Prediction, SC and NV will split, Super Tues states will decide

[usregimechange]

Which means other states will get their chance to have significant sway in Presidential primaries like never before.

[Drunken Irishman]

I think Obama wins both.

[Joe the Revelator]

1. I don't see either of those as a split, as long as votes aren't supressed

If Hillary doesn't get away with voter supression in NV, then Obama takes both states and the momentum going into super tuesday.

[Big Blue Marble]

2. Which state do you think Obama will lose?

I think if the teachers' union loses the court case, he will have a good shot at winning both.

[usregimechange]

4. I think he can win both and hope so, but I think he may lose NV in a

sqweeker.

[Name removed]

3. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[Renew Deal]

15. Your post makes my head hurt.

:dunce:

[CoffeeCat]

5. In making predictions...

I really try to be pragmatic.

I was spot on about Iowa--because I was there and I could see exactly what
was happening and why. I predicted it Obama, Edwards then Hillary.

I didn't predict NH correctly.

The polls show that Obama is overwhelmingly taking SC.

Regarding Nevada, most of the people who caucus, will not be a member of a union involved
in either side of this lawsuit. However, the people of Nevada will surely see exactly
what is going on and it will be a top story until this is finalized.

The lawsuit has the appearances of "sour grapes" on the part of the Clinton camp. Everyone
understands very well that it is her supporters and surrogates behind this lawsuit, and it
will not sit well with the average Nevada caucus goer.

Nevada is a lot like Iowa in that respect. In Iowa, Hillary pulled some underhanded stuff
and she was rejected (in part) due to those things. She planted questions at Iowa events.
One of her Field Leaders had to resign, because he sent out emails lying about Obama
being a Muslim. I see Hillary making blunders with this lawsuit, that are similar to her
blunders in Iowa.

I think NV and SC will go to Obama.

[JeanGrey]

7. But, Hillary might cry.

[CoffeeCat]

11. In that case....

I say she takes both states by 20 points.

[JeanGrey]

13. She won't take the election, unfortunately for us.

[loveangelc]

6. Clinton has the edge in NV but Obama may get it, idk.

I do believe he gets SC.

I think its good for Obama that there are many states with open primaries on super tuesday.

[Jai4WKC08]

8. Whether they split or not, Super Tuesday will decide.

The only likely effect of NV/SC will be IF they force Edwards to drop out (altho I suspect he'll hang on to the bitter end).

[CK_John]

9. Tomorrow will be interesting day, IMO the court will throw out at-large-precincts and

delay the caucus to give the state time to reorganize.

[Occam Bandage]

10. I think Obama wins both, but Clinton effectively captures the nomination on Super Tuesday.

[jackson_dem]

12. No one will win a majority on Super Tuesday

[Renew Deal]

14. I think it's going past 2/5 for a little while.

I don't think it will end there.

[Skip Intro]

16. Clinton wins NV. SC is still a ways away, in political time. We'll see. Not calling that one yet.