New Zogby--- In OK, WC 25, JK 22, JE 16

[Shanty Oilish]

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=798

In Missouri, JK 46, JE 13...

In South Carolina, JE 26, JK 22

In Arizona, JK 36, WC 20, HD 12.

Go there for full results. I stink at formatting. :(

[Tweed]

1. Delaware? New Mexico? North Dakota?

I guess Zogby doesn't find them important due to their smaller delegate size.

[knight_of_the_star]

2. Woot woot!

Wes is winning Oklahoma!

Woot woot!

[tryanhas]

3. Zogby's polls?

Waste of time.

[Indiana Democrat]

6. He's the best in the business...

...Hands down!

Unless your guy isn't winning, of course.

[zulchzulu]

7. Do you support Dean?

[tryanhas]

11. Edwards is going to shock the world on Tuesday

He is going to win SC, Missouri, Oklahoma, and New Mexico.

Watch what I tell you.

It is not as close in SC as Zogby says. Every other poll has Edwards a lot further ahead than 4 stinking points. I repeat. ANY SC POLL THAT HAS SHARPTON BELOW 10% IS A JOKE when he is getting 3 times the black vote in SC as any other candidate, and the black vote is going to account for about 50% of the turnout next week. Zogby is not using a good, BALANCED sample.

As for Missouri, Kerry is riding on momentum right now, but Edwards has in SC what Kerry had in Iowa, and that's the backing of the state that can turn out the vote. Edwards has been endorsed by the Lt. Governor of Missouri, along with the Minority leader (Democrat) in the state house and 35 members of the Missouri state house. They can turn out the vote. Not to mention, that John Kerry's largest support comes from the places that are being polled the most in Missouri, and that is around St. Louis, the big city. THE RURAL AREAS ARE BEING UNDERPOLLED and Edwards has a lot of support there. There is no way that Kerry has 46% support in THE ENTIRE STATE OF MISSOURI. He has 46% support around St. Louis, and maybe Kansas City. Watch the shocker of the night on Tuesday when Edwards wins in the rural sections and surprises statewide in Missouri and wins Missouri, thanks to the fact that GEPHARDT'S TOP GUY IS WORKING FOR EDWARDS' MISSOURI ORGANIZATION and he is a seasoned veteran in Missouri politics. He's going to turn out the vote.

Governor Richardson has called all of the candidates, "THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES", but from what I hear, he said today that Edwards was the only candidate who could win in November and he pumped up that Edwards has visitied NM more than any other candidate. Edwards has the backing of the Attorney General in NM, and he is outpacing all of the other candidates in terms of big backers in NM.

Now, the polls don't mean anything to me. It's all about turning out the vote.

Organization did matter in Iowa and NH. It didn't matter in terms of how large it was, it matter in the composition of the organizaton. When Kerry got the endorsement of Vilsak's wife and a large amount of the INSTATE ELECTED OFFICIALS that was what lead to his win. Same thing in NH, as Dean and Kerry, two regional favorites, had the best organizations in NH, in terms of makeup. Edwards has it in SC, where he has more endorsements from INSTATE ELECTED OFFICIALS than all of the other candidates combined. This is going to turn out the vote for him there. In Missouri, he has better support from INSTATE ELECTED OFFICIALS than Kerry does. And in NM, he has their very popular Attorney General http://www.ago.state.nm.us/ , plus he is outpacing the others there for support.

The polls are being overblown right now.

Watch what happens Tuesday, and don't be shocked when Edwards wins more than 2 primaries...

[_NorCal_D_]

4. Hmmm

It looks like Clark's hope lies in Oklahoma and Arizona for the time being. :shrug:

[citizen snips]

5. It is going to be a big super Tuesday!

n/t

[Maddy McCall]

8. How's the echo down there, Dr. Dean?

It's time for the captain to give up the sinking ship. There is no recovery for Dean if he doesn't do well on Tuesday.

[joshcryer]

10. Contridiction?

It's time for him to give up yet he can't recover if he doesn't do well? So he should give up before history tells him whether or not he's won (which, btw, won't be for awhile yet).

And what have polls told us about the leading candidates, anyway?

[Shanty Oilish]

9. Delaware---interesting article 1/31

http://www.sunspot.net/news/nationworld/bal-te.delaware31jan31,0,2796506.story?coll=bal-news-nation

snip

...Lieberman trailing Kerry 27 percent to 16 percent. Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean was close behind at 14 percent, followed by Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, at 9 percent and retired Gen. Wesley K. Clark at 8 percent.

snip

Delaware has picked the presidential winner in 12 of the last 13 elections. It has demographics that closely mirror the nation's as a whole and thus considers itself a bellwether.

[fujiyama]

I hope Dean...

comes over Lieberman in Deleware...

And I also hope that Lieberman loses his home state. That'd be kind of funny....Not that I really hate Lieberman or anything, I just want him to drop the hell out.

[fujiyama]

12. .