OK--Who really thought McCain would take So. Carolina?

[zanne]

I didn't, that's for sure. I thought So. Carolina was red enough to vote Huckabee and I was worried about him. I was wrong, wrong, wrong!

[MH1]

1. I thought Huckabee would win SC and I am less worried about him than McCain.

I think McCain will be almost as bad on social issues and will be far worse on everything else. And harder to beat.

[nickinSTL]

13. Then you don't know enough about Huckabee, IMO

Huckabee is intent on establishing an American theocracy.

In addition, he is corrupt, and condoned the cruel abuse of an animal by his then 17-yr-old son.

Anyone like that WOULD be worse than McCain. IMO.

[lisa58]

2. I didn't...

...I thought Huckabee would win

The way I see it Fred Thompson took votes away from Huckabee which favored McCain.

[sufrommich]

6. I agree .Fred Thomson was the unintentional

spoiler in S.Carolina. I was really hoping for a Huckabee win,but I think he's lost his juice now.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. I Did

I looked at Intrade and the RCP Average... They are usually but not always right...

The Huck is done... He might win a few uber red states like Mississippi and Alabama but that's it...

[saltpoint]

4. Agree with some others here in thinking Huckabible would win. n/t

[Kahuna]

5. I did. I also believe he will be the nominee. nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Where Does He Win Beside Hard Core Red States?

~

[muriel_volestrangler]

8. Well, he won in New Hampshire (nt)

[Zynx]

9. Edit: Never mind

[zanne]

11. He has a history in NH....

They voted for the lesser evil. Huckabee didn't stand a chance here. (Not enough evangelicals). He beat George Bush here in 2000 so he's known as NH's "comeback kid", along with Bill-Hillary Clinton. I think it was sentiment more than anything else.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. McCain Won New Hampshire

I thought we were talking about The Huckster who is done...

He's the Pat Robertson of this election...

[muriel_volestrangler]

23. I thought the subject of this sub-thread was McCain

:shrug: I think we probably agree about McCain, then.

For Huckabee - well, I wouldn't call Iowa 'deep red' - 751,957 votes for Bush v. 741,898 for Kerry in 2004 looks more like a marginal state, to me. But I don't think Huckabee will have much more success - the 'man of the people' image may work in a rural state with a caucus with a lot of personal appearances because it's the very fist, but won't, I think help so much in the big states. He's not a Republican establishment candidate, so won't get the big money for adverts. So I think we agree on that end outcome too.

[OHdem10]

10. I thought McCain would win. In the south Patriotism trumps

all. They can be pragmatic. Even some Christians realize that
Huckabee might not compete well in GE.

[patch1234]

12. I did. Huck is a one-trick-pony

Huck's, visit every church in Iowa trick,
has limited legs.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. Evangelicals Make Up 25% Of Pug Voters

Not enough...

[patch1234]

17. but lots more than that in Iowa .n/t

[Avalux]

16. The nominees will be McCain and Clinton.

It was decided a long time ago; we just go through the motions of elections, continuing the sham that is supposed to be democracy.

[Politicub]

18. I was surprised, since he lost the state in 2000

But Huckabee has proven himself to be a one-trick pony. Maybe there are fewer "evangelicals" out there than we had thought. And Romney's persona just doesn't work in the deep south.

McCain worries me most as the GOP front runner b/c the media seems to have a love affair with him. The freeper types don't seem to like him now, but I'm sure they'll get in lockstep should he prevail in the primaries.

[Jai4WKC08]

19. I thought so too

But it should be noted that if Thompson has not been in the race, most of his votes would have gone to Huckabee. I think he will still do well in FL and any southern Super Tuesday states. But I no longer think it will be good enough for him to win the nomination (altho I'm still not certain of that).

I'm guessing the Huckster will end up a VP for McCain. Which is probably all he aspired to. But that may be the worst possible outcome, since McCain is old and not too healthy.

[Jai4WKC08]

20. dupe

sorry

[Occam Bandage]

21. Yes. It was clear he'd be the nominee after NH.

[ecstatic]

22. The evangelicals didn't turn out much

I guess they were afraid of the snow.

50% of those who turned out never attend church, and 28% believed abortion should be legal.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#SCREP