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Hillary has a core level of support between 40-45% that is pretty solid

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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 07:21 PM
Original message
Hillary has a core level of support between 40-45% that is pretty solid
Every poll shows her supporters are the most solid and least likely to switch. The polls that people are referencing with her dropping from support in the low 50's to mid 40's is just some reversion to her historical polling. Polls go up and polls go down. Either the polls that had her above 50% were erroneous or more likely she had very weak support that got her above 50% and after a week of bad publicity this weak support went from her to the undecided column with her core supporters remaining.
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 07:23 PM
Response to Original message
1. Nothing is core until the day of the election
Edited on Tue Nov-06-07 07:23 PM by bigdarryl
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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 07:25 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I don't know about that
You can go to polls as far back as December 2003 with her getting 40% when she wasn't even running.
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emilyg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 07:34 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. I am.
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RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 07:25 PM
Response to Original message
3. Your assuming the M$M reports facts accurately...n/t
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MethuenProgressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 07:25 PM
Response to Original message
4. She's leading in support from liberals, too.
Edited on Tue Nov-06-07 07:26 PM by MethuenProgressive
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=3690083&mesg_id=3690083

Hillary Clinton's opponents have accused her of sounding too hawkish on Iran, of refusing to commit to a firmer timetable for removing troops from Iraq and of generally moving to the center -- all criticisms designed to undermine her support among the Democratic Party's liberal base.

But a new Washington Post-ABC News poll of the 2008 race shows a surprising trend: Clinton's support among liberals is actually rising, not falling, as the nomination debate has intensified.

A review of Post-ABC polls throughout the year, assembled by analyst Jennifer Agiesta of our polling unit, shows that Clinton has expanded her overall lead in the Democratic race in large part because of growing support among self-identified liberals.

The new poll showed 54 percent of liberals said they supported Clinton for the Democratic nomination, the second consecutive poll in which she has won the backing of more than half of all liberals. That represents a significant jump in liberal support from earlier in the year, when she was backed by 40-43 percent of those who identified themselves as liberals.

The opposite has happened to Barack Obama. His support among liberals has actually declined over the course of the campaign. He began the year with the support of 33 percent of liberals, topped out at 36 percent in July and now has drifted down to 25 percent.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 07:27 PM
Response to Original message
5. 40-45% of what?
Dems? Independents? Republicans (shudder)? Is this about what would happen in the general or is this only support in the primary? If it's Democratic primary support...oh my. No wonder the boys are getting testy.
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peacebird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 07:30 PM
Response to Original message
6. yawn.... the inevitable Hillary, kind of like the inevitable Dean, or.....
:eyes:

except I would've LOVED it if Dean had won.

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durrrty libby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 07:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. "yawn'? Why bore the rest of us? Be respectful and just go seepy time
No need to announce:boring:
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jgraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
9. She has a professional poll-rigger running her campaign
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Penn%2C_Schoen_and_Berland_Associates

Penn, Schoen and Berland (PSB) has played a pioneering role in the use of polling operations, especially "exit polls," in facilitating coups. Its primary mission is to shape the perception that the group installed into power ... has broad popular support. The group began work in Serbia during the period that its principle, Mark Penn, was President Clinton's top political advisor.
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Well, Democrats always wanted their very own Karl Rove. Ugh.
Doesn't Schoen work at Rasmussen Polls now?
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ileus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 08:35 PM
Response to Original message
11. I don't know what it's like having a woman president, but we're going to find out.
Edited on Tue Nov-06-07 08:36 PM by ileus
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 08:45 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. We might have our first woman nominee...but I doubt if she would be president
08 is a year that SHOULD be ours. Hillary, however, is the one candidate that many who would otherwise not vote Republican would vote against.

The Reps want Hillary to be nominated. Why should we give them what they want?
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Hieronymus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-06-07 08:53 PM
Response to Original message
13. Edwards has a far better chance. Think about it when Hillary loses to GOP.
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