I'm talking about the Des Moines Register's
endorsement of John McCain.
McCain has been lingering in
5th place in Iowa (but in a virtual tie with Giuliani, Thompson, and Paul for a distant 3rd place well behind Huckabee and Romney).
Yet McCain is in
2nd place and rising in New Hampshire.
A better-than-expected 3rd place finish in Iowa, especially if combined with a worse than expected distant 2nd place finish by Romney, could catapult McCain to a come-from-behind win in New Hampshire.
If McCain can pull off such an insurgence, it would cause a collapse of the Romney campaign, who will have by then blown a big lead in Iowa to Huckabee and a big lead in his next-door-neighbor-state New Hampshire to McCain. This McCain insurgence would also coincide with the now-inevitable end of the zombie-like Thompson campaign (
he's currently at a shockingly poor 2% to 3% in New Hampshire), and just as McCain will be looking strongest, Giuliani's campaign will be looking weakest when, as is likely, Giuliani will have competed in two consecutive races where he failed to make the top 3.
If the Des Moines Register's
endorsement of John McCain boosts him to a 3rd place finish in Iowa, and Huckabee wins handily in Iowa as expected, all bets are off.
McCain could win the Republican nomination.
If it becomes apparent that McCain may likely win the Republican nomination, you will hear more and more about the fact that McCain beats Hillary head-to-head and Obama can only tie McCain while Edwards wallops McCain by a hefty 8%:
Credit for the graphic to BruinKid at Kos and here is the original source upon which the graph is based.
Clearly, McCain is the Republican's strongest nominee by far.
Equally clearly, Edwards is our strongest nominee against McCain by far.