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illinoisprogressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-30-07 09:36 AM
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Capital Fax Illinois polling
I have seen a few New York polls with them touting Hillary's lead, as they should. But, it is hardly surprising.
So, I kept wondering why there were no Illinois polls. Well, leave it to Capital fax, a blog that is all things about Illinois politics here.
They polled hard core Democrats and Republicans and this is the results. However, the polling was done in Cook county, the county that Chicago is in. I am in Winnebago County and they did not poll the counties outside cook. boohoo.
Anyway here it is:

My political newsletter, Capitol Fax, commissioned a new statewide poll last week of presidential preference in Illinois. Only “hardcore” voters in each party were surveyed - see my weekly syndicated column below for more details…

Democrats
Obama 52.6
Clinton 24.6
Edwards 9.5
Richardson 2.4
Biden 2.3
Kucinich 1.25
Dodd 0.53
Undecided 6.9

Republicans
McCain 26.1
Giuliani 25.7
F. Thompson 17.4
Romney 10.2
T. Thompson 3.3
Undecided 17.2

And here’s the column…

It may be no surprise to some, but new polling shows Barack Obama is doing better with hardcore Illinois primary voters than Hillary Clinton is doing with voters in her home state of New York. Also, voters are split over whether Obama should be more critical of Chicago corruption, and the Republican presidential primary appears wide open here.

The Illinois poll was commissioned by my political newsletter, Capitol Fax. The poll, taken last Thursday, surveyed registered voters who have chosen either Democratic or Republican ballots in the past two presidential primaries and have never picked a different ballot. They’re the hardcore of the hardcore and are very likely to vote.

The poll found Obama leading the pack of presidential hopefuls here with 52.6 percent of the vote among hardcore Democrats. Clinton came in second with 24.6 percent. Former U.S. Sen. John Edwards was third with 9.5 percent. None of the other declared candidates topped 3 percent, while 6.9 percent chose either “other” or “undecided.”

In New York, two recent polls have shown Clinton with a bigger lead but polling well under 50 percent. A Quinnipac University poll had her ahead of Obama 44 to 14, but a more recent survey from Siena College’s Research Institute had Clinton ahead of the second place Obama 39 to 17 with 13 percent of Democrats undecided.

Obama captured well over 70 percent of the vote in the 2004 US Senate race, so his Illinois numbers in this latest poll might be a surprise to some who expected him to be doing even better. Clinton was raised in Illinois and is, of course, a very well known commodity. That probably explains why she is polling higher here than Obama is polling in New York.

www.Captialfax.com
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-30-07 09:59 AM
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1. that is a given that obama will take illinois
after hillary decided to run for the senator for new york she`s become persona non grata in illinois
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