MONTANA Senate Race goes from "Toss up" to "Leans Dem" - Rasmussen

[FrenchieCat]

A new Rasmussen Reports poll shows Tester ahead of Sen. Conrad Burns
52% to 43%. They were tied in last month's poll.

Montana Senate: Tester By Nine
Tester (D) 52% Burns (R) 43%
September 18, 2006
The latest Rasmussen Reports election survey in Montana shows Democrat Jon Tester leading incumbent Republican Sen. Conrad Burns 52% to 43% (see crosstabs). The candidates were tied at 47% in August’s survey. The current results represent Tester’s biggest lead ever. In the fall of 2005, Burns had a double digit lead. That collapsed by January as the Abramoff story became big news. Since then, for the bulk of the campaign, Tester and Burns have generally been within a few points of each other.

Rasmussen Reports is shifting this race from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democrat” in our Senate Balance of Power ratings. Two other races (Ohio and Rhode Island are also being shifted from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democrat” at this time.

The incumbent Senator Burns came under attack this week by television ads sponsored by Campaign Money Watch that criticize his links to the big oil companies. The ads, along with another from the Tester camp that tracks Burns’ recent slip-ups on the campaign trail, were posted to the popular Web site YouTube. The site allows users to post video for free and has become a useful tool for several campaigns this season. Republican Senator George Allen of Virginia became a YouTube victim when his controversial comments about one of his opponent’s campaign staffers were captured on video and posted to the site.

Tester has added nearly 10 points to his base vote; 92% of Democrats now say they’ll vote for him in November, up from 84% last month. He’s also pulling votes from 20% of Republicans.
http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/September%202006/montanaSenate.htm

[acmavm]

1. Fabulous, simply fabulous.

Who was it that used to say that in some commercial or something?

[Divernan]

4. Billy Crystal spoofing Fernando Lamas

nt

[SDDEM06]

2. The Senate scoreboard is promising too

With leaners, the Senate stands at 48 Democrats, 49 Republicans and three toss-ups. The GOP has finally fallen below that magic 5-0 mark. If things stay as they are (not much chance of that) and we sweep the toss-ups (TN, MO, NJ) we would take control of the Senate.

50 more days. It can happen if we're willing to work to make it happen.

[FrenchieCat]

5. I am hopeful about both TN and NJ.....

New Jersey polling stinks somehow; always shows a closer race than what actually ends up!

Tennessee- Ford has a new commercial out where he is shown in the church that he grew up in talking about the fact that this is where he learned his values. Good stuff for TN audiences...in particular those shaky GOP and Indy ones!

MO - McCaskill down by only 1 point in some polls, ahead in others.

General Clark will be there tomorrow......and will summons the Veteran's votes (who are quite pissed at Bush/Rumsfeld--considering the big F*ck up called "Iraq"...and now this new "Torture" consideration of the Bushies...which may be all that is needed to close up this small gap....considering Margin of Error.

McCatskill has a good Veteran's benefit proposal or something that should further help her possibly as much as needed under the circumstances.

Missouri Senate: In Persistently Close Race, It's Now McCaskill By 3
McCaskill (D) 45%; Talent (R) 42%

September 15, 2006

Democrat Claire McCaskill
In this fiercely competitive campaign, Democratic Missouri State Auditor Claire McCaskill now leads Republican Senator Jim Talent 45% to 42% (see crosstabs).

This is the tenth election poll showing the combatants separated by less than the margin of error. Rasmussen Reports has so far conducted eleven surveys of the contest.
http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/September%202006/MissouriSenate.htm

[blondeatlast]

3. I lived in MT for a while and I really loved the people.

They are fiercely independent and expect results.

WTG, MT! Hope to see you do the left thing in November!

[samsingh]

6. isn't this at odds ith the zogby poll? i'm glad about this poll and hope

its true.