The Fear Factor
President Bush’s new argument for staying the course in Iraq: It’ll only get worse if we leave.
By Eleanor Clift
Newsweek
Updated: 1:47 p.m. MT Aug 25, 2006
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/14515978/site/newsweek/Aug. 25, 2006 - If you think things are bad now, they will be worse if we leave. That’s the essence of President Bush’s argument for staying the course in Iraq. Bush is doing what he always does—shamelessly ramping up the fear factor. He says if U.S. troops leave Iraq, the terrorists will be right behind them, bringing Baghdad to America. He’s brought ruin to Iraq and his policies are helping create our worst nightmare, a nuclear Iran. How much worse can it get?
Bush’s original sin was to politicize U.S. intervention in Iraq. He used the war to transform an aimless presidency into one of Churchillian dimensions, and now that it’s all turned sour, he has nothing to fall back on. Bush is as beleaguered now as Lyndon Johnson was during Vietnam—with one key difference. The worse the news is from Iraq, the more positive Bush is that he’s right. As Vietnam raged on, Johnson became less certain he was doing the right thing.
Victory no longer appears possible in Iraq, yet Bush’s rhetoric is more bullish than ever about the correctness of his course. U.S. forces are not leaving Iraq as long as he’s president. His model is Prime Minister Winston Churchill, defeated by an ungrateful British public after leading the country through war, a lonely figure vindicated by history. To achieve stability in Iraq, Thomas Ricks, Pentagon correspondent for The Washington Post and author of “Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq” (Penguin 2006), says U.S. forces can expect to stay for 10 to 15 years, on top of the three they’ve already been there. “And that’s the optimistic scenario,” he says.
We learned from tapes of phone conversations released years after the fact how skeptical Johnson was that the war in Southeast Asia could be won, and how he worried about the senselessness of sending people to die there. His dilemma, which he articulates, is that he didn’t want to be the first American president to lose a war. In the spring of ’64, well before the major troop escalation, Johnson had serious doubts about U.S. involvement in Vietnam. “It just worries the hell out of me ... I don’t think it’s worth fighting for,” he told his national security advisor, McGeorge Bundy.