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A presidential poll from January 2003....it really says it all.

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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-20-06 11:41 PM
Original message
A presidential poll from January 2003....it really says it all.
http://ezraklein.typepad.com/blog/2006/11/thank_you.html

The bottomline is this: these polls are all but meaningless. Perhaps nothing illustrates this point better than looking back at polls from this point in the last election cycle. For example, a Fox News poll conducted in January of 2003 (which was closer to the election than we are now) reported the following results:

Joe Lieberman……29%
Dick Gephardt……15%
John Kerry………..13%
John Edwards…….8%
Al Sharpton……….5%
Howard Dean……..2%


The blogger adds:

"The only polls that have even a sliver of relevance right now are those coming out of Iowa or New Hampshire -- and even they lack any significant predictive power. Primaries aren't decided in November of 2006, and the trends that will decide them aren't even yet in place. Remember that when, in a month, the media gets bored of 2006's aftershocks and turns its attention to 2008. Gephardt, of course, dropped out after the first primary, and Lieberman ended his ignominious campaign in a five-way tie for ninth, or something."


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Nite Owl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-20-06 11:43 PM
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1. Thank you
That really does put things in perspective.
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politicasista Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-20-06 11:44 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Exactly n/t
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skipos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-20-06 11:55 PM
Response to Original message
3. Nice. I am hoping a little known non-senator from a flippable red state
comes from out of nowhere and wins us Dems over. I have some ideas for possibilities, but am hoping there other possible candidates I know nothing about.
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longship Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-21-06 02:02 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. Like your avatar. Dark horse for Veep in 2008.
Kathleen Sebelius is a class act, a helluva Democrat, and has a rising star with her name on it.
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Clarkie1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-21-06 12:32 AM
Response to Original message
4. Wow....just, wow. nt
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wisteria Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-21-06 01:09 AM
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5. is it possible Hillary could be the Leiberman of this election? n/t
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-21-06 01:17 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. Lieberman was assumed to be it.
At least in Florida. Just assumed.
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longship Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-21-06 02:05 AM
Response to Reply #5
8. D'ya think?
Buth Hillary and Obama. CW this far out is 100% hype and 0% substance.

Oh. And don't you dare say anything about McCain or Giuliani...
:-)
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madfloridian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-22-06 03:57 PM
Response to Original message
9. Kick for a poll to remember when we start pushing for 08 so hard.
A Fox News poll conducted in January of 2003 (which was closer to the election than we are now) reported the following results:

Joe Lieberman……29%
Dick Gephardt……15%
John Kerry………..13%
John Edwards…….8%
Al Sharpton……….5%
Howard Dean……..2%

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