Rasmussen daily graph for 12/4/07 - Clinton's slide continues, Obama down 1, Edwards up 2

[DavidDvorkin]

If this goes on ...







Rasmussen links:
Data in tabular form
Discussion

[jefferson_dem]

1. Thanks for these David.

:thumbsup:

[petersjo02]

2. Looks good to me! n//t

[DavidDvorkin]

3. I like the trend

Holding my breath for the rest of this week.

Metaphorically speaking, of course.

[BenDavid]

4. To go to this length to show how Obama is polling is a plus for

ya, but all I need do is say Pew Research shows HRC 31%-26%-19%. No charts just numbers...

Ben David

[Renew Deal]

7. Old numbers

Like Liebmernan 25, Kerry 20, Gephardt 19

[Renew Deal]

5. So Hillary and Obama are taking the hit for the negativity

and Edwards benefits? It's too early to tell, but that might be what's going on.

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

8. That's the plan. Since Clinton can't get a first round KO she wants to keep it three-way

If she can't win Iowa, she wants to deny it to Obama.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. I Still Think It's Risky

Of course she wants Edwards to win Iowa if she can't so he emerges as her main opponent and not Obama... But she runs the risk of dirtying up and hurting herself in the primaries that follow if she goes too negative...

That being said, her people get paid the big bucks so they must see something I don't see...

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

16. I have to assume they are not optimistic about Iowa, and they have polls we don't

If Edwards won Iowa and then challenged Obama in NH, Hillary could edge to victory in NH with something lame like 29%

Then she gets Nevada with Obama third, and PR bumps for her presumptive blow-out beauty contest wins in Michigan and Florida. Even if Obama wins SC in there, she goes into super tuesday with a clear delegate lead and a split anti-Hillary vote who have each won only one primary.

That's not great, but if she has a reason to think Iowa is going to work out poorly it's better than losing Iowa, NH and SC to Obama and going into super Tuesday in a two-way race with a popular unknown.

Beats me! But I can't see Bill Clinton letting her look this bad without at least a theory to the thing. Maybe a flawed theory, but at least something.

[DavidDvorkin]

10. Could be

Of course, we won't know anything for sure until it's all over and someone has the nomination. :)

[karynnj]

15. Obama's is most likely because the day that rolled out was a big

day - taking the average up 3 points.

[Clintonista2]

6. So "the polls" aren't evil anymore?

:shrug:

[DavidDvorkin]

11. I've never said they were

I've been posting this one every day for a long time now. Or was that addressed to someone else?

[Clintonista2]

12. It was adressed the the Hillary haters who claim that Rasmussen is "owned by the Clintons"

[DavidDvorkin]

13. Ah. Okay.

There may be more accurate ones around, for that matter, but this is the only one that posts its daily numbers. If there were others, maybe I'd do a graph for them, as well, unless pollingreport.com started doing so.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. Your Work Is Laudable And Certainly Displays A Great Deal Of Understanding

But a person's survey research is only as good as the data he is given to work with...

Sometimes Rasmussen is a bit of an outlier...He constantly has Bush's approval rating four to seven points higher than "aggregate polling" and his D-R presidential match ups show a Republican bias as well...