I'm changing my Iowa guess

[cali]

I still think it's Edwards coming in first, but only by a couple of points, and I'm switiching to Obama coming in 2nd with Clinton no more than 3 or 4 points behind- In other words, I think they'll all be within 5 or 6 points of each other And because of that I don't think the winner will get a big boost in NH I think NH goes to Obama with Clinton in 2nd and same thing for SC Clinton take NV. Edwards will drop out sometime before Feb 5th and endorse Obama. I'm more likely than not wrong, and tomorrow I'll be gnawing on my words.

[rodeodance]

1. whoever is in front will get the boost--no matter if only a tid bit.

[BlueManDude]

2. Edwards winning even by the slightest margin would give him a huge boost

A victory by Edwards would be seen as much more of an earthquake than one by either Obama or Clinton.

[RiverStone]

4. Yes - particularly because the M$M will FINALLY give him some real attention...n/t

[DU9598]

3. Somewhat Agree

I am inclined to change my earlier guesses and agree with you on the results. However, I do not think that Edwards will endorse if/when he leaves the race ... and if he does, I think he may endorse Hillary over Obama or just leave it to the voters to decide without his sway. There is a growing resentment on the ground within the Edwards Iowa campaign. There is a somewhat justified belief that Obama is taking some of Edwards greatest lines and there are a lot of misstatements from the Obama campaign about Edwards by those going door to door. To top it all off, Obama's anti-trial lawyer remarks were very offensive to many in the Edwards camp.