What other states do you see Edwards realistically winning other than Iowa?

[TeamJordan23]

Because I can't name one.

[DemPopulist]

1. NH, NV, SC

etc. etc. etc.

This is assuming he wins Iowa.

[TeamJordan23]

6. He is not running competitive in NH and SC. Do you really expect him to have a 15-20 point jump? nm

[DemPopulist]

11. He's very competitive in NH

He's at 20% and 21% in the last two public polls of New Hampshire (LA Times/Bloomberg & ARG). He gets a 7-10% bounce out of Iowa - nnot a historically large bounce, mind you - and he's very much in the game. SC - I haven't seen any polls from in a couple of weeks, but he's been climbing there too. He won it last time. Hard to imagine he doesn't win it if he comes into the state with serious momentum.

The truth is that Obama & Edwards have more or less the same strategy. They're both relying on the early states - and Iowa in particular - to give them a bounce that carries through to Super Tuesday. Why else has Obama thrown everything but the kitchen sink into Iowa?

[Dawgs]

8. No chance he wins SC, unless Obama AND Hillary drop out first.

[tridim]

2. Ask me again after he wins Iowa. nt

[sampsonblk]

3. None - unless he wins Iowa

In that case, he may have a chance in other states.

[stray cat]

4. Most of the south

[liberal N proud]

5. If he does very well in Iowa, then he could come on strong

all across the country and anything anyone thinks at this point could be worthless.
Lets see what happens after Thursday.

[Cameron27]

7. With Edwards, everything depends on Iowa,

so I don't have a clue.

[MethuenProgressive]

9. All the ones he helped win in 2004.

:shrug:

[ccpup]

10. I fear the Edwards campaign has made a fatal error

in putting all of their eggs in the Iowa Basket and not really laying the necessary groundwork in other States he would need in order to fully capitalize on any climb in the Polls he would gain from winning or placing very strongly in Iowa. He appears to still be a non-entity in the larger February 5th States like New York, New Jersey, California, etc. and those delegates are absolutely crucial -- especially California's 441 or something like that -- to sealing the deal with the nomination.

Poll numbers are great, but they don't make up for not only the ground team one needs in a State where you haven't really had as strong a presence as in Iowa -- and, for Edwards, that's been the last four years, as I understand it --, but also for the support and not-to-be-underestimated local endorsements that can help those still considering you make the jump to actually voting for you.

[K Gardner]

12. Tennessee, easily