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Edited on Thu Jan-31-08 06:05 PM by karynnj
Maybe years from now, Kerry in what would be one of the most fascinating autobiographies, given his life may explain what happened. until then all we can do is look at who he is and what he said at various times - which in his case makes sense as he is an honest person.
From 2002 through 2004, Kerry made a case for why he voted as he did - and it was always consistent. The list of the Bush promises of what he would do and failed to do is familiar. It was in his IWR speech, in the Georgetown speech saying not to rush to war, immediately after the invasion, when the war was at 70+% approval and through 2004. But, in 2005, he admitted that he was wrong to have voted for it because it was wrong to give that authority and trust it would be used as promised. In 2006, he went much further, both in the Pepperdine and the TBA speech he said that the war was immoral.
Mentally listening to all the first set of speeches, Kerry is articulate and as expected, given the excellent lawyer he is, it was a good case. But, there is a huge difference between those well reasoned justifications and the words and poetry of the 2006 speeches after the Dissent speech. The difference is you can tell he was speaking not just from his brilliant mind, but from his heart and soul. In those speeches, he is amazing - as he was in all his environmental speeches. This was the Kerry of 1971. It was like the endorsement speech he made for Obama.
I suspect that Kerry likely knew that war was extremely likely - no matter what he did. He may have intellectually thought that with Democrats joining Bush, they might have more leverage pushing him to stay with the international community - possibly averting a war, but at minimum going as part of the international community. In his IWR speech, he speaks of how the critics (including himself) had pushed Bush to stop and go to the UN and Congress. At that point it was not the obvious sham it is now. He also spoke of how he would not have voted for the original language - and spoke of the changes made. At that point, the fact that those changes meant nothing to Bush, who would have done the same under any resolution was not known. Oddly had Democrats not fought for those changes, Kerry and others likely would have voted no. From his own knowledge of how Pakistan got the BCCI funded bomb with no one knowing they were making progress and knowing Iraq borders the former USSR which had unsecured WMD, I assume that he could not have ruled out there being WMD.
Still as Beachmom says, he could have given almost the identical speech - but at the end said that he could not vote yes at that time because that whole list that he ended up citing so many times needed to happen before it would be a war of last resort - and that, at that point Bush could come back for authorization. That very likely was where his heart was at and had he done that he would likely have been much happier with his vote. The obvious pain in his eyes when he answered about the vote showed - it was also the only time he ever seemed the least bit defensive.
From everything he did in 2002, from being one of the first to complain that Bush appeared ready to attack Iraq and that he could not use the terror resolution onward to being one of the first and most consistent speaking out, show that he was not pro-war and that he would not have taken the country to war if he were President. The way the resolution was pushed and the language, likely would have made it nearly impossible to run for President in 2004, especially for Kerry - who read antiwar poetry on the Senate floor before Gulf I, fought Reagan's covert wars in Central America and famously spoke in 1971. That vote, though it did not make war more or less likely, was in his case contrary to who he is - which makes it sadder. But, even in 2004, I never questioned whether he would have started the war - he wouldn't- or that he would not work to bring peace as fast as possible. At the time, I thought his history in the 1970s and 1980s would make him unique in changing the foreign policy of the last 50 years.
Close to the case made for Obama. It may in fact be that vote that made Kerry chose to not opt in in 2008.
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