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rodbarnett Donating Member (577 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:34 PM
Original message
Dean: Doesn't Need to Win Any State Tues.

EAST LANSING, Mich. (AP) - Democratic presidential candidate Howard Dean said Thursday that he doesn't need to win any of the seven states holding contests Tuesday to keep his beleaguered campaign alive.

Coming on the heels of the campaign's decision not to buy TV ads in those states, Dean said he will focus on picking up as many delegates as he can, but that only requires him to place, not win, in the blitz of upcoming primaries and caucuses.

"We're going to have to win eventually," he said. "But the question was do we have to win on February 3. Of course we want to, but we don't have to."

<snip>


With his money and momentum depleted after losses in Iowa and New Hampshire, Dean has decided to save his ad money for the Feb. 7 elections in Michigan and Washington state and, 10 days later, those in Wisconsin.


http://apnews.myway.com/article/20040129/D80CM1PG2.html
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leyton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. When does he expect to start winning states?
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 03:39 PM by leyton
I mean, if you haven't won any primaries by Feb. 3, you're running out of time. Obviously, there are plenty of delegates left, but if he doesn't win any by Tuesday, why should he expect to win other states? He's got to show that he's competitive, and being defeated in states all around the country will not help his case.

Oh yeah, EDIT: He's got to show that he's competitive, or else he won't have a good shot at a firm win even in Michigan, for example.
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mopinko Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:57 PM
Response to Reply #1
43. is this a law or something
or just the media certified convetional wisdom.
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DJcairo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 05:01 PM
Response to Reply #43
46. No, but if you cant win in the first 9 states, where can you win?
I don't think he does well in MI either. I saw a poll recently that's up on my toughenough.org site showing Dean behind Kerry by a factor of 2 and that was before Tuesday's NH primary.
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 05:28 PM
Response to Reply #46
51. The other 41?
:shrug:
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eileen_d Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:40 PM
Response to Original message
2. Dean always knows exactly what to say.
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 03:44 PM by eileen_d
I wonder how his bedside manner was when he was a practicing physician?
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:42 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
eileen_d Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:43 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. Oooh, a spelling flame!
I'm honored. (sniff) I'd like to thank the Academy, the DLC...
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creativelcro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:10 PM
Response to Reply #9
26. It's not a flame. It's a spelling correction
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liberalnurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:41 PM
Response to Reply #8
35. You are quite wrong.
He began his practice in Vermont with his wife, Judy. He continued practicing medicine as Lt. Governor until he became the Governor of Vermont. She now manages their practice.
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liberalnurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:43 PM
Response to Reply #8
38. I doubt Kerry ever threw those metals....
I heard it was bird seed for the pigeons or something that resembled metals...itwas essentially a "show".
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sangh0 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:58 PM
Response to Reply #38
44. Since that is what you heard
"somewhere", I'm sure it's true
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sangh0 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:40 PM
Response to Original message
3. Dean doesn't need to win or Dean doesn't need to whine?
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 04:05 PM by sangh0
"Democratic presidential candidate Howard Dean said Thursday that he doesn't need to whine in any of the seven states holding contests Tuesday to keep his beleaguered campaign alive.

Coming on the heels of the campaign's decision not to buy TV ads in those states, Dean said he will focus on picking up as many delegates as he can, but that only requires him to pace, not whine, in the blitz of upcoming primaries and caucuses.

"We're going to have to whine eventually," he said. "But the question was do we have to whine on February 3. Of course we want to, but we don't have to."
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economic justice Donating Member (776 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:40 PM
Response to Original message
4. momentum=money=wins
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 03:41 PM by economic justice
losses=no funds=more losses
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:41 PM
Response to Original message
5. Earth to Howard... You to win a state on Feb. 3rd.
nt
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mopinko Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:59 PM
Response to Reply #5
45. or what?
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:42 PM
Response to Original message
6. It's a Game of Expectations
With the money gone, Dean can't spread himself too think and it's probably good that he lowers expectations now.

