What's to be the results of the 2006 elections?

[liberalitch]

What will be the results of the decline in polls and renewed media consciousness?

[garybeck]

1. Folks, they still own the voting machines

if the elections were open and fair, we'd take back the house and the senate.

but that's not the case.

[BeFree]

31. If the elections were open and fair? WTHeck?

What do you mean 'IF'?

Are you saying there is a chance the 2006 elections might be rigged to favor one candidate over another?

How in the world could that happen?

[truebrit71]

2. I think we re-take the house, and get back to even in the Senate.

Then the impeachment hearings begin....

[Tiggeroshii]

12. Why do you think the House is more likely than the Senate?

Wouldn't it be too gerrymandered for the Dems to make significant gains?

[terrya]

3. We'll take back the Senate, but not the House.

We will gain in the House, though.

[Tiggeroshii]

14. Agreed. Unless things look REALLY bad for the Rethugs by 06

I think that if and when Bush fires Fitzgerald, we will have a significant chance at winning the House but until then it's still a long ways away.

[BurgherHoldtheLies]

4. Pennsylvania cleanses itself of (P)ricky

Everything else is gravy.

Seriously, the Senate is do-able, the House, not so much.

[AX10]

7. I believe both are "doable"

We could get 51-53 Senate seats and 223-243 House seats.

[AX10]

5. Here are the ranges I see:

Below Avg:
House: 210-215D
Senate: 45-47D
Gov: 22-25D

Average:
House: 214-226D
Senate: 47-50D
Gov: 24-26D

Strong Result:
House: 230-245D
Senate: 49-53D
Gov: 27-30D

[KingFlorez]

6. I think we'll take back both houses

More seats are coming into contention because our candidates are high quality, appeal to alot of people and we have a new type of online activism. I feel more confident about winning than I did in 2002 or 2004.

[AX10]

8. I like you KingFlorez! You've got the right thinking, or should I say..

the 'left' thinking! :hi:

I believe that we will take back both house.

[KingFlorez]

19. I believe this is our election to lose

Alot people are starting to see what crooks the Republicans are and only the most fringe conservatives will return Delay and his crooks back to the House or send rubberstamps back to the Senate.

[liberalitch]

33. This is very true....

we need very viable candidates

[MindPilot]

9. I voted "other" because we'll all be dead

from bird flu attacks on the subway while looking at porn.

They tried to protect us; they tried fighting them over there, but the liberal media and the satan-worshiping Atheist caused god to lift his veil of protection.

[bee]

20. roflmao. too funny. thanks for the laugh! :-) n/t

[Catchawave]

10. Nothing Changes...d'oh

Unless the DLC/DNC/DCCC/DABC/DNBC/DCBS/ "changes" :groan:

[we can do it]

11. Nothing will change until the fraud is stopped.

end of story, sorry

[OKNancy]

15. Please don't try to supress the Democratic votes

thank you

[BeFree]

32. This is the third time I've heard that...---...

"Don't supress the vote"

Hmmmm, what to say...... How 'bout there might be a few freepers who would come here and attempt to supress dem voter turnout using the e-voting scenario as a tool, but really, the one's who usually speak about the evoting say so as a warning, and are spot on, good democrats.

The question all of us need to be asking is: "Can the election be rigged?" Well? Can it?

[OKNancy]

13. Just a reminder - Only 1/3 of the Senate is up for re-election

All of the House is.

I used to think we only had a chance in the Senate, but now maybe the House isn't an impossibility.


Senate: which of these races can we turn?


Independent
1. Jeffords, James - (I - VT)
(bowed out 4/20/05)
Republicans
1. Allen, George - (R - VA)
2. Burns, Conrad - (R - MT)
3. Chafee, Lincoln - (R - RI)
4. DeWine, Mike - (R - OH)
5. Ensign, John - (R - NV)
6. Frist, Bill - (R - TN)
7. Hatch, Orrin - (R - UT)
8. Hutchison, Kay - (R - TX)
9. Kyl, Jon - (R - AZ)
10. Lott, Trent - (R - MS)
11. Lugar, Richard - (R - IN)
12. Santorum, Rick - (R - PA)
13. Snowe, Olympia - (R - ME)
14. Talent, James - (R - MO)
15. Thomas, Craig - (R - WY)

Will we Keep these?:

Democrats
1. Akaka, Daniel - (D - HI)
2. Bingaman, Jeff - (D - NM)
3. Byrd, Robert - (D - WV)
4. Cantwell, Maria - (D - WA)
5. Carper, Thomas - (D - DE)
6. Clinton, Hillary - (D - NY)
7. Conrad, Kent - (D - ND)
8. Corzine, Jon - (D - NJ)
9. Dayton, Mark - (D - MN)
(Bowed out 2/9/05)
10. Feinstein, Dianne - (D - CA)
11. Kennedy, Edward - (D - MA)
12. Kohl, Herb - (D - WI)
13. Lieberman, Joseph - (D - CT)
14. Nelson, Bill - (D - FL)
15. Nelson, Ben - (D - NE)
16. Sarbanes, Paul - (D - MD)
(Bowed out 3/11/05)
17. Stabenow, Debbie - (D - MI)

[bearfan454]

16. One word - Diebold nt

[McKenzie]

17. Don't know for sure - I'm a Brit

with no deep understanding of US politics.

I'll say this though...if anyone thinks these bastards are going to relinquish power think again. The shit they pulled off to get the last election was nothing short of a bloodless coup d'etat. The stakes are now so damned high they are going to pull out the stops to hold on to what they have (sorry for mixing my metaphors...blame the French wine...those French people can't be trusted...hic!) and that will include some really nasty tricks.

[liberalitch]

18. French wine = truth serum......

You may not have a profound understanding of US politics but then most americans don't either....
The terms at large (like senators are elected, by the whole state) and by district (House of reps. members are elected by district) are enough to send most of them into seizures

[laugle]

41. Would you still feel that way if Rove is indicted,

after all he is the master dirty trickster!!!

[Zodiak]

45. not that you are here to entertain me

but damn do I love a Brit's style.

Thanks for the smile.

[lessthanjake]

21. Meh we wont make much back

You are all highly niave if you think that just because the republican party is losing popularity that that means we can take back both houses somehow.

The facts are this:

To take back the senate we would need to win every close seat and beat a another republican who at this point seems reasonably safe (ie. double digit leads). That is not entirely impossible but still highly improbably.

As for the house there are not that many competitive seats what with all the gerrymandering. We will basically have to win just about every competitive seat to take back the house too.

I put the odds on taking back both houses in 2006 at about 1/1000

[Awsi Dooger]

22. We're on defense in the senate

It's extremely unreasonable to expect big gains in the senate next year. This is the cycle we already picked off the vulnerable GOP incumbents in states friendly or winnable for us, in 2000. We took over Michigan and Washington and Florida, etc. enroute to +5 net. Now we're expecting similar again among the same block of senate seats just 6