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Rasmussen: Bush job Approval at 39%...highest since May 13th...

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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:17 PM
Original message
Rasmussen: Bush job Approval at 39%...highest since May 13th...
Edited on Mon Jul-09-07 03:17 PM by SaveElmer
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Arkansas Granny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:20 PM
Response to Original message
1. Rasmussen always gives him a higher approval rating than any
other polls, but since they average their polling results over three days, it helps to track a trend even if you don't trust the actual numbers. I find this site to give a good picture, also:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/archive/?poll_id=19
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:23 PM
Response to Original message
2. Here's Rasmussen on their differing methodology for Job Approval #'s
Edited on Mon Jul-09-07 03:24 PM by rinsd
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/polling_methodology_job_approval_ratings

When comparing Job Approval ratings between different polling firms, it’s important to focus on trends rather than absolute numbers. One reason for this is that different firms ask Job Approval questions in different ways. At Rasmussen Reports, we ask if people Strongly Approve, Somewhat Approve, Somewhat Disapprove, or Strongly Disapprove of the way the President is performing his job. This approach, in the current political environment, yields results about 3-4 points higher than if we simply ask if people if they approve or disapprove (we have tested this by asking the question both ways on the same night). Presumably, this is because some people who are a bit uncomfortable saying they “Approve” are willing to say they “Somewhat Approve.” It’s worth noting that, with our approach, virtually nobody offers a “Not Sure” response when asked about the President.

At the other extreme, some firms ask people to rate the President on a scale of Excellent, Good, Fair, or Poor. They then add Excellent and Good together to come up with a Job Approval rating. This tends to generate much lower numbers (about 5 points or so lower than simply asking if people “Approve” or Disapprove”). In this case, the difference may be that people who some people who say the President is doing a “Fair” job would answer a different question by saying they “Approve” of his performance.

We believe that there is no perfect way to ask the Job Approval question. Consistency and trends matter more than specific numbers. We believe there is great value in seeing the number who Strongly Approve and Strongly Disapprove of the President’s performance and that’s why we ask the question the way we do. There is also great value in seeing the number who say Excellent or Poor in other firms’ surveys. At the same time, simply asking Approve or Disapprove yields a different set of information that is also useful in assessing the environment. Still, a look at all data over a long period of time shows that all of these forms of asking about Job Approval show the same trends.
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paulk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 05:43 PM
Response to Reply #2
13. that's interesting, but
the "3-4 points higher" is kind of bogus. Rasmussen is consistently 8-10 points higher than everyone else. Lately it's been even more, with Bush at 26-27 % everywhere else. I wonder who they're polling?
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Yes but if you look at the polling of registered voters, it is always
some what higher than just a poll of anyone over 18 with a phone...

Non voters are always going to be more negative...

They don't vote because they obviously don't feel represented by either party so are more likely to say they are against something than they are for something or somebody...

Also, strongly disappoved in the Rass poll has consistently been in the mid to high forties while the stongly approve is stuck in a range between 10-16 percent...
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:25 PM
Response to Original message
3. He got a Libby bounce? Good freaking god.
Sometimes my fellow Americans distress me.
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rinsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:29 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. His strongly approve numbers are 1 pt from being a record low.
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BlueStater Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
4. I call bullshit
I don't care who took the damn poll. The little pinhead in the White House hasn't been this high in two years. What the hell has he done that would make his approval rise like this?
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Radical Activist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:28 PM
Response to Original message
5. The same polls that tell us Hillary is going to win the nomination.
Don't take any of them too seriously.
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rudy23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:31 PM
Response to Original message
7. He finally stood up to the Dem bullies in Congress.
The right doesn't hate * for the reasons that sane people do. They hate him because he likes Mexicans, and he lets the liberal media bully him around. They keep him from being the dictator that Repukes long to live under.
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Ecumenist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:33 PM
Response to Original message
8. WTF?? On what planet, in what alternate universe and twisted and insane dimension
is this anywhere near true?
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snowbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
9. I don't why people put so much stake into Scott Rasmussen here..

He lives in a bizzaro Christian compound in Ocean Grove, NJ -- a group called the Ocean Grove Camp Meeting Association.. a Christian Conservative, very anti-gay, very strange community.

And he's the president of the frigg'n place!




As far as his polls.. hey, even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 08:35 PM
Response to Reply #9
15. Right twice a day?
Or right on the money for two consecutive election cycles?
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pnwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:38 PM
Response to Original message
10. One big question is the percent of Repubs vs. Dems in the survey
and whether they weighted the figures to be in line with a pre-designated percent of Repubs.

If they expected 40% to be Repubs, but got fewer, then they sometimes "adjust" the numbers to give more weight to the Repub answers that they did get.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 03:56 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Ahhhh.
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snowbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-09-07 04:08 PM
Response to Original message
12. I found it ..... I found it .... the MSM is actually covering Bush's rise in approval.... but....



....the thing is............. it's REGGIE Bush!!!!

Bush's approval rating rises in fantasy
July 8, 2007


With his leaping touchdowns and his triple threat of running, receiving and returning, Reggie Bush is arguably the most electrifying running back in the NFL. But the big fantasy question entering his second season is if he's worthy of being your No. 1 back.






http://www.sportingnews.com/yourturn/viewtopic.php?t=235410

~~~
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