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One of the issues that has been raised since Senator Edward Kennedy endorsed Barack Obama is the 1980 democratic primary, when Kennedy challenged President Jimmy Carter. There are people who have an agenda which includes using that to discredit Kennedy, by blaming him for Carter’s eventual loss to Ronald Reagan. The implication is, of course, that Senator Kennedy is again taking an underhanded action that harms the legitimate democratic candidate, and is selfishly putting our nation at risk of another republican victory.
Kennedy’s challenge of Carter is an interesting and important episode in the democratic party’s history. A real discussion of the events that led to Ted Kennedy entering the primary should be encouraged. It is important, however, to consider the event in a larger context, rather than in the simple semi-mythical story that intends only to arouse emotions.
A couple of issues that were important include events surrounding Iran, and the domestic economic problems that the Carter administration seemed incapable of dealing with. I’m going to attempt to put some of this in a context that might help people who are either too young to remember, or who perhaps have forgotten some of this, to understand not only "how" it happened – but more importantly, "why."
In 1972, President Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger were attempting to deal with changes in the Middle East. They traveled to Teheran, where Nixon asked the Shah of Iran to act as the protector of US interests in the region. (I am assuming that DUers have an understanding of the US history with the Shah.)
The Shah agreed to help Nixon, in return to an almost unlimited supply of sophisticated military weapons. Nixon, of course, would soon be removed from the picture; Kissinger continued to play a role in US policy, and the support to the Shah would continue without limit during the Ford years. We will return to this topic soon.
One of the democrats that Richard Nixon was most concerned with was Senator Ted Kennedy. From the time that his brother Robert was killed in Los Angeles, a group of Washington insiders wanted Ted to run for president. Ted decided not to in ’68, and again in ’72. He would consider a run in ’76, but opted not to for a variety of reasons, including professional and personal issues.
Jimmy Carter, considered a Washington outsider, became the democratic nominee in 1976. One of the top people in his campaign was Zbigniew Brzezinski, who had known Carter from the Trilateral Commission. Brzezinski was not, of course, a "Washington outsider": he had been an advisor to John Kennedy’s 1960 campaign, and was close to Averell Harriman.
Carter’s campaign made it an issue to not be publicly associated with what was then the democratic establishment in Washington, however. Jimmy Carter chose not to be in contact with party leaders such as Ted Kennedy, Ed Muskie, Hubert Humphrey, George McGovern, and Morris Udall.
On October 26, 1976, conservative liar William Buckley printed some trash that was aimed at causing divisions between liberal democrats and Jimmy Carter. (Some things never really change.) It might have gone without serious notice, but the next day’s Los Angeles Times ran an article that accurately quoted Carter as saying he believed the Genesis creation events were literal truth, rather than a symbolic story. This caused many democrats to question if Carter was a bit rigid in his thinking.
Although Carter would defeat Ford in the general election, he did not come to Washington with good connections with congressional leaders of either party. His "us-vs-them" thinking continued when problems with Iran began to flare up in 1977. The Shah had not been particularly interested in meeting the needs of the Iranian people, and he was having some problems in maintaining power. Carter blamed the Iranian situation on the CIA, which was certainly not entirely incorrect.
Brzezinski was the Carter administration’s version of Kissinger. He was at first a supporter of the Shah. When the problems with the internal Iranian unrest threatened the Shah’s hold on power, Brzezinski would begin daily contact with Arddeshir Zahedi, the Irainian ambassador to Washington.
Zahedi disliked the US ambassador to Teheran, William Sullivan, and he urged Brzezinski to cut him out of the picture. Zahedi associated everyone connected to the State Department with the CIA. Cy Vance was pre-occupied with Israel and Egypt, and so Brzezinski ran the show. He and President Carter viewed the problems with Iran to be the fault of the CIA, rather than a result of the Nixon-Kissinger policy.
Brzezinski asked George Ball to do a "special study" on US-Iranian policy in 1978. Ball surprised the Carter administration by proposing that the US replace the Shah with a moderate government. His suggestions were rejected. Ball was in contact with other Washington DC insiders, who were surprised to find that the Carter administration had not shared his study results with the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Admiral Stansfield Turner had told Ball that the CIA had the ability to resolve the Shah’s problems by bringing in a few "good PR men." This was not considered a reassuring judgement by many outside the Carter administration.
In time, rumors were spreading throughout DC that the administration was considering an option for allowing Khomeini to return to Teheran, and then "responding" to the unrest by having the military take control of the Iranian government.
Moderate democrats and republicans in Washington believed that a military coup in Iran would not be successful. The top levels of the military were extremely unpopular, because of their association with the Shah. A conflict in Iran was viewed as having the potential to destabilize the region, including Saudi Arabia.
This atmosphere allowed other forces to begin to prepare to challenge Carter in 1980. These were republicans who backed George Bush, Sr. At the time, these people did not consider Ronald Reagan to be a realistic choice for the presidency. I believe that DUers are familiar with the events relating to Iran, Bush, and the 1980 elections.
From 1978 on, different groups within the democratic party wanted to dump Jimmy Carter. Some were concerned with international issues, and some with domestic issues. He was the first democratic president in recent history who did not have a name for his vision – from New Freedom, to New Deal, Fair Deal, New Frontier, and the Great Society. He was viewed as a manager, rather than a leader, and Washington insiders tended to believe he was mismanaging the economy.
Carter had successes, of course. But there were many meetings in DC where the powers behind the scenes wanted him to be denied the nomination in 1980. There were a number of democrats who were considered as alternative candidates. They included Jerry Brown, Morris Udall, and Daniel Patrick Moynihan. And, of course, Ted Kennedy.
At first, Ted Kennedy said he would not challenge Carter. Although the two were not close, Kennedy recognized that a challenge would likely hurt the party. He did not view the situation as being as stark as in 1968 with LBJ. (More, Ted was opposed to RFK challenging LBJ in ’68. Also, family members worried about Ted’s safety if he ran for president.)
But there were pressures for him to step in, to keep the others from entering the primary. Friends and family members began to tell him that this might be his best chance to win the presidency.
In the first week of September, 1979, Ted had lunch with President Carter. At the time, Ted was still undecided about entering the primary. Carter insisted that Kennedy issue a "Sherman statement," saying he would not enter under any circumstance.
Rumors spread. Some were ugly. On September 9, a small group of Wall Street conservative business interests lunched in DC with a few Carter people, including Hamilton Jordan and Charlie Schultze. The Wall Street fellows wanted assurance that Carter would continue a conservative economic policy, as opposed to the liberal Ted Kennedy.
One of the Carter people said they would, and added, "Besides, he’s not going to survive the primary." This rubbed some the wrong way. Carter’s mother had recently said something similar, and even those who were not Kennedy supporters found this cold.
Felix Rohatyn, the investment banker credited with saving New York City from bankruptcy, reported the comments to other Washington DC insiders. (Rohatyn served as the ambassador to France under President Clinton.)
The 1980 democratic primary itself is a matter of public record. I do not think that this little essay will change anyone’s mind, who already has strong feelings about the personalities of politicians like Jimmy Carter or Teddy Kennedy. But I do hope it is of interest to some DUers who are interested in both "how" and "why" things happen. This might provide some insight on a couple of the events that were important in 1980 ….and also on how some thoughtless comments can cause hard feelings, and how those hard feelings can divide democrats during our national elections.
(Note: I’m rather tired, and am going to post this, although it is a very "rough draft." I hope it makes a little sense.)
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