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Clinton No Longer Should Worry Just About Iowa

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Nutmegger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 03:01 AM
Original message
Clinton No Longer Should Worry Just About Iowa
Edited on Mon Dec-10-07 03:02 AM by Nutmegger
From NBC's Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro
With just 24 days to go before Iowa, it appears the race for the Democratic nomination is no longer a tight 1-state contest, but a truly competitive race across the country.

In three new MSNBC/McCLATCHY/Mason-Dixon polls of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, the national frontrunner, Hillary Clinton, leads in all three states but her lead is not outside the margin of error in any of those states. Her largest lead is three points, statistically insignificant. Her leading challenger, Barack Obama is nipping at her heels, trailing in Iowa by 2 points and trailing in New Hampshire and South Carolina by just three points.

John Edwards is a major factor in Iowa and South Carolina but trails badly in New Hampshire.

Iowa: Clinton nabbed 27%, followed by Obama at 25% and Edwards at 21%. No other candidate scored double-digits, including Richardson who came in at 9% and Joe Biden who rec'd 5%. As for the all-important second-choice category, all three Dem frontrunners are tied, with 30% picking Obama, 29% naming Clinton and 27% selecting Edwards.

Full article: Full article: http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2007/12/09/506446.aspx
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David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 03:08 AM
Response to Original message
1. Hillary will win New Hampshire. Count on it.
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liberalnurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 03:19 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. She has Nevada and Ohio too!
Too much focus on Iowa..............all one has to do is the math. Hillary has the numbers.
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Andromeda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 03:23 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Yes, she does...
Losing Iowa (and I don't think she'll lose) wouldn't be the end of everything.
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ariesgem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 03:51 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. Her lead is shrinking in Nevada
According to a phone survey published in the Las Vegas Review-Journal, the New York senator is favored by 34% of likely caucus-goers, compared to 26% for Barack Obama.

In the paper's last poll, conducted in October, she had 39% to Obama's 21%.

No other candidate registered in the double digits.

http://www.ksby.com/Global/story.asp?S=7472341
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 04:27 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. Those numbers go in the blender after Iowa.
Typically the winner of the Iowa caucuses gets a 10 point bump going into NH. And we could easily see that effect nationwide.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 03:25 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. That would be foolish
It's all up in the air. No candidate or supporter can count on winning IA, NH or SC- and Obama is moving up even in NV. Clinton will have to fight every inch of the way and so will Obama.
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Bitwit1234 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 05:21 AM
Response to Original message
7. Why should the next president of the United States worry
President Hillary Clinton...damn that has a good ring.
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oasis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 07:04 AM
Response to Original message
8.  The word "worry" is not in the Clinton vocabulary. (eom)
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Perry Logan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 07:10 AM
Response to Original message
9. The Obama and Edwards people have assured me many times that polls mean nothing.
Edited on Mon Dec-10-07 07:10 AM by Perry Logan
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ellacott Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-10-07 08:15 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. I guess that settles it
:sarcasm:
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