Breaking NY Times National Poll: Clinton 42 Obama 27 Edwards 11

[ruggerson]

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/14/us/politics/14cnd-npoll.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin

The poll’s findings are based on a national telephone survey conducted Jan. 9-12 with 1,061 registered voters; it has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points.

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

1. 20% undecided...

[MethuenProgressive]

11. If NH is the rule, the undecideds will go to Clinton.

[Catch22Dem]

17. And if Iowa is the rule? (N/T)

[MethuenProgressive]

19. Then the corner with the best cookies will get the most second choicers.

Mmmm cookies!

[Catch22Dem]

23. HAHAHA, good call

I do like good cookies. Those really soft iced cookies from Lofthouse!

[aquart]

18. But state to state, it can't be considered a certainty.

Just as women over 60 voted for her in Iowa, but women over 40 voted for her in NH.

[durrrty libby]

2. As it should be. Thanks

[Joe the Revelator]

3. Is this the CNN poll we were talking about earlier this morning?

If so, it looks like its going to be an outlier when compared to Rasmussen and ABC

[ruggerson]

6. Doesn't the ARG poll out today

pretty much match this one?

[Joe the Revelator]

15. I'm not sure about that, but...

... even if it does, you'll have two saying one thing and two saying another.


Rassmussen's tracking poll has been my baseline all cycle.

[ruggerson]

21. There's an ABC/WaPo poll due out that Drudge is hyping as showing Barack closing

Doesn't seem to be out yet, though.

[MonkeyFunk]

14. No

this appears to be different from the CNN poll.

This is the third poll in two days showing a large Clinton lead.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

16. This Is A New York Times/CBS Poll

ABC hasn't released a poll recently...

[Joe the Revelator]

22. NEW WASHPOSTABCNEWS POLL: LARGE SHIFT TO OBAMA ... DEVELOPING...

They are about to.

[mrmx9]

30. ABC News Poll has Clinton 42% Obama 37% and Edwards 11%

The newly released ABC poll has Clinton up by 5% amongst Democrats - but Obama has gained 14 points and Clinton has lost 11 points since their last poll (Dec 9) with Edwards standing still on 11%

http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Vote2008/story?id=4128343&page=1

[elizm]

32. You mean Clinton News Network...

:boring:

[tandem5]

43. gonna bring that one out of retirement eh? nt

[Kittycat]

4. Can't trust the polls. Too many unknowns - and excludes a large voter block (cell users) n/t

[aquart]

10. Too many undecideds.

[Kittycat]

25. Agreed on that one too.

[thunder rising]

5. Is this a surprise? That's her home state.

Hopefully she'll carry Arkansas as well.

But we'll actually let the elections take place, unless Hillary decides to block the voters.

[ruggerson]

9. Um, it's a national poll sample

Paper: New York Times
Subject matter: National poll

[MethuenProgressive]

13. "That's her home state."? LOL. Yes, she lives in America,

:crazy:

[antiimperialist]

7. National polls are soo not relevant

This is not a national election. It's several state elections. State elections do carry weight, and even those haven't been accurate.
National numbers may and do change after every state contest.

[robbedvoter]

33. Snapshot - relevant for the day they are taken. Can change with the next news

Usually, different primary results would alter it.

[rwheeler31]

8. Who are these people talking to?

[aquart]

12. Americans.

[Catch22Dem]

20. Not the ones I identify with (n/t)

[aquart]

37. Well, there goes the "unity" thing.

[Catch22Dem]

40. after the nominee has been decided, I'm all for unity

Until then...

[Loge23]

24. McCain vs. Clinton changes nothing

If this is the best we can do in this country, then we're in worse shape than we thought.

[Cha]

26. Right...the inevitable one.

hillary's smeared and jeered her way up onto her freakshow pedestal again.

[Tropics_Dude83]

27. Inevitable

Hillary seems to be as inevitable in this year's democratic nomination fight as George W. Bush was in 2000, which may indicate that she just might win the presidency.

[madrchsod]

28. well if that`s the case there`s no need to worry--i`ll just-->

[jsamuel]

29. Can we finally put to rest the myth that Edwards supporters would go to Obama?

[LordJFT]

44. if edwards drops he'll endorse obama

many of his supporters may follow

[Imagevision]

31. geeezussss! e're still into 'polls' how gowsh!!!

[MadBadger]

34. National polls are not relevant until after SC

[elizm]

35. And the only way Clinton wins SC is to steal it. nt

[goldcanyonaz]

36. Nice!

[tritsofme]

39. How did you find out about our plan?

We're sending James Carville out with a tank, and has been authorized to "shoot to kill" any non-Hillary supporters he can find.

I thought we could keep this under wraps for a few more days...

[suston96]

38. National and state polls are starting to widen for Hillary....post NH...

...and maybe that explains the sudden racism memes from the Obama campaign.

[grantcart]

41. National polls at this point are a waste of time

Just ask Guilliani

[Thrill]

42. Just Popularity.......

Obama is new on the scene. The Polls will change.

[Colobo]

45. Relax. Means little. Victories for Obama in NV and SC

change everything.

[wiley]

46. Clinton/Obama 2008

[BenDavid]

47. I am of the strong opinion and I agree with the gov of michigan

that the democrats in 2012 have got to come up with a better format in the nomination process. This caucus crap needs to be replaced with folks actually casting a vote.

I say we should place all 50 states in a bowl numbered 1 - 50 and states numbered 1 - 10 will begin casting votes on the second tuesday in janaury and 14 days later the next 10( 11-20) and then 14 days later(21-30 etc 31-40 etc 41-50.

[DURHAM D]

48. And the folks casting a vote actually need to be

registered Dems.