AP/IPSOS National Poll: Clinton 40% (-5), Obama 33% (+10), Edwards 13% (+1)

[Adelante]

The two are in a close race in Nevada, and the outcome will set the stage for a high-stakes South Carolina Democratic primary on Jan. 26.

Since December, Clinton's support has eroded among several key constituencies, while Obama gained.

That means the two are competitive among several voting blocs in which Clinton once held an advantage, including minorities, young people, Midwesterners. She maintained a slight edge among women, low-income and lesser-educated Democrats, while losing some support among Democratic-leaning independents and self-described moderates.

John Edwards, the former North Carolina senator who hasn't won a primary, saw his support essentially unchanged at 13 percent.

Conducted Tuesday through Thursday, AP-Ipsos poll of 1,010 adults has a margin of error plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. It included interviews of 471 Democrats and those who lean toward the Democrats, whose margin of error was plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, and 359 Republicans and those who lean toward the Republicans, whose margin of error was plus or minus 5.2 percentage points.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/2008/01/ap_poll_mccain_soars_giuliani.php


The GOP numbers: McCain 22% (+9), Huckabee 16% (-2), Romney 16% (+4), and Rudy 13% (-13).

[Perky]

1. It is definitely tighening.

[flyarm]

2. I DON'T BELIEVE ANY OF THESE POLLS ANYMORE..

LOOK AT Americablog poll..

http://www.americablog.com/

AMERICAblog Straw Poll:
Who gets your vote?

Hillary


18% (404)

Obama


23% (534)

Edwards


48% (1106)

Kucinich


6% (132)

Gravel


1% (12)

Undecided


4% (82)

Nobody


2% (36)







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[Proud2BAmurkin]

3. The name recognition game is over and Clinton is still way ahead in the national polls.

[calteacherguy]

6. Clinton was a known quantity going in, and Obama is still not as known as her.

The trend is towards Obama as he becomes better known. I wish the nomination process were more spread out, because Iowa proved once voters get to know Obama he wins.

[kikiek]

4. Their website (ap/ipsos) doesn't paint such a bleak picture

Interesting that she has gone up in the midwest from dec to jan by so much 29 to 48. http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/candidates/Hillary-Rodham-Clinton.html Also interesting is John Edwards is the strongest candidate!

[Adelante]

5. First/Second choices combined

This seems to be only part of the polling date. I haven't found the full report.

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/client/act_dsp_pdf.cfm?name=mr080118-1topline.pdf&id=3790

Hillary Clinton first choices: 40%
Combined first and second choices: 66%

Barack Obama first choices: 33%
Combined first and second choices: 64%

John Edwards first choices: 13%
Combined first and second choices: 35%

[Nimrod2005]

7. k