Missouri is a classic swing state in Presidential elections. The candidate who wins the Show-Me State’s Electoral Votes generally wins the White House.
Looking ahead to Election 2008, Senator Hillary Clinton attracts between 46% and 48% of the vote when matched against four top Republican hopefuls. She “leads” all four Republicans by single digit margins suggesting that Missouri voters will see more than their fair share of television commercials in 2008.
Rudy Giuliani is closest to the Democratic frontrunner, trailing Clinton by just three percentage points (46% to 43%). Thompson and McCain each trail Clinton by six points—it’s Clinton 48% Thompson 42% and Clinton 46% McCain 40%. Mitt Romney is currently the weakest Republican in these match-ups trailing by nine points, 48% to 39%. The Governor’s race is likely to be close as well.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/missouri_clinton_leads_four_republican_hopefuls_by_single_digitsPennsylvania has cast its Electoral College votes for the Democrats in four straight Presidential elections, but the competition has recently been too close for any Democrat to take for granted. In Election 2004, John Kerry won by just three percentage points and no Democrat has won more than 51% of the vote in Pennsylvania since 1964.
At this early stage of the campaign, it looks like the Keystone State might be competitive again in 2008. As usual, there is a slight advantage for the Democrats.
In a Pennsylvania match-up of the early frontrunners, it’s Hillary Clinton (D) 45% and Rudy Giuliani (R) 44%. A Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds Clinton with a four point edge over John McCain (44% to 40%), a seven point edge over Fred Thompson (47% to 40%), and a thirteen point edge over Mitt Romney (49% to 36%). It’s worth noting that no matter which Republican candidate is offered, Clinton’s share of the vote remains stable between 45% and 49%. That’s what you’d expect from a candidate who’s been in the national political spotlight for fifteen years. People know what they like or don’t like about her and there is little that will change the minds of most voters on the subject of Hillary Clinton.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/pennsylvania_clinton_45_giuliani_44In a race between two New York politicians, New York voters stay with the party line and prefer Hillary Clinton over Rudy Giuliani by a twenty-five point margin, 58% to 33%.
The former first lady is viewed favorably by 63% of New York voters, while America’s Mayor is viewed favorably by 47%.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/new_york_clinton_dominates_giuliani