Blogger Predictions

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http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/groundgame/2008/01/blogger-predictions.html

Blogger Predictions

By Eric Pfeiffer | January 3, 2008 4:09 PM | Permalink | Comments (0)

snip//

Red State has also weighed in on the Democrats, predicting a narrow victory for Edwards over Obama, and Clinton pacing a few points behind in third place.

Most liberal bloggers have been more reserved about their predictions, but a few have weighed in, often with detailed disclaimers explaining their educated guesses.

Daily Kos separates his predictions into "Entrance poll" numbers and "Final results," with Obama coming out first in both. In fact, he sees an upward tick for Obama once supporters of candidates who receive less than 15 percent of the vote are asked to give their second choice candidates.

Open Left’s Chris Bowers also predicts an Obama victory

MyDD’s Jerome Aromstrong goes with Obama as well, but notes he is personally pulling for Edwards, a sentiment that seems to be shared by a plurality of progressive bloggers.

Finally, over at the Huffington Post, pollster John Zogby has revised his own caucus fallout theory. Originally, Zogby said Edwards could not survive a third place finish in Iowa. However, Zogby now says that might not be the case if the top three finishers are within a few points of each other:

This race could stay very close and we may emerge with all three as viable candidates going into New Hampshire

[Renew Deal]

1. Jerome Armstrong has been overtly hostile to Obama.

I think an Obama loss would be the surprise now,