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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
hedgehog (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 10:11 AM Original message |
How many people who are being polled now will actually turn out for |
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DemocratSinceBirth (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 10:13 AM Response to Original message |
1. The Final Polls Should Roughly Match The Primary Results |
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CTyankee (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 10:16 AM Response to Original message |
2. If the poll asks people who self identify as "likely voters" the primaries |
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hedgehog (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 10:30 AM Response to Reply #2 |
4. Here's what I'm getting at. |
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CTyankee (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 11:37 AM Response to Reply #4 |
5. Well, a poll can't read minds. However, I think as you get closer to the election |
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hedgehog (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 12:39 PM Response to Reply #5 |
6. There is some science and some art in poll taking. |
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CTyankee (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 03:12 PM Response to Reply #6 |
7. Exactly, but it is in the best interests of candidates to get as close to the truth |
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hedgehog (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 04:05 PM Response to Reply #7 |
8. But if the candidate is using poll sto convince people that he or |
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CTyankee (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 04:10 PM Response to Reply #8 |
9. If their internal polling is saying something different than what they tell people |
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Tellurian (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Thu Sep-27-07 10:20 AM Response to Original message |
3. Hillary in the lead in IOWA... |
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