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If Hillary can't get Independent support, how is she going to win a General Election?

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TeamJordan23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 06:44 PM
Original message
If Hillary can't get Independent support, how is she going to win a General Election?
Three states and she has overwelmingly lost the Independent vote to competitors (and to the 'Uncommited'). How the heck is going to carry a general election if she cannot convince Independent voters to vote for her.

Obama's dominance among Independent voters makes him clearly the most viable for a General Election win. I can see Edwards picking up Indep. voters also.
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Jack Bone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 06:45 PM
Response to Original message
1. Hillary's no Lee Mercer Jr.
:rofl:
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 06:46 PM
Response to Original message
2. If Obama can't get Democratic support, why should he be the nominee?
:shrug:
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. Because the alternative is another Republican president.
You like the sound of that?
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:04 PM
Response to Reply #8
14. Hillary beats all GOPers except McCain.
And once she gets to take his ass on head to head, he is toast.
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:04 PM
Response to Reply #2
13. The same Democrats who wanted to rally the base...
are now wanting to reach out to the GOP for support. :eyes:

Makes no sense whatsoever.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:06 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. Its just plain bizarre
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:09 PM
Response to Reply #16
20. Since Obama came along...
these people have become sheeple. They are in some kind of trance. Whatever Obama says, they will do.
That does bother me somewhat. Blind obedience is dangerous.
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pnwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 06:59 PM
Response to Original message
3. She got a whopping 75% of the women's vote in New York state for
her reelection there, which included huge numbers of Independents. This drove her overall vote to more than 60%.

Some Independents now prefer other Dem candidates. That doesn't mean that they'll prefer a Rethug to HRC if she is the nominee.
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Diane R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 07:13 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. And who exactly was her competition?
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:03 PM
Response to Reply #4
11. Who exactly was Obama's competition in 2004?
Alan Keyes: a nobody!
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:07 PM
Response to Reply #11
17. He also ran unopposed in several of his state races.
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goldcanyonaz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:05 PM
Response to Reply #4
15. And, who did Obama run against for Illinois Senate? Alan Keyes.
:rofl:
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pnwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 10:00 PM
Response to Reply #4
44. And who exactly will be her competition in the general?
Some Rethug idiot.
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LiberalFighter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
5. Primaries are not intended for the independents.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:07 PM
Response to Reply #5
18. So aren't we lucky that we get to hear what they think before we nominate?
What a mistake that could've been. Yikes!
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:12 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. In NH where 4 in 10 voters in the Dem primary were Indies, she got 31%
She'll be fine in the GE.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:34 PM
Response to Reply #21
29. That won't be repeated in the midwest and south...
Where independents come from a little bit different mindset.

(and in NH, Obama still got more. So nah! ;) )
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pnwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 10:02 PM
Response to Reply #29
45. There's no reason to think that, if she is the nominee, Independents in the midwest
will choose a Rethug over her. We don't need the South. Just one more state in the midwest or west would do.
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LiberalFighter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #18
28. How do we know that is their true feeling?
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:35 PM
Response to Reply #28
30. Is this an existential question?...n/t
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
6. To be blunt. She's not. Period. n/t
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
7. As bad as Hillary is, I see no scenario under which the GOP can win in November
Ron Paul is the only one among them to break clean from Bush, but even he could not compete with whoever the Democrats put up.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:03 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. It's not about winning as much as what gets done once we win!
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:13 PM
Response to Reply #9
22. I know exactly what progressives will be doing during Hillary's first term
March 2009 - National antiwar marches on the 6th anniversary of the start of the Iraq War.

October 2009 - National antiwar marches on the 7th anniversary of Iraq War Resolution.

March 2010 - National antiwar marches on the 7th anniversary of the start of the Iraq War.

October 2010 - National antiwar marches on the 8th anniversary of Iraq War Resolution.

March 2011 - National antiwar marches on the 8th anniversary of the start of the Iraq War.

October 2011 - National antiwar marches on the 9th anniversary of Iraq War Resolution.

March 2012 - National antiwar marches on the 9th anniversary of the start of the Iraq War.

