Which outcome scenario do you believe to be most likely...

[Mr_Jefferson_24]

...for today's Lieberman/Lamont primary race in Connecticut?

Scenario 1: The majority of voters cast their ballot for Lieberman and Lieberman is declared the official winner.

Scenario 2: The majority of voters cast their ballot for Lamont and Lamont is declared the official winner.

Scenario 3: The majority of voters cast their ballot for Lamont and Lieberman is declared the official winner.

[snowbear]

1. Other: Outcome in question.. goes to a handcount...

In other words.. I have no idea!!

[mcscajun]

4. Bingo!

It's going to be challenged and go to a recount; if Lamont wins, I can't see a sitting Senator go down without one last fight. Especially not this self-seeking one.

[Joe Bacon]

2. Sadly, I think LIEberman will pull it out.

My gut tells me he may win by 2-3 points, then he goes back to being the Dr Smith of the Democratic Party, sabotaging us any way he can.

[snowbear]

3. That's why I haven't made any guesses one way or another...

While I'd like to see Lamont completely clean his clock, I don't live in Connecticut and have no idea what the mindset is there..

If Lieberman does somehow manage to hold on by an extremely narrow margin, I just hope that he learns from this whole experience!

If Lamont pulls it out, I hope that Lieberman will be classy about it, will bow out and will support his fellow Democrat.


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[zeemike]

5. Number 3 for me

Because I think the control of congress is so important to the Neo cons and bush that if the vote can be stolen it will be.
They can't afford having democrats that oppose the war in charge for the last two years of bushes time in office.

[Elidor]

6. A pertinent comment from FDL

Please keep one thing in mind — this race is NOT a level playing field, by any means. The media coverage of this race has made it sound like it is, but Joe Lieberman enjoys the enormous built-in advantages of incumbency and name recognition, and now basically the entire American power structure has circled its wagons around the Senator, marshalling resources in a manner not seen since the Normandy invasion.

Meanwhile, Ned’s got the grassroots, the netroots, the CT town committees, a couple of unions, and the NYT. That’s all, folks.

That this race is even CLOSE is an immense breakthrough for people-powered politics. And I know we’re all sick of moral victories and we crave a real one, but this has become a basketball game between Liechtenstein and the United States. And we’re Liechtenstein.

I suspect Joe will win. I'd be very happy if he doesn't, but it's still an uphill battle.

[Mr_Jefferson_24]

7. kick for larger sample

[Mr_Jefferson_24]

8. kick for larger sample.