, February 2 at 12:00 PM
On the run store (Fryeburg, ME)
we need the public to turn out to the Feb10th caucus in support for Obama

Stand for Change Phone Bank - Bangor (Organizing)
Saturday, February 2 at 12:00 PM
Epstein Commercial (Bangor, ME)
Join your fellow Obama supporters to make a few calls so we can make sure Barack Obama wins the Maine Caucuses. We will be starting...

Maine Democratic Caucus Planning (Meeting)
Saturday, February 2 at 1:00 PM
Louisa Carl's House (Waldo, ME)
Join us to discuss ways to best support Obama at the February 10 Maine democratic caucus meetings. Folks from any area in Maine are...

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Saturday, February 2 at 3:00 PM
Lewiston Phone Bank! (Lewiston, ME)
Come join us to call voters and find other Obama supporters in the Lewiston area. We need your help to reach all the supporters and...

OBAMA Precinct Captain Training (Organizing)
Saturday, February 2 at 4:00 PM
Epstein Commercial Real Estate (Bangor, ME)
If you are a precinct captain for Barack Obama, or want to help ensure Obama wins at your caucus site on February 10th, please join...

Cell Phone Bank (Organizing)
Saturday, February 2 at 4:30 PM
Castle Homes (Belfast, ME)
Join us in reaching out to Maine voters! We need your help to talk to as many undecided voters as possible between now and February...

Obama Sign Painting Party (Meeting)
Saturday, February 2 at 5:00 PM
USM Luther Bonney Hall (Portland, ME)
Bring supplies and FOOD to Maine's first ever Obama Sign Painting Party. Bring any Red, White, Blue, Black paint (water soluble), brushes, paper/poster board, masking...

Obama Sign Painting Party (Organizing)
Saturday, February 2 at 5:00 PM
Luther Bonney Hall, USM (Portland, ME)
We're making signs and banners to raise the Senator's visibility here in Portland. Come help us let people know that Maine is Barack Country!

Stand for Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Sunday, February 3 at 10:00 AM
Multiple Locations in York County (Wells, ME)
Stand for change in York County! Leading up to the Feb. 10 Democratic caucus in Maine, phone banking is already underway every evening in multiple...

Pre-Superbowl Obama Bangor Phone Bank! (Organizing)
Sunday, February 3 at 11:00 AM
Epstein Commercial Office- 2nd Floor (Bangor, ME)
Bangor residents and greater Penobscot County, this is what we've been waiting for! Join us this Sunday, February 3rd for our Bangor-area Obama phone bank. We...

We need to finacially support this campaign (Fundraising)
Sunday, February 3 at 6:00 PM
cumberland Farms Brackett/pine street West end (Portland, ME)
Supporters need to step up and donate to the the campaign to hand out Obama mail in contribution forms and envelopes

Recycle for Votes (Community Service)
Monday, February 4 at 3:00 PM
Orono Tim Hortons (Orono, ME)
Give us your returnables, and will turn them into Votes! During this winter season some folks are already strapped with too many bills and so...

Stand For Change Phone Bank in Augusta! (Organizing)
Monday, February 4 at 5:00 PM
Law Office of Preti, Flaherty, Beliveau, and Pachios (Augusta, ME)
Help us reach out to voters in Maine to share Barack Obama's message of hope and change. This year, the caucus really will make...

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Monday, February 4 at 5:00 PM
Lewiston Phone Bank! (Lewiston, ME)
Come join us to call voters and find other Obama supporters in the Lewiston area. We need your help to reach all the supporters and get...

Stand for Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Monday, February 4 at 5:00 PM
Multiple Locations in York County (Wells, ME)
Stand for change in York County! Leading up to the Feb. 10 Democratic caucus in Maine, phone banking is already underway every evening in multiple...

Stand for Change Cell Phone Bank (Organizing)
Monday, February 4 at 5:30 PM
Castle Homes (Belfast, ME)
Help us reach out to undecided voters before the Maine caucuses on February 10th! We have a very limited number of landlines available, so please...

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Monday, February 4 at 6:00 PM
Epstein Commerical Real Estate (Bangor, ME)
Come and join your fellow Barack Obama supporters here in the Bangor area and help change the world one phone call at a time.