I agree it's a long shot, but his best shot is concentrating on the states he might win. Washington, Wisconsin, maybe even Michigan if he can get it going. It'll be a test of Neel as a fixer.

Getting one small state next week -- even Delaware -- would be a big shot in the arm for Dean. His expectations have been so catastrophically lowered that any win would start the refrain "Excuse me, he's not quite dead yet. Feeling a little better actually."

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adamrsilva Donating Member (636 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:42 PM
Response to Original message
7. Not Feb 3 but Feb 7
He has to win Michigan and/or Washington to stay viable.
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creativelcro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:43 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. I have to get a coffee to stay awake....
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cbua34 Donating Member (73 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:43 PM
Response to Original message
11. Of course he doesn't...
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 03:44 PM by cbua34
because he has no money and doing less than spectacular in the Feb. 3 polls. Stick a fork in Dean, he is done.
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displacedtexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:45 PM
Response to Original message
12. Ya know, that sounds reeeeeeeeeaaaaaaallll good and all...
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 03:46 PM by displacedtexan
but damn. Sounds like 'we know we haven't got a snowball's chance in Hell, but we'll get as many folks as possible to keep sending us money.'
I can see it now: Bush* Faces Multi-State Loser in Presidential Race
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returnable Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:48 PM
Response to Original message
13. What I wanna know is...
...where are all the Dean supporters who ridiculed Clark for skipping Iowa now? :hi:

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economic justice Donating Member (776 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:53 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Very true
All's fair in love - and politics. Good question, by the way!
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blm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:53 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. whoop, there it is.
.
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bigwillq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:55 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. I'm still here
I'm not sure what this has to do with Dean.

I don't think it showed that it helped Clark in NH after skipping Iowa. I think Clark is in as much trouble as Dean.
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returnable Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #17
31. Huh?
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 04:24 PM by returnable
"I'm not sure what this has to do with Dean."

This thread is about Dean not really contesting several states. See the connection?

"I think Clark is in as much trouble as Dean."

Let's see... Clark is competing in the February 3rd states, he's running ads in the February 3rd states, and his staff is actually getting paid.

Clark's campaign has some challenges ahead, sure, but I think the Dean camp might be in slightly more trouble :hi:
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KC21304 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:02 PM
Response to Reply #13
21. They are probably hanging out with the Dean supporters
who ridiculed Kerry when he changed his staff and was low on funds. Or maybe they are the same people, you think ?
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liberalnurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:45 PM
Response to Reply #13
39. Why?
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nancyharris Donating Member (637 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:52 PM
Response to Original message
14. Excellent!
<""We're going to have to win eventually," he said. "But the question was do we have to win on February 3. Of course we want to, but we don't have to."">

Governor Dean is finally beginning to sound like Congressman Kucinich.
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KC21304 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:15 PM
Response to Reply #14
28. Thanks, that was hilarious. I hope it was meant to be.
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bigwillq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:57 PM
Response to Original message
18. As a Dean supporter until the Doctor decides it's over
I think he DOES have to win a state on Feb.3 and maybe two. I think his campaign is a mess right now and yesterday's changes did not help it. I will support Dean until he says it's over and I still plan on voting for him in my primary but a win is a must on Tuesday, imo.
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 03:58 PM
Response to Original message
19. So the 50 state campaign is down to what?
20?
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mopinko Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 05:01 PM
Response to Reply #19
47. i think it's 2
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 05:02 PM by mopinko
to hear some people talk.
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 05:10 PM
Response to Reply #47
48. Michigan and Wisconsin and maybe Washington
I think that's about right.
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jsw_81 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:00 PM
Response to Original message
20. I can see it now:
Dean: I don't need any states on Super Tuesday.

Dean: I don't need a majority of delegates at the convention.

Dean: I don't need any votes on November 2.

