Zogby Thursday Only Numbers: Obama 36% Clinton 31% Edwards 19%

[Herman Munster]

I'm posting this to make a point how silly everyone was jumping up and down yesterday in a frenzy over Edwards sudden 1 day surge in the Wednesday sample of Zogby's poll. Looks like Clinton has the surge now.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1434

More evidence that the race is tightening down the stretch: Thursday’s polling alone had Obama leading with 36%, but Clinton was just five points back at 31% (a good day for her). Edwards came in with 19% yesterday alone. The one-day sample was not enough to draw sweeping conclusions, but it is an indicator that this race continues to change.

In case you were wondering about the effectiveness of former President Clinton’s campaign work on behalf of his wife, here is an indication: South Carolina Democrats hold an overwhelmingly positive view of Bill Clinton – yesterday’s polling alone shows he has a 75% favorable rating, compared to just 20% who hold an unfavorable view of him.

[joshcryer]

1. Interesting. So Zogby goes on an average?

[Herman Munster]

2. yup, it's a 3 day rolling average weighted about equally

every day one day is deleted, and one day added.

[book_worm]

3. for once I agree with you.

Looks like Hillary had a good day on Thursday and Edwards had a good day on Wednesday. But Zogby does point out that Edwards is the only one who has been making consistent gains over the three days, in Edwards case he is slowly gaining with black voters and among undecideds. And overall, according to Zogby, Obama continues to lead in every region and among most key demo groups. But in less than 48 hours we will know for sure who the winner in SC is and by how much and who comes in second.

[Yukari Yakumo]

4. What's the M.o.E.?

Won't it put HRC and BHO in a virtual tie in SC?

[book_worm]

6. I think it's 3.4 and yes it would be a virtual tie then for Thursday

but it can be both ways too. It could mean that Obama and Hillary are 32-31 or it could mean that Obama's five point edge on Thursday is actually 8-points. Plus or minus 3.4%

[AJH032]

5. I've rarely found Zogby to be accurate

seems like they get it wrong more than most polling organizations out there.

[emilyg]

7. Zogby is pretty accurate.

[AX10]

8. K/R

looking better each day.

[FreeState]

9. Did they change the article? I dont see those numbers on the linked story??? n/y