http://www.alternet.org/waroniraq/40444/By Rick Gell, AlterNet. Posted August 17, 2006.
Edit for clarity.
The only way Bush and the Republicans are going to save their sagging poll numbers is to withdraw from Iraq. Here's how they might go about it.
For the time being, as Dick Cheney derides Ned Lamont voters as terror enablers and Karl Rove claims that Democrats "ignore the difficulties and walk away," the "stay the course" Iraq War/Election-2006 strategy will hold.
And while many are convinced the Green Zone Disneywarland in Baghdad is proof positive the Bush brain trust is in Iraq to stay, we should not discount the recent events in Lebanon and the deteriorating situation on the ground in Iraq, and their effects on the strategists deep inside the Pentagon and White House.
With Reagan's Beirut exit, Clinton's Somalia retreat and U.S. helicopter airlifts in Saigon still vivid memories for many a neocon, a defeat in Iraq would be a crushing blow. With a virtual lock on every branch of government -- who's to blame? So when they see 10,000 Iranian manufactured and delivered rockets raining on Israel at will, they have to wonder.
How easy would it be for the Iraq insurgents to import rockets from neighboring Iran? How hard would it be to hide those rockets in a wild and chaotic Baghdad? And what are the chances that insurgents could launch 30 to 40 rockets directly into the Green Zone in one day? The headlines around the world reading "500 U.S. Dead -- Last Safe Haven Under Siege?" The result? Game over.
So one has to assume discussions are taking place on an exit strategy. And since this is the Bush administration, where reality is irrelevant, truth is secondary and public relations victories are all-important, let's play exit strategy, Bush style.
People forget that people forget.
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