Rasmussen Matchup: McCain 49% to Hillary's 38%; McCain 46% to Obama's 43% within MOE

[flpoljunkie]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/john_mccain_match_ups/mccain_49_clinton_38_mccain_46_obama_43

McCain 49% Clinton 38% McCain 46% Obama 43%

Friday, January 25, 2008

A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds John McCain leading Hillary Clinton nationally by double digits. The survey, conducted on the two nights following New Hampshire’s Primary, shows McCain attracting 49% of the vote nationwide while Clinton earns 38%.

Among Republican voters, McCain leads 86% to 6%. However, among Democrats, Clinton’s lead is a slightly less dominant 74% to 18%. McCain leads by twenty-one points among unaffiliated voters.

This is the third straight poll showing McCain ahead of Clinton. In December, the Arizona Senator led by six points. In November, he held a narrow two-point edge.

A separate national telephone survey, conducted just before New Hampshire voted, shows McCain leading Obama 46% to 43%. That’s little changed since a December poll showing McCain with a two point advantage.

Those surveys find Mike Huckabee leading Clinton 45% to 42% while Obama leads Huckabee 45% to 43%. This is the first time a Rasmussen Reports poll has ever shown Huckabee ahead of Clinton. However, the three previous polls of that match-up each found Clinton leading Huckabee by four points or less. In December, it was Clinton 47% Huckabee 43%.

[BeyondGeography]

1. By all means, let's nominate the appalling person

she'll be beaten like a drum and we won't have to deal with Clinton slaves anymore. We'll be the party of Dean, Kerry, Edwards, Obama, Leahy, McCaskill, Durbin, Conrad, etc.

A bright shining future.

I see the upside.

[Zodiak]

28. I'll take everyone on your list

Except McCaskell and Conrad.

Neither of them are very progressive, and both have been responsible for derailing Democratic efforts to favor the Republicans. Not once, but over and over again.

[BeyondGeography]

33. Can't just take the blue staters if you want the country to get anywhere

[Zodiak]

53. But I'll take populists from red states

Rather than the corporatists....and that is whom we are electing. DLC-vetted corporatists who hand Bush everything he wants.

All of them ran on platforms that did not include giving our rights and freedoms away to Bush at every turn, so that dog won't hunt. They are stealth candidates who are really just corporate Republicans.

We can do better than that, and have in the past.

Red-state does not mean Bush-state.

[THX1138]

49. She also capitulated on FISA/Telecom immuniuty yesterday.

She has been a major disappointment

[snooper2]

48. Thank YOU!

For finally giving me at least 1 upside of Hillary INC. winning the nomination....

[jefferson_dem]

2. If it's McCain -vs- Hillary we might be in some serious dookie...

nt

[1corona4u]

5. Yeah, well....

Obama's not looking so hot either...

[goldcanyonaz]

3. McCain does so well in these polls because the media has yet to talk about him.

It's Clinton and Obama all the time.

He'll go down once our nominee is picked.

Oh, and he's not very popular in Arizona any longer.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. ?

Election 2008: McCain vs. Clinton and Obama

Clinton 47% McCain 45%; Obama 46% McCain 41%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/john_mccain_match_ups/election_2008_mccain_vs_clinton_and_obama

[robbedvoter]

6. Oh, yeah, mighty grandpa & Joementum beat all dems - and you buy this crap!

Did you watch the debate? He'll likely lose Florida too to Mittens - and not even win the nomination!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. You Do Yourself And Your Cause An Injustice By Intentionally Misleading People

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds New York Senator Hillary Clinton with a two-point advantage over Arizona Senator John McCain in the race for the White House. It’s Clinton 47% McCain 45%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/john_mccain_match_ups/election_2008_mccain_vs_clinton_and_obama

[TwilightGardener]

9. I just commented on that poll in another thread. I'm confused.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. The Pollster Cited An Old Poll

~

[flpoljunkie]

19. Unfortunately, Rasmussen posted them both today--this one first.

[rinsd]

39. No, he did not post them today.

It looks like there is a glitch in his dating system.

All articles are dated for today.

Its not your fault.

[flpoljunkie]

42. Yes, they're both dated today, January 25th, and this one was posted first.

[rinsd]

43. Yes it was posted after NH. Not today. Neither was the updated one which was released last week.

[SaveElmer]

8. You have an old poll...

Look at the link

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/john_mccain_match_ups/election_2008_mccain_vs_clinton_and_obama


Hillary 57
McCain 45

Obama 46
McCain 41

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. He Did That Deliberately

~

[SaveElmer]

14. I alerted the mods...nt

[iconoclastic cat]

12. National polls are totally meaningless. nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. How Are Nat'l Polls Meaningless When Comparing The Democratic Versus The Republican Nominee?

Even though it's EC votes that count they usually follow the pop vote...

[iconoclastic cat]

17. Like they did in 2000 and 2004? Uh, no.

You are unfortunately mistaken.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. The Pop Vote Was Really Close In 00 And Reasonably Close In 04

I assure you if someone is losing the pop pop vote by three or so percentage or more that person isn't winning the Electoral College... I don't think that has happened since Tilden won the pop vote by three or so of percentage points and lost the Electoral College to Hayes...

[sonroadera]

13. Yet so many people support her because she is "the most electable."

What a bunch of crap.

[elizm]

16. SC Republicans say they'd vote for Obama over McCain...

And that is in SOUTH CAROLINA! I actually think Obama could turn this reddest of RED states.