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incapsulated Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:02 PM
Response to Original message
22. Well, it's a gamble alright
Maybe he doesn't have a choice though. I just think it would be better to go for broke now. If he doesn't win any states at all, the story after Tuesday will be those who did win, and they will really start pounding the nails in his coffin in the media. He still has a base of support around the country that he can count on, and Kerry doesn't, he going on momentum right now.

The south/west were always going to be tough for him but he can compete in Delaware and Missouri.
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molly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:03 PM
Response to Original message
23. Feb 7th is too late - he will have lost all of his momentum
by then. Is this his graceful way out?
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:08 PM
Response to Original message
24. Dean is imploding - Even if this were true he should not say it.
If Dean hopes to turn this around, he has got to start thinking a little before he opens his mouth. He has just written off the Feb 3 states - any wavering supporters there that hear this are gone. For someone who came roaring out of the box, he sure doesn't seem to be doing anything right these days.
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Myra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:13 PM
Response to Reply #24
27. Agreed. And Kerry never should have said he doesn't need the South.
Gaffe.
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sangh0 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:16 PM
Response to Reply #27
29. Do you have a link for that?
Or did you just paraphrase what Kerry really said?
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:25 PM
Response to Reply #29
32. I would like to see that link also. When did he say that?
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 04:25 PM by yellowcanine
This has been repeated on the internet yet I have never seen such a quote.
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KC21304 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:37 PM
Response to Reply #32
33. I think someone asked if it was possible and he said it was possible
because Gore did it, paraphrasing of course. He did not say he didn't need it and actually kicked off his whole campaign in South Carolina last year.
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sangh0 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #32
34. It's been repeated on the Internet?
Well then it must be true!! :-)
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KC21304 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:10 PM
Response to Original message
25. I'm with you. Dean never has to win any states as far as I am concerned.
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:41 PM
Response to Reply #25
36. LOL!!! nt
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sangh0 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:42 PM
Response to Reply #25
37. I bet his disapproval ratings would drop
if he lost every state
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LuminousX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:18 PM
Response to Original message
30. He doesn't, BUT...
If he doesn't he is deeper in the hole and it will be harder to recover. If he can win just one state with decent showing in others, then he has a stronger position to work from.
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GumboYaYa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:50 PM
Response to Original message
40. That is scary.
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 04:51 PM by GumboYaYa
If he falls to fourth or fifth because of no effort on Tuesday, he may not have any chance of pulling off victories on the 7th.

Many people here want to gloat over Dean's fate, but as someone who has poured their time and money into the campaign it is a sad way to go. Unfortunately, without a miracle it looks like the writing is on the wall.

I'm gonna buck up and do everything I can to help on Tuesday. If Dean fails, I'll take a break and then jump on board with our nominee to beat Bush. It sure will be a lot easier to do and more enjoyable, if I don't have to face endless gloating over the demise of my candidate.
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PurityOfEssence Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:54 PM
Response to Original message
41. The essence of the Dean campaign: none of the old rules apply
Things like consistency, not pissing people off, telling the truth, being responsible for one's actions, having some comportment, not speaking in reckless generalizations, actually winning primaries.

Although not all of his supporters are young (by a long shot) it's still indicative that those who scorn history most are the ones who don't know anything about it.

"Conventional Wisdom" is a thorough oxymoron, but the spazzy groupthink religious experience of many of his supporters is just boggling.

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eileen_d Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 05:14 PM
Response to Reply #41
49. Those pesky rules...
Edited on Thu Jan-29-04 05:14 PM by eileen_d
Things like consistency, not pissing people off, telling the truth, being responsible for one's actions, having some comportment, not speaking in reckless generalizations, actually winning primaries

Yep, Dean throws all of those pesky things out the window -- and I'm supposed to cheer him on? I'm supposed to *want* this guy to lead the nation? Not bloody likely.
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 05:25 PM
Response to Reply #41
50. 'comportment' excellent word
should be used more often. Dean should have studied graceful losing speeches before taking to that Iowa stage.
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Frederic Bastiat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-29-04 04:57 PM
Response to Original message
42. Yup, he needs to win them all to survive n/t
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