October 2012 - National antiwar marches on the 10th anniversary of Iraq War Resolution.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:20 PM
Response to Reply #22
25. That's about the size of it.......
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:28 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. Thanks for the link
I watched the first minute, I will watch the other 48 minutes when I have more time.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:30 PM
Response to Reply #26
27. Pay close attention to his discussion on the Pentagon......
:hi:
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:03 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. I respectfully disagree. n/t
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:14 PM
Response to Reply #10
24. Nothing short of a daring terrorist attack could same the GOP in November
and even then, they will get blamed for allowing it to happen.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:36 PM
Response to Reply #24
32. Okay...n/t
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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:04 PM
Response to Original message
12. she won't.
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:08 PM
Response to Original message
19. She got 31% of the Indy vote in NH ..even with multiple Dems in the field .
She'll be fine in the general.
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bunnies Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:14 PM
Response to Reply #19
23. Sure. Just as long as she gets "emotional" the day before the vote. nt
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Lucinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #23
35. Wow...that's really profound. Thanks for posting!
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:36 PM
Response to Original message
31. Who says she can't? nt
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:36 PM
Response to Reply #31
33. So far Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan...n/t
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #33
34. Sorry thats meaningless. Try NY GENERAL elections where she
competed against them.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:44 PM
Response to Reply #34
36. Why would general elections in her so-called home state be more pertinent?
Do tell.

People don't feel the same about Hillar in the midwest and south as they do in the NE. Independents in general are different in the midwest and south than they are in the NE.
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #36
37. If independents are choosing beween 2 democrats
that means they are either going to vote for us in the GE, or they are fucking with our primary.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:54 PM
Response to Reply #37
40. The bigger concern is the independents who voted for Obama...
...You simply cannot assume they will vote for Hillary. Many will not. They will either vote GOP or will not vote at all. That is a sad fact, particularly in the midwest.
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 09:00 PM
Response to Reply #40
42. nonsense
Based on the direction of republican popularity and polls prior to Obama's more overt appeals to independents (run to the right)Hillary was kicking ass in polls v Republicans. She is in a primary race for Democratic votes right now. It is not surprising her numbers are slightly down from a couple months ago.

In a GE race, they will get the real choice and we are far and away in a better position. Hillary can better defend against GE attacks and has the qualifications and policy wonkishness that will attract independents and even repukes. Plus, there is evidence she will pull women from the repuke side in battle ground states.

An in depth Pew poll from around October backs this up.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 09:50 PM
Response to Reply #42
43. October? Whatever, good luck with that..
Let's see what Nevada and South Carolina have to say.
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 10:04 PM
Response to Reply #43
46. I really don't care how many independents he gets in a Democratic primary
get it?
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Imagevision Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:50 PM
Response to Original message
38. Last count, Diebold machines are still installed and still running, (not meant for amusement)
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:51 PM
Response to Original message
39. I have been asking for an inteligent conversation on this with clinto supporters for two days.
and have come to three possible conclusions.

All they reallyt care about is the nomination and not the election

All they really care about is the election and not what happens in the ensuing four years

There are no intelligent Clinton supportes.



No one has postulates how she might win the presidency let alone a mandate.

They all talk about How Great a President she will be but offer no evidence to support it

Or they dismiss the valu of a mandate altogether..


Or simply claim I hate her.





ARRRRGGGHHHH
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-16-08 08:59 PM
Response to Reply #39
41. In a way I understand it...(Hillary supporters, please read)
Edited on Wed Jan-16-08 09:27 PM by Kristi1696
If my candidate of choice had such a tremendous roadblock between themselves and the White House, I might be tempted to dismiss and ignore it too.

It sucks that there is an irrational hatred for Hillary in many parts of this country. But the fact that it sucks doesn't make it any less true. And the simple fact is that there is nothing she, nor any of her supporters, can do to change their minds about it.

I grew up in a town that hates her, I know firsthand how unrelenting this hatred is. During Bill's presidency, I tried to speak reason to them. It cannot be done. If Hillary is the nom, they will vote GOP. That's how they are.
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