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YIKES! New Poll shows Balckwell closing in on Strickland in OH

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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 11:54 AM
Original message
YIKES! New Poll shows Balckwell closing in on Strickland in OH
NEW POLL SHOWS BLACKWELL CLOSING GAP ON STRICKLAND

COLUMBUS - The Wall Street Journal Zogby Interactive Poll today indicated gubernatorial candidate Ken Blackwell is closing the gap on Congressman and former prison psychologist Ted Strickland. The survey shows the race has narrowed to 5.7 points with Blackwell now receiving 41.8 percent and Strickland receiving 47.5 percent. The poll was conducted from August 29 to September 5 and has a 3.5 percent margin of error. Previous surveys have shown Strickland with a double-digit lead.

Blackwell’s campaign attributed the improvement to the start of pro-Blackwell advertising, which began August 19, and the traditional post-Labor Day spike in voter interest in political campaigns.

“Voters are catching on to Strickland’s stale ideas, empty platitudes and liberal pro-tax voting record,” said Blackwell campaign chair Lara Mastin. “And voters are responding positively to Ken Blackwell’s bold solutions to Ohio’s challenges. They are rallying around his steadfast leadership.”

“Strickland lacks the vision and leadership necessary to move Ohio forward,” added Mastin. “Ken Blackwell has substantially gained ground on Strickland and will soon be in the lead.”
Zogby International, one of the nation’s most historically accurate polling firms, touts its interactive poll as the “wave of the future in survey research.” In the 2004 presidential election, the survey accurately predicted the winner in 85 percent of the states that it polled within 4 points on average. In 2005, the poll accurately predicted the results of both the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial contests, with poll results within 2.5 points on average.

http://frontier.cincinnati.com/blogs/gov/
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Democrat 4 Ever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 11:59 AM
Response to Original message
1. I think all polls results would be questioned since a repug poll master
plead guilty last week of fudging poll results for Chucklenuts and other repugs. If one will do it how many more pollsters are bought off by the GOP?

They want the Dems to start panicking but also to start skewing everything so that once they gum up the voting machines no one will think it odd.

That's my conspiracy and I'm sticking to it!
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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 12:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Fritz Wenzel (of T.Blade, Coingate + Mean Jean fame) Now Working for Zogby
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PixieDust Donating Member (7 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 12:01 PM
Response to Original message
2. Ruh-Ro!
Time to contact my local Dem office and start working for Strickland's campaing. I shudder to imagine that crook running my state!
:yoiks:
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Algorem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 12:11 PM
Response to Original message
3. oops.
Edited on Tue Sep-12-06 12:19 PM by Algorem
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 12:22 PM
Response to Original message
4. ALL the polls are going to "tighten up" until November
with Repubs hoping to squeak out victories by recount-proof margins. That's been their strategy since 2000.

:headbang:
rocknation
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DemPopulist Donating Member (446 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 01:05 PM
Response to Original message
6. It's a Zogby Interactive poll
They have a horrible track record. They have weird results that aren't matched by any other poll, like Webb ahead of Allen by seven points. I don't put much stock in it, and neither should you.

Blackwell is toast.
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Stinky The Clown Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 01:12 PM
Response to Original message
7. This same poll showed Webb up by a bunch over Felix in VA ......
These interactive polls have a pretty poor record.

I ain't cheering cuz they show Webb up and I ain't dispairing cuz they show Strickland down.
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Red Right and BLUE Donating Member (774 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 01:13 PM
Response to Original message
8. On my shitlist, Chimpy is #1
and Blackballed is #2
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
9. That's too weird
I've never seen anyone pick up that much support in such a short period of time. I guess we have to take everything we see with a grain of salt from now til after the election.

Be prepared to see a lot of weird poll numbers as the GOP tries to muddy the waters.

They're spending a ton of money here. I guess Canada's soft lumber industry is helping pay for it.

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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 01:31 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. see # 5-do you think there's a connection?
Edited on Tue Sep-12-06 01:31 PM by mod mom
GOP infiltrating Zogby?
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 03:45 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Sure looks that way
Rove spent a lot of time in Toledo this summer. He's visited there at least 3 or 4 times in the past few months. Every time he goes to Toledo, he comes to visit the Cleveland Plain Dealer the next day. They have something cooked up. PD has used bogus polling before during the Gore and Kerry campaigns. It fits their MO.
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HughBeaumont Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 02:00 PM
Response to Original message
11. Until you consider it's a WSJ poll . . .
. . . which I'm guessing not many with fiscal compassion for the less fortunate read.

That's a big lead for this kind of poll. Strickland leading an arch-conservaturd like BootBlackwell among WSJ's audience, who are mostly economically conservative moderates and fence sitters, should be spun as positive. Trust me, a normal poll of working Ohioans will still show Ted with a double digit lead and Crackwell bringing up the rear with the rapture rightists. BootBlackwell shoots his feet with his own mouth; plus moderates and conservatives are no longer that fearful of the B/C agenda like they were in the Taft years.
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 03:47 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. I've heard a lot of people say
that Blackwell frightens them, his ideas seem so off the wall and extreme to most people. Those I've heard this from are not politically active people. Many of my GOP friends and co-workers are swearing they won't vote for the GOP this time around.
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HughBeaumont Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 09:05 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. His ideas are just flat out DUMB.
TEL? COME on. That same shit economically screwed Colorado badly. Plus the guy, let's face it, is just batshit insan-o! Ohio is fucked enough without the threat of Crackedwell being the governor; he'd turn Ohio into a ramshackle backwoods church state, quicker than it's already becoming with the present non-leadership.
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semillama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 03:54 PM
Response to Original message
14. Does have a point about the ads
I'd have to say I saw Blackwell ads for at least 3 weeks straight before I saw a Strickland ad. Dems dropped the ball in letting the GOP get that much air time without opposing viewpoints.
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
15. Blackwell's a goner. Ted Strickland is Ohio's next governor.
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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 04:09 PM
Response to Original message
16. Since Whitewell will be counting the votes,
he might get 102% when the dust settles.
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