Colorado/Mason-Dixon poll: O-34, C-32, E-17

[BeyondGeography]

Obama, Clinton split Colo. voters

...The Democratic caucuses hold more potential for high drama in the presidential race, with Colorado voters split evenly between Barack Obama at 34 percent and Hillary Rodham Clinton at 32 percent — well within the poll's 3.5 percentage-point margin of error. John Edwards was the choice of 17 percent of likely caucus-goers. Fourteen percent said they were still undecided.

Obama's strength in Colorado may come from the fact that the state's Democrats see the desire for change as a driving issue in the campaign. The poll showed 51 percent of Democrats see change as more important than experience — and the ability to bring change is a trait they overwhelmingly associate with the Illinois senator.
The issues on voters' minds are familiar, with the economy, the war, health care, immigration and homeland security topping the list. But poll results show those issues play very differently depending on party affiliation.

The war is the biggest issue on the minds of Democrats, but it ranks relatively low with Republicans. Immigration is an important issue with Republicans but not Democrats. And the economy, while important to voters of both parties, tops the list as the most important issue in the campaign because it is the biggest issue on the minds of unaffiliated voters. That group — more than a third of Colorado voters — won't be participating in the caucuses, however.

Democrats in the state have been predicting a heavy turnout for their caucuses this year after a calendar change moved up their vote to a week when the race is still on. In 2004 and 2000, Colorado Democrats voted so late that John Kerry and Al Gore had long since whipped the field...

...This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. of Washington, D.C., from Jan. 21 to 23. A total of 800 registered Colorado voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was used in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter turnout by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points...

http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_8089114

[goldcanyonaz]

1. Looks like another death match.

[NJSecularist]

2. This is what Obama is looking for

Some competitive Super Tuesday states. He should be very happy. I would expect over the next few days for the majority of the Super Tuesday states (with the exception of a few obvious states) to become more competitive than polls have shown so far.

[Clarkansas]

3. That is very good for Obama.

I am surprised.

[Seen the light]

4. 7 Super Tuesday states have had polls out in the past week

Despite the fact that everyone keeps saying this is going to be some sort of Clinton tidal wave, she leads in only 4 of those polls to Obama's 3.

[Kermit77]

5. Expect Clintons numbers to crater after the Kennedy endorsement

This is a turning point in the election.

[goodgd_yall]

16. She'll win

I believe in the states with the larger number of delegates: California, New York, New Jersey, and Massachusetts. Probably Minnesota too.

[Seen the light]

23. ...

I would say you're probably correct on New York and New Jersey. Massachusetts can't be considered a lock for Clinton now that the Kennedys and John Kerry have come out for Obama. Minnesota? They're holding a caucus and I did hear someone say the other day that the Clinton team isn't going to focus on the caucus states as much as the primary ones. That's up for grabs. And then the big state though is California. If things keep moving in Obama's favor, don't be shocked if he grabs it.

[goodgd_yall]

26. I agree, I'm not absolutely confident

about Clinton winning California. I'd be interested to see a post S.C. poll to see if anything has changed.

[Nedsdag]

32. Independents vote in the Democratic side of the California primary, right?

I'm pretty sure they can.

Can anyone verify this?

[sallyseven]

27. Kerry will be lucky to win his own seat.

No one cares what Caroline says. She is not active. If ted comes out for Obama It might move a vote or two. Not mine however.

[sniffa]

34. "Kerry will be lucky to win his own seat."

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

Oh dear. That's absurdly funny.

[Moses2SandyKoufax]

35. LOL,

That's the dumbest thing I've seen posted on this board..... EVER!

[loveangelc]

33. which ones?

[tishaLA]

6. how many delegates in CO?

[Seen the light]

7. 71 nt

[MadBadger]

8. This is pre-SC too.

[Radical Activist]

9. Clearly Obama can only win in states with lots of black voters.

:)

[elizm]

14. Yeah, like in Iowa.

:rofl:

[BeyondGeography]

25. Just don't tell 'em he's the BLACK candidate

:scared:

[Adelante]

36. Heh

:D

[goodgd_yall]

10. I think Obama will win Colorado, Utah, Idaho, and New Mexico

Basically, the Mountain States, on Feb. 5th. I'm basing this on his win in the rural counties of Nevada. Those states are similar to Nevada except for not having a large diverse city like Las Vegas. Hillary won Las Vegas; none of the Mountain States have a large city comparable to L.V.

[MadBadger]

11. Hell also take Georgia, Illinois

WHat he needs to do is compete in Jersey, CT, and maybe even win CA.

[Seen the light]

13. California and Missouri

Two most important states on Super Tuesday imo.

[goodgd_yall]

18. I think Clinton will win those n/t

[MadBadger]

19. I think my home state of Jersey is very important

Clinton should win pretty big. But if Obama can keep it close and take a lot of delegates, than that would be, in the words of Steve Douchey: Huuuuuuuuuuuggggggee!!

[goodgd_yall]

17. I agree there

[Thrill]

12. I expect Obama to win more than half of the Super Tuesday States

[Nimrod2005]

15. One word: Hispanics

supporting Obama in larger numbers

[goodgd_yall]

22. Are you saying they are?

I'm not so sure about that. What do you base your opinion on?

[Barack_America]

20. From his website, it looks like Obama has opened six offices in Colorado.

He wants it.

[usregimechange]

21. So much for him only leading in one state.

[rockymountaindem]

24. Should be interesting

Too bad I won't be there :(

[Turn CO Blue]

28. Too bad. And I can't caucus either

But my son is caucusing for Edwards, and I hope that John pulls in a few more delegates from this great state.

[thatsrightimirish]

29. I read somewhere once

That he gets more online donations from Colorado then anywhere else. If he wins the latino vote there I will feel much better about his potential candidacy

[jefferson_dem]

30. Wow. I like.

Pre-bounce even. :bounce:

[usregimechange]

31. Good news.