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Internal Polls in Georgia don't look good.

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lonehalf Donating Member (273 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:31 AM
Original message
Internal Polls in Georgia don't look good.
If our internal polls are correct we are going to get a "moderate" Democrat to replace McKinney and LOSE two US House Districts. This has been how it's been for a long time - but now the races are even more apart.

I wish other DUers would post results of internal polls - if they know the results.

I don't construct the questions, just ask and record the results.

Governor Perdue's ads seem to be working also. He gained over Democrat Lieutenant-Governor Mark Taylor (his opponent)since his (or his Committee's) ads revealed that the Taylor family has leased land to the state for millions of dollars for a long time.. It's now 68% to 29%.

Also, the Republican will retain control of the State House and Senate if our polls are right.

These people polled were believed to be Democrats or said they were, and you know, of course, that no one ever lies to pollsters.

No US Senators are running this time.

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marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:34 AM
Response to Original message
1. Georgia politics are...
:scared: :scared: :scared: :scared:

I greatly miss Mike Malloy's rants on that topic.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:36 AM
Response to Original message
2. I never thought Perdue was vulnerable anyway
And I'm sure Marshall and Barrow will be fine.
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displacedtexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:37 AM
Response to Original message
3. Did you not sign a confidentiality agreement?
I've worked on a lot of campaigns, and I've never seen
a member of a polling team divulge the results...
especially on a chat board.

Which firm do you work for?
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lonehalf Donating Member (273 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:54 AM
Response to Reply #3
11. None n/t
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ps1074 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:37 AM
Response to Original message
4. what internal polls are you talking about?
eom
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lonehalf Donating Member (273 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:55 AM
Response to Reply #4
12. A Georgia County Democratic Committee n/t
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:41 AM
Response to Original message
5. Which house seats are you claiming that are lost?
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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:45 AM
Response to Original message
6. No kidding. The poor and most middle-class cannot easily vote.
The system here dissuades them from voting.

And beyond the polls, we were the first 100% Diebold state.

Democrats are done here.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:47 AM
Response to Original message
7. I live in Ga, and I have to tell ya, I see that damn Perdue ad
all the time, but I can't remember seeing any for Taylor! I HOPE you're wrong about losing an house seats! That sure isn't going to helpthe cause to take over the US House!

Is there anything we can do to help these guys get more exposure?
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INdemo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:51 AM
Response to Original message
8. Republican propaganda has many avenues,including planted news stories
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SaveElmer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 12:17 PM
Response to Reply #8
18. Such as here...
One-third of the way down in the center


http://www.drudgereport.com/

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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:53 AM
Response to Original message
9. I see why Jim Marshall may lose, but why Barrow?
:shrug:
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lonehalf Donating Member (273 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:56 AM
Response to Reply #9
14. I don't know why
Remember - I just ask the questions and record the results
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:53 AM
Response to Original message
10. Voting Machinez in Georgia are Own3d by the Rethugs Anyway

All your votes are belong to us
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Lexingtonian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:55 AM
Response to Original message
13. gee, how shocking

Georgia is a Pubbie stronghold state at this point, numbers in the state are only slightly different from those of Texas.

No surprise about the state government monopoly. But the House numbers...I wouldn't trust those very far. If they hold that way into October, perhaps then.

If you haven't realized this, in national polling about 20% of people who call themselves Democrats on the phone are politically Right or hardcore conservative or have the views of moderate Republicans nationally. Their views lie in the rightmost 32-38% of the political spectrum. They almost invariably vote Republican. Anecdotally something like 2/3 or 3/4 of these 20% are white Southerners and generally elderly. It distorts partisan polling and is a phenomenon both Parties openly manouver around in the South.

From 700 miles away, after 6-8 years of watching the national scene fairly closely I couldn't tell you what the Georgia state Democratic Party stand for other than (a) more of a lassaiz-faire attitude in local issues and strategic ambiguity on national ones, and (b) one side of the racial divide in the state. The local reason to vote for them seems to be They're Not Republicans. That's not better or worse than a lot of other reasons, but there is no political mandate in winning an election on that other than to keep the office chair warm with a Democratic ass.
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. Do you believe that Barrow and Marshall will win again this fall?
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Lexingtonian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 12:03 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. other pollings say they will

The only incumbent Democratic House Rep who polls under 50% is supposedly Melissa Bean, in Illinois.
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-12-06 02:01 PM
Response to Reply #16
19. I hope you are right. Also, I hope Bean wins again too.
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lonehalf Donating Member (273 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-11-06 12:04 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. You are right
Even the ones who attend meetings in my county are at least 50% Republican voters.

They just haven't changed parties.

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