Caution on New SC polling result.

[Perky]

First of all I love the numbers, but I am somewhat leery.

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1210_74.aspx

InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Weekend Survey: Obama Extends Lead in South Carolina

Compiled from InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff reports


December 10, 2007 — An InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion survey conducted December 8-9 of likely voters in South Carolina’s presidential primary shows Barack Obama extending his lead over Hillary Clinton. The telephone survey of 480 likely voters in the primary was weighted for age, race, and gender. It has a margin of error of 4%

Q. If the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary were held today, would you vote for:

Obama: 28%
Clinton: 22%
Edwards: 14%
Biden: 10%
Richardson: 2%
Kucinich: 1%
Dodd: 0%
Gravel: 0%
Undecided: 23%

InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “Obama’s support among African-Americans rose a bit over the weekend, while Clinton’s dropped. This follows our poll of late last week in which there was a major shift in black voters towards Obama. Edwards lost a small amount, as this likely shifted to undecided.

“However, Obama’s white vote has not moved. Clearly the Oprah Winfrey visit to the state moved African-American voters. The issue now is whether Clinton can eat into some of Edward’s support or reclaim some of her prior African-American support.

Added Lee Bandy of The State newspaper in Columbia, South Carolina, and of Insider Advantage: “I believe these numbers are correct. There has been tremendous shift in the black vote since last week, when people realized that Oprah Winfrey was coming to South Carolina. This is the first political event I’ve ever seen with 30,000 people and tailgaters.”

First it is a relatively small polling sample; Secondly, I actually know Towery. I debated against him and his partner Roy Schwartzman in High School. He was a schmuck then and he grew up to be a bigger schmuck when he became Executive Director of the Georgia GOP working for Ralph Reed. Third, what is up with this Lee Brady guy? Can you be a political reporter and a pollster at the same time????

[wyldwolf]

1. Survey USA has Hillary leading 44% to 40%

Poll is dated 12/11

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=e2d87209-9980-4e95-a60f-2f6a5468164e&q=44162

[Perky]

2. Those numbers seem awfully high for both don't you think?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. Lee Bandy Is South Carolina's David Yepsen

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[Perky]

4. And he works for a Pollster?

That is awfully awfully powerful.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. He's A Editiorialist/Reporter We Hear About Every Four Year Because Of His State's Primary

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