[suston96]

20. Two threads with two different links to two different Rasmussen polls both dated today...?

What's the deal with this?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

21. The OP Is Playing Games

~

[rinsd]

40. Not the OPs fault.

Rasmussen's site is dating all articles for today.

[flpoljunkie]

22. Rasmussen latest matchups: Clinton 47% to McCain's 45%; Obama 46% to McCain's 41%

(Am not sure why they released both of these polls today. Evidently, this is the most recent head-to-heads with McCain, Obama and Clinton. The other matchup of McCain v. Hillary was taken two days after New Hampshire.)

Election 2008: McCain vs. Clinton and Obama
McCain 45% Clinton 47%
Friday, January 25, 2008

Clinton 47% McCain 45%; Obama 46% McCain 41%

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds New York Senator Hillary Clinton with a two-point advantage over Arizona Senator John McCain in the race for the White House. It’s Clinton 47% McCain 45%.

Clinton leads by seven among women. McCain leads by three among men.

While the “lead” is statistically insignificant, it is a big improvement for the former First Lady. McCain has led Clinton in the three previous Rasmussen Reports election polls of this match-up. In fact, earlier in January, McCain had his biggest advantage of the season over Clinton, leading by twelve. That poll now looks more like an aberration as it was the only time in seventeen polls of this match-up that Clinton’s support has been anywhere but the mid-40 percent range.

McCain’s support, at 45% is down from the three previous surveys which each showed him with support ranging from 47% to 49%.

The current election poll also shows McCain trailing Barack Obama. As has become the norm, Obama’s advantage over McCain is slightly larger than Clinton’s. It’s Obama 46% McCain 41%. Earlier in January, McCain had held a slight lead over Obama.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/john_mccain_match_ups/election_2008_mccain_vs_clinton_and_obama

[ccpup]

23. thanks for this

I had noticed your earlier Post with the older data and was Replying to point you to these brand spankin' new numbers. :hi:

[Deep13]

24. Looks like we are in good shape so far. nt.

[tandot]

25. So, if McCain is it, both Clinton and Obama have a chance of beating him.

Although it seems that Obama would have more of a chance.

Why did they leave Edwards out? It would be interesting to see what his chances are against any of the GOP candidates.

Looks good so far!

[FreakinDJ]

26. Support for HRC falling like a rock ????

http://rasmussen.intrade.com/aav2/trading/contractInfo.jsp?conDetailID=135338

wondering what this means

[Nederland]

35. SC only

That contract is for South Carolina only. After Iowa, Obama took off in SC and now Hillary is sure to lose there. Because if that, now nobody is betting on her to win SC, which is why the price dropped rapidly.

[sharp_stick]

27. Why did Ras release two polls on the same day?

It just seems strange and a little disingenuous(sp?). The timing of the polling isn't that obvious until you pay attention.

[Pachamama]

29. Gee, did they bother to ask those people being polled about Edwards???

:eyes:

[formernaderite]

30. None of this matters

the clinton machine will make sure she has the nomination. Just start dealing with that reality, and hope to hell the repukes nominate someone who isn't entirely offensive to us.

[sharp_stick]

31. This paranoia is getting to me

:tinfoilhat: :tinfoilhat: :tinfoilhat: :tinfoilhat:

[BenDavid]

32. you ever notice that rasmussen in his polling samples seems to

use more republicans and independents that lean right to get the polling numbers he needs...You can watch him begin to appear more on hannity and o'lielly and beck and any other numbnuts.....and you see how when pollsters that lean right seem to always have obama so close because the right slime machine is gearing up in hopes it will be obama and not hrc....ask yourself, why would the facists/racists dogs on the right want obama to run against? think a moment and it will come to you...

[gristy]

34. I'm so confused!

I thought the fascist/racist/imperialist/neocon running dogs wanted to run against Clinton! :shrug:

[Nederland]

36. Weights are generated from previous year's exit polls

Polling companies create samples that are based upon the makeup of the previous election. A liability when big changes in the electorate are happening, but they really have no other objective metric to use.

[creeksneakers2]

37. Other polls had Hillary doing slightly better than Obama

against McCain.

Rasmussen always comes out way worse for Hillary than the other polls.

[suston96]

41. There are two polls out by Rasmussen on the same match-ups.

And Rasmussen has skipped today in his daily tracking and gone right to tomorrow with old numbers. Something smells.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_history

[TeamJordan23]

38. Obama needs to make electibility a key issue after SC. nm

[tgnyc]

44. JEDNE

[mzmolly]

45. Where's Edwards?

#@$!

[Time for change]

46. The last Rasmussen poll for McCain-Edwards had Edwards up by 7

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/favorables/election_2008_democratic_candidates_running_in_2008_presidential_election

I hope that SC voters take a good look at these numbers.

[ozone_man]

50. Edwards is the only one who can beat McCain.

Can't let that populist message get out. It's dangerous, power in the hands of people.

[Blackhatjack]

47. Edwards is the CURE FOR THIS PROBLEM...n/t

[bobbolink]

51. So Dems shoot themselves in the foot and ignore Edwards, who consistently beats the RW!

Really great strategery there...

:crazy:

[dempartisan23]

52. mccain is despised by cons

obama or hillary will win in a landslide against that old piece of dog crap. i hope mccain is the nominee. he is the easiest to beat.