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Lamont in statistical dead heat now with Liebermant!

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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:43 PM
Original message
Lamont in statistical dead heat now with Liebermant!
Edited on Tue Aug-22-06 03:45 PM by jenmito
An ARG poll taken from Aug. 17-21 shows Lieberman leading Lamont by only 2%!


http://americanresearchgroup.com/ctsenate/
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LSparkle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:48 PM
Response to Original message
1. YAHOO!
I think the more obvious the collusion between Joementum and the White Haus becomes, the more Independents and Democrats will rally behind Ned.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:54 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. I agree...
Lamont still is unknown by many voters. Lieberman's numbers are probably going nowhere but down. Everyone knows him already.
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Demobrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:49 PM
Response to Original message
2. Well, great except
why do I have this bad feeling lots and lotsa Pukes will be changing their registration momentarily?
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Larkspur Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:53 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. The Dem Primary is over. This poll is for the general election.
Won't matter if Repukes change party registration now.
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calico1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:54 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. Why would they do that?
Anyone can vote for anyone in the general election.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:55 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. Does it matter?
This is the general election now. If Repubs. change their registration that's only less Repub. votes he'd get.
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Demobrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 04:52 PM
Response to Reply #7
13. You all are right, of course. My bad.
They can vote for Joementum without even bothering to fill out a new voter registration card. That makes me feel SO much better.
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CTyankee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 07:29 PM
Response to Reply #2
23. No can do. Not since early May so forget that worry!
We just have to concentrate on getting out the vote for Ned. I am hopeful that more Dems will come over. I think they will.
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Mabus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:51 PM
Response to Original message
3. K&R
There was a Rasmussen poll that someone posted about earlier today, that they found on DKos) that showed roughly the same figures. IIRC, it was 45% Lieberman and 43% Lamont.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:57 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. Thanks. I saw that thread but there was no link. n/t
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
9. woot
This is the news that may cause Lieberman to rethink his indie bid and do the right thing ... drop out.
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 04:10 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. I hope so!
But knowing him, he'll stay in just to prove to himself he's still relevant.
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theanarch Donating Member (523 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
11. obviously good news for Lamonista's...
...but don't count your roadkill until it's frozen in the headlights. I don't know when the deadline is for removing one's name from the ballot in CT (45 days before the election in NJ)--perhaps some good Nutmegger can inform--but if he doesn't do it by then, Joe's in it for the duration. Unfortunately, even if Lamont can build a small (but more importantly consistant) lead (2-4%) for a few weeks, Joe won't fold until the money spigots are turned off, and that's not likely to happen, certainly not with the $100's of millions the special/ideological interests have invested in him over a 30 year career. The key to watch here is how many GOP's return to the party and their "official" (and officially-unendorsed) candidate...coincidentally enough, up two points (from 4 to 6) since the last poll, the same 2-pt. margin Lamont has over Lieberman.
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REACTIVATED IN CT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-23-06 09:07 PM
Response to Reply #11
28. I think candidate can withdraw up to 10 days before the election
Its late, I'm tired and I can't see straight so I don't trust my reading comprehension. Here is the statute:


Sec. 9-460. Vacancy in nomination; withdrawal procedure. Certification of replacement nomination; time limitations. Ballot labels. If any party has nominated a candidate for office, or, on and after November 4, 1981, if a candidate has qualified to appear on any ballot by nominating petition under a reserved party designation, in accordance with the provisions of this chapter, and such nominee thereafter, but prior to ten days before the opening of the polls on the day of the election for which such nomination has been made, dies, withdraws such nominee's name or for any reason becomes disqualified to hold the office for which such nominee has been nominated (1) such party or, on and after November 4, 1981, the party designation committee may make a nomination to fill such vacancy or provide for the making of such nomination as its rules prescribe, and (2) if another party that is qualified to nominate a candidate for such office does not have a nominee for such office, such party may also nominate a candidate for such office as its rules prescribe. No withdrawal, and no nomination to replace a candidate who has withdrawn, under this section shall be valid unless the candidate who has withdrawn has filed a letter of withdrawal signed by such candidate with the Secretary of the State in the case of a state or district office or the office of state senator or state representative from any district, or with the municipal clerk in the case of a municipal office other than state senator or state representative. A copy of such candidate's letter of withdrawal to the municipal clerk shall also be filed with the Secretary of the State. No nomination to fill a vacancy under this section shall be valid unless it is certified to the Secretary of the State in the case of a state or district office or the office of state senator or state representative from any district, or to the municipal clerk in the case of a municipal office other than state senator or state representative, by the organization or committee making such nomination, at least seven days before the opening of the polls on the day of the election, except as otherwise provided by this section. If a nominee dies within ten days, but prior to twenty-four hours before the opening of the polls on the day of the election for which such nomination has been made, the vacancy may be filled in the manner prescribed in this section by two o'clock p.m. of the day before the election with the municipal clerk or the Secretary of the State, as the case may be. If a nominee dies within twenty-four hours before the opening of the polls and prior to the close of the polls on the day of the election for which such nomination has been made, such nominee shall not be replaced and the votes cast for such nominee shall be canvassed and counted, and if such nominee receives a plurality of the votes cast, a vacancy shall exist in the office for which the nomination was made. The vacancy shall then be filled in a manner prescribed by law. A copy of such certification to the municipal clerk shall also be filed with the Secretary of the State. Such nomination to fill a vacancy due to death or disqualification shall include a statement setting forth the reason for such vacancy. If at the time such nomination is certified to the Secretary of the State or to the municipal clerk, as the case may be, the ballot labels have already been printed, the Secretary of the State shall direct the municipal clerk in each municipality affected to (A) have the ballot labels reprinted with the nomination thus made included thereon, (B) cause printed stickers to be affixed to the ballot labels so that the name of any candidate who has died, withdrawn or been disqualified is deleted and the name of any candidate chosen to fill such vacancy appears in the same position as that in which the vacated candidacy appeared, or (C) cause blank stickers to be so affixed if the vacancy is not filled.

