15 new house polls. Reuters/ Zogby phone poll.

[cnlst8]

http://elections.us.reuters.com/top/news/usnN31248778.html

AZ8 Giffords (D) 52.5-41 R/Zog
CO7 Perlmutter( D) 54-40 R/Zog
CT2 Simmons (R-inc) 47-42 R/Zog
CT4 Farrell (D) 51-43.5 R/Zog
IL6 Duckworth (D) 54-40 R/Zog
IN2 Donnelly (D) 52-39 R/Zog
IN9 Hill (D) 47.5-46 R/Zog
IA1 Braley (D) 49-41.5 R/Zog
KY4 Lucas (D) 45-42 R/Zog
MN6 Bachmann(R-inc party) 52-42 R/Zog
NM1 Madrid (D) 53-44 R/Zog
NC11 Shuler (D) 48-43 R/Zog
OH18 Space (D) 53-33 R/Zog
PA6 Murphy (D) 49-43.5 R/Zog
VA2 Drake (R-inc) 51-43 R/Zog

Notables:
This is Zogby / Reuters phone polling and not the highly inaccurate online polling.

IL6 District:
This is the 1st poll showing Duckworth (D) with a sizable lead over Peter Roskam (R) (54%-40%). I saw recently Pat Robinson on his broadcast being dumbfounded by the fact that this race was so close in a heavily Republican district. :) I doubt Duckworth is leading by this much though, but it seems like the momentum is on her side.

CT 4 District:
I'm not sure about these results as well of CT-4 race Farrell(D) vs Shays(R) (51%-44%). This poll contradicts the RT Strategies MoE 3% released yesterday having Shays leading by 9%, but reaffirm yesterday Research 2000 poll MoE 4%(Farrell up by 4%). Given this data as well all the other polling data for this race, the RT poll seems to be the outliner, but I'm still not 100% convince yet.

VA 2 District:
The recent RT Strategies poll had Kellam(D) leading Drake(R) by 5%. This poll has Drake leading by 8%. Most of the other polls have this race even. I think this race is still even.

All around more good news for Dem that this will be a pretty big blue wave.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

1. Great. And most look like the margins are too much to cheat with. n/t