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Tuesday, February 5 at 5:00 PM
Lewiston Phone Bank! (Lewiston, ME)
Come join us to call voters and find other Obama supporters in the Lewiston area. We need your help to reach all the supporters and get...

Stand for Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Tuesday, February 5 at 5:00 PM
Multiple Locations in York County (Wells, ME)
Stand for change in York County! Leading up to the Feb. 10 Democratic caucus in Maine, phone banking is already underway every evening in multiple...

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Tuesday, February 5 at 6:00 PM
Epstein Commerical Real Estate (Bangor, ME)
Come and join your fellow Obama supporters here in the Bangor area and help change the world one phone call at a time!!!

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Wednesday, February 6 at 5:00 PM
Lewiston Phone Bank! (Lewiston, ME)
Come join us to call voters and find other Obama supporters in the Lewiston area. We need your help to reach all the supporters and get...

Stand for Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Wednesday, February 6 at 5:00 PM
Multiple Locations in York County (Wells, ME)
Stand for change in York County! Leading up to the Feb. 10 Democratic caucus in Maine, phone banking is already underway every evening in multiple...

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Wednesday, February 6 at 6:00 PM
Epstein Commerical Real Estate (Bangor, ME)
Come and join your fellow Obama supporters here in the Bangor area and help change the world one

Portland Supporters of Barack Obama Mtg. (Organizing)
Wednesday, February 6 at 6:30 PM
Reiche School Community Center (Portland, ME)
This will be our last meeting before the caucus! With the caucus coming up this weekend we'll be finalizing plans, answering any lingering questions...

Cape Elizabeth Pre-Caucus Rally (Meeting)
Wednesday, February 6 at 6:30 PM
Cape Elizabeth United Methodist Church (Cape Elizabeth, ME)
Come join fellow Obama supporters four days before the Maine caucus to rally and discuss strategies for a strong show of support on February 10th....

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Thursday, February 7 at 5:00 PM
Lewiston Phone Bank! (Lewiston, ME)
Come join us to call voters and find other Obama supporters in the Lewiston area. We need your help to reach all the supporters and get...

Stand for Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Thursday, February 7 at 5:00 PM
Multiple Locations in York County (Wells, ME)
Stand for change in York County! Leading up to the Feb. 10 Democratic caucus in Maine, phone banking is already underway every evening in multiple...

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Thursday, February 7 at 6:00 PM
Epstein Commerical Real Estate (Bangor, ME)
Come and join your fellow Obama supporters here in the Bangor area and help change the world one phone call at a time!!!

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Friday, February 8 at 5:00 PM
Lewiston Phone Bank! (Lewiston, ME)
Come join us to call voters and find other Obama supporters in the Lewiston area. We need your help to reach all the supporters and get...

Stand for Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Friday, February 8 at 5:00 PM
Multiple Locations in York County (Wells, ME)
Stand for change in York County! Leading up to the Feb. 10 Democratic caucus in Maine, phone banking is already underway every evening in multiple...

Stand For Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Friday, February 8 at 6:00 PM
Epstein Commerical Real Estate (Bangor, ME)
Come and join your fellow Obama supporters here in the Bangor area and help change the world one phone call at a time!!!

Stand for Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Saturday, February 9 at 10:00 AM
Multiple Locations in York County (Wells, ME)
Stand for change in York County! Leading up to the Feb. 10 Democratic caucus in Maine, phone banking is already underway every evening in multiple...

Stand for Change Phone Bank (Organizing)
Sunday, February 10 at 10:00 AM
Multiple Locations in York County (Wells, ME)
Stand for change in York County! Leading up to the Feb. 10 Democratic caucus in Maine, phone banking is already underway every evening in multiple...

Scarborough Pre-Caucus Meeting For Obama Supporters (Organizing)
Sunday, February 10 at 12:00 PM
TBA (Scarborough, ME)
We need to head into the Caucuses organized and well prepared. Last cycle, I joined other Howard Dean supporters in a pre-Caucus event to meet up...

Freeport Obamaites strategy meeting (Meeting)
Sunday, February 10 at 2:00 PM
starbucks freeport (Freeport, ME)
meeting the morning of the caucus to discuss strategies

[BenDavid]

28. some Dems believe every word the whore media feeds them

[george_maniakes]

29. im interested in obamas chances in texas...for instance is it open to independants/republicans...

maybe hillarys high negatives can work in obamas favor there if so.