SC Poll: Clinton 19%, Obama 17%, Edwards 12% (Clinton down; Obama and Edwards up)

[ClarkUSA]

It's a statistical tie between Obama and Clinton in the Palmetto state, with Edwards not far behind.

Link to poll: http://www.clemson.edu/newsroom/special_reports/internal/2007/november/Palmetto_Poll_November.pdf

Clinton has dropped 7 points since August, while Obama is up 1 point and Edwards is up 2 points. 49% are undecided -- up 12 points.
The candidates' respective trendlines in Iowa and New Hampshire have now spread to South Carolina.

For the newest NH poll, go see "Nov. 28, 2007 - Obama, Edwards Rallying in NH Democratic Primary" at
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3768078

A Clinton nomination doesn't look so inevitable anymore.

[JI7]

1. 49 undecided means it can go to anyone

[ClarkUSA]

3. NH also has a large undecided %

See: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x3768078

The same holds true there, and I believe whoever wins Iowa will go on to win NH and SC.

[Colobo]

2. Hey, Hillary... Can you hear it?

It's the O-Train heading to DC... :)

[ClarkUSA]

17. Others hear it, too.

Yesterday was the first time I've ever heard MSM political punditry say they thought Obama was going to win Iowa.

[Colobo]

25. They know it's coming!

:bounce:

[ClarkUSA]

27. Today some remarked upon how little Hillary was referred to during the GOP debate last night

A roundtable of political pundits speculated that the much lower frequency of Hillary references during last night GOP debate
was a reflection of the realization among the Republican candidates that Clinton may not be the nominee, after all, so they
weren't going to waste their precious time on her.

[calteacherguy]

4. What's happening everywhere is people are realizing they have choices

despite the media having told them for years who the nominee was supposedly going to be.

[Colobo]

5. It's called peaking too soon...

[calteacherguy]

6. Yeah like three years to soon. nt

[Colobo]

7. Hahahahahaha!!! Loved it!

Gobama!

[ClarkUSA]

16. More voters are paying attention, too - especially in the early caucus & primary states

And an educated voter is the best antidote to another installment of political dynasty.

[Colobo]

8. Hillary fans will love this poll.

I know it.

[ClarkUSA]

9. I know I'm lovin' it.

Obama's message is taking hold. Clinton is fading in the backstretch.

[Alamom]

10. Dems. Very sure - 49% -- Might Change - 51% (450 polled. MOE - 4.62%)

Same link.

http://www.clemson.edu/newsroom/special_reports/internal/2007/november/Palmetto_Poll_November.pdf


Q3. Are you sure about voting for _______________ or might you change your mind before the
South Carolina primary elections?

Democrats

Very sure - 49%
Might Change - 51% (450 polled. MOE - 4.62%)

[BenDavid]

11. Hillary Clinton 43%, Barack Obama 33%, John Edwards 11%,

poll from rasmussen that ran through november 24th.

RCP Average 10/26 - 11/27 - 37.5 clinton...........25.5 Obama....... 12.8 Edwards.....SPREAD----------Clinton +12.0

Clemson 11/14 - 11/27 450 LV 19 Clinton-------- 17 Obama------- 12 Edwards------- Spread Clinton +2.0

Ben David

[Yukari Yakumo]

20. More info...

SurveyUSA 11/9-11/11 -- Hillary Clinton 47%, Barack Obama 33%, John Edwards 10% -- Spread HRC +14.0
ARG 10/26-10/28 -- Hillary Clinton 41%, Barack Obama 19%, John Edwards 18% -- Spread HRC +22.0

Hmmm... Something doesn't gel right with Clemson's poll...

[Colobo]

12. Let's kick it.

[emilyg]

14. Don't tempt me

;)

[Colobo]

15. Hahahahaha! A hug for you, emily!

:hug:

[Colobo]

13. Kick.

[elizm]

18. And Oprah doesn't even come here until Dec. 9th. nt

[Colobo]

23. Hopefully Oprah will help Obama big time in SC.

[cali]

19. good for Obama

this is encouraging news for everyone but Clinton supporters, and even they should see that a competitive race is good for all.
And I do think Clinton peaked too soon, mostly on name recognition. People are really starting to tune in now, in little over a month we'll see what they really think about these candidates.

[earthlover]

21. I would think that the undecided would not favor Hillary....

Hillary is a known quantity, has the most name recognition.

Those who are undecided would be less likely to be her followers, or they would not be undecided in the first place.

As they get more info on the other candidates, especially if one becomes the alternative to Clinton, there is lots and lots of room for a surge for someone other than Clinton.

If Obama wins Iowa, he will have a good chance at NH with all the momentum and media coverage. Then a win in SC would just about seal the deal....

I think a lot of hillary's early lead, particularly among blacks, stems from the perception that obama did not have a chance.

[Colobo]

22. Amen!

[youthere]

24. It's a horserace.

[PurityOfEssence]

26. Edwards took SC with 45% in '04 and he's a favorite son

Still, fully half of the Dems there are black, and there's great support for Clinton as well as Obama.

I'm actually quite surprised to see Edwards this high; it had been endlessly touted that he wasn't even within sight.

Interesting race; too bad it'll probably all be over in ten weeks...