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Clinton has 21-point lead in New Hampshire poll (41 to 20)

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Karmadillo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 12:26 AM
Original message
Clinton has 21-point lead in New Hampshire poll (41 to 20)
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN1327481220071014

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Hillary Clinton has a 21-point lead over fellow Democrat Barack Obama in New Hampshire, one of the first states to vote in the nominating process for the 2008 U.S. presidential election, a poll showed on Sunday.

In a poll by Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, 41 percent of likely Democratic voters support Clinton followed by 20 percent for Obama, a first-term senator from Illinois. Former Sen. John Edwards was third with 11 percent.

Among likely Republican voters, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney had a slight lead with 26 percent support, followed by 20 percent for former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and 17 percent for Arizona Sen. John McCain. Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, a Hollywood actor who officially entered the race last month, had 10 percent support.

The poll surveyed 1,512 registered New Hampshire voters and has a margin of error of 5 percentage points for the results for Democrats and 5.5 percentage points for Republicans.

more...
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jaysunb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 12:32 AM
Response to Original message
1. I remember when Howard Dean had a similar lead
about this time in 04.

I even went there in 15 degree below zero weather to help out. Those Granite State voters are really something......:evilgrin:
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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 12:42 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Dean had a similar lead in December 2003.
Edited on Sun Oct-14-07 12:43 AM by LoZoccolo
At the end of October 2003 he had 16% of the total vote, with a 4% lead over Lieberman (the margin of error in that poll, however, was +/- 5.5%).

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04dem.htm
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defendandprotect Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 01:55 AM
Response to Reply #1
8. Hillary's DLC so she she be OK ....
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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 08:47 AM
Response to Reply #1
12. Then you remember incorrectly
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 12:33 AM
Response to Original message
2. Then their state doesn't need to bother either.
She leads everywhere, so no one has to sweat the primaries. Nice to know.
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AlCzervik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 12:45 AM
Response to Original message
4. did Romney's numbers creep back up a little? i saw another poll maybe a week ago?
that had him and the tragedy profiteer almost tied.
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emilyg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 12:49 AM
Response to Original message
5. Thanks for posting.
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sampsonblk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 01:32 AM
Response to Original message
6. This isn't even competitive
The other candidates need a miracle or a (real) gaffe.
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defendandprotect Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 01:56 AM
Response to Reply #6
9. And, I guess it's believable . . . ???
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BadgerLaw2010 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 05:47 PM
Response to Reply #9
15. Arguing that every single poll is wrong indicates being divorced from reality.
The data on Hillary being dominant everywhere except Iowa is pretty damn overwhelming.
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defendandprotect Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 09:48 PM
Response to Reply #15
26. Reflect on the "data" re Howard Dean . . . he was top of the heap . . . Kerry at bottom 3%?
So . . . I take all of these polls with a whole box of salt, thank you . .. !!!

Hillary is the corporate DLC candidate -- she's getting a lot of help ---




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ripple Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 01:59 AM
Response to Reply #6
10. Or a war room like Clinton's
You know, pretty, positive, and welcoming...all while whispering about other candidates to the media. It doesn't hurt to have unpaid favors from democratic leaders in early primary states, either.

Still, I'm sure it will be a fair election process. After all, we're a DEMOCRACY. :eyes:
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sampsonblk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 03:16 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. Oh I believe you
I have no doubt that the stuff you allude to is going on. No question.

But the other candidates had an opportunity to prepare the way for themselves just as Mrs Clinton did. She has made this run the hallmark of her political career, and planned accordingly. She 'dun her homework' and got all her ducks in a row long before this race began.

I don't believe in inevitability. But Hillary Clinton has resources that she hasn't even tapped yet.
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 06:27 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. Some of the other candidates didn't have the $$$ to prepare they way for
themselves just as Mrs. Clinton did.
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cuke Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 06:40 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. The Clintons left the White House in debt
Hillary got that money the old fashioned way - She fundraised it

Nobody was stopping the other candidates from doing the same
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 06:50 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. Hillary's supporters had the deepest pockets, which to me is an indication
of who she hangs with...

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cuke Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 07:08 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. I just don't understand that
When Obama raises lots of cash, it's a sign of grassroots support. When Clinton does it, it's "an indication of who she hangs with"

One of the reasons she can raise cash is because she can win elections. She can win elections because there are many Democratic voters that support her. The reason she has the support of so many voters is the result of what she has done, not because of her money or who she hangs with. Certainly, friends with money help, but ordinary dems don't vote for someone because they're rich or because of who they hang with.
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 07:16 PM
Response to Reply #19
20. Nope, not picking on Hillary only - I have the same concerns about Obama but our
postings were talking about Clinton.

I'm not going to respond to the rest of your post because I just don't see it as you do, so we'd get nowhere going back and forth debating it. We both have better ways to spend our time.



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cuke Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 07:25 PM
Response to Reply #20
21. That's cool
I'm glad I'm not the only one that recognizes that our opinions are not facts and that our opinions are rooted in our perspective
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 07:28 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. Very well put! nt
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sufrommich Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 08:50 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. So you're joining the whispering campaign
to blame Clinton for the whispering campaigns.Cute.
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Karmadillo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 09:24 PM
Response to Reply #13
24. Ouch, ouch, ouch. Very nice post.
nt
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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 08:48 PM
Response to Reply #10
23. Or quit blaming other people, lol. n/t
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bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 01:49 AM
Response to Original message
7. remember in NH independents and rethugs can vote in the primary
so that 20 point so called lead can dwindle fast when you factor which candsidate is going to get the most independent vote
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democratsin08 Donating Member (312 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 09:00 AM
Response to Original message
14. great news
the more people see obama the less they like him.
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Ethelk2044 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-14-07 09:25 PM
Response to Original message
25. Do not need to worry about NH polls. Indys can vote in NH and the poll
does not take into account of Indys. She does not have that big of a lead.
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