http://www.cga.ct.gov/2005/pub/Chap153.htm#Sec9-460.htm

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sendero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 04:49 PM
Response to Original message
12. It's funny..
.... that Lieberman apparently cannot understand that making an in-your-face alliance with the Republicans is not going to win CT for him.

The man is a poster-boy for "something is happening here but I don't know what it is".

Clue for Joe: the country is SICK OF REPUBLICANS.
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Demobrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 05:19 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. So if all the Dems who voted for Joe in the primary
vote for him in the general, and all the Repubs who would rather have a W-kisser than a real Dem in there vote for him too, what happens then? Sorry, not trying to be a killjoy, but I really worry about this.
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theanarch Donating Member (523 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 05:43 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. again, it's too early to pop the champaigne...
...but it might be time to start pricing some bottles. The three trends to watch: how much of Joe's Democratic primary support remains solid or ebbs away; how many GOPs return to the fold; and which way the independents break. The polls will be erratic for some time, and don't look for big shifts in short spurts (and be very, very wary of polls that show this)...the key is looking at the evolving trends for each group, which will likely be expressed in one or two points increments, either way.
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sendero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #14
18. I don't mean to be rude..
.. but people don't work like that. Trying to put people into pigeonholes to see how they will vote is a futile exercise. There will be plenty of Repubs who will vote for Lamont, you wait and see.

Folks are fed up with the direction of the country. Lieberman just keeps making it clearer and clearer that he is part of the problem, and cannot be part of the solution.

An "outsider" has a major leg up in the mileau we are now in. Lamont will win, I'm all but certain of it. Lamont has already closed a double digit gap, in just a couple of weeks. His campaign was largely at rest for that time. This is really his to lose. If he doesn't make any big mistakes, he will win.
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IndianaGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 05:23 PM
Response to Original message
15. What happened to Judas Joe's 2-digit lead?
Could it be that the strong support given to Lamont by John Edwards and John Kerry is having an effect?
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 06:33 PM
Response to Reply #15
21. It's more than that...
I think people don't like a sore loser-man. Especially one who starts using Repub. talking points and says he "refuses to let the results stand."
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Adenoid_Hynkel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 05:24 PM
Response to Original message
16. Joe looks like Senator Palpatine from Star Wars
I just wanted to resurrect that comparison
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bigwillq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 06:07 PM
Response to Original message
19. That's great news!
Still a long way to go to worry about polls but it shows that we're on the right..err...well (left)! track! :bounce:
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 06:35 PM
Response to Reply #19
22. He's ALREADY gone a long way...
Things will continue to get better for Lamont as more people get to know him IMO.
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CTyankee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-23-06 07:05 AM
Response to Reply #22
27. I agree. Altho I knew him only slightly before he entered the race
I found him personally attractive, intelligent and very nice. Of course I was working for PLanned Parenthood and was raising money in Greenwich, where he and Annie are huge PP supporters, so I was inclined to like them a lot! But he and Annie just have this decency about them. When I spoke briefly to Annie at Ned's campaign hq in New Haven, she was genuinely outraged over Joe's "short ride for rape victims" remark.

Ned is the real article. This comes through when he talks to people or is interviewed. More exposure will only serve him well!
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 06:28 PM
Response to Original message
20. Look at this way cool picture of
Lamont!

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DFLforever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-22-06 10:41 PM
Response to Original message
24. Kick and recommend
Everyone needs to notice these trends in the Lamont-Lieberman race.
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-23-06 01:07 AM
Response to Original message
25. Just wait until Labor Day!!
That's when the real fireworks will go off in Connecticut!

Because Joe was the sole Democrat to vouche for Brownie as the head of FEMA when he was appointed by Bush!!

With the anniversary of Hurricane Katrina coming up soon, that should make some noise around here as well!!!

Someone should start a thread highlighting that fact!!
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Douglas Carpenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-23-06 06:25 AM
Response to Original message
26. great news!!!!
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