from The American Prospect:
Campaigns Preparing for Nasty, Not Nice
After a primary season full of mudslinging, will Democratic voters still be able to unite around a nominee? Terence Samuel | December 21, 2007 | web only
The conventional wisdom going into this campaign season was that Democratic voters were, overall, much more enthusiastic about their presidential choices than Republicans were about theirs. In general, most Democrats felt they could live with any of the top three candidates seeking the nomination. There were the conspicuous Hillary-haters, but not enough of them to keep her from looking like the prohibitive favorite most of the time.
The Republicans, on the other hand, somehow assumed the usual Democratic mantle of the party of disappointment and dismay -- disappointed in their candidates and dismayed at their chances. The Democrats were unified; Republicans were in discord.
As was predictable, the conventional wisdom has begun to collapse, and one question facing Democrats is whether they will have anything to unify around after the fire season that the next month will represent.
Already, we have seen congressional Democrats' unity evaporate in the face of effective pushback from the White House, and as the primaries draw closer and the tempers get shorter, we've seen previews of how ugly the presidential campaign will get. Bill Shaheen's deep concern about what the Republicans would do to Barack Obama over his drug use in college was only the beginning.
In Iowa, the polls are close; the stakes are high and the process is wholly unpredictable. Which means the next phase is bound to be really nasty. The most recent Washington Post-ABC News poll shows Obama building on a small lead over Hillary Clinton and John Edwards, with 33 percent of the vote, over Clinton's 29 percent and Edwards' 20 percent. But the polls also show that Hillary's voters are more sure of who they are going to vote for, while Edwards leads among veteran caucus-goers who have a demonstrated history of turning out. ......(more)
The complete piece is at:
http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=campaigns_preparing_for_nasty_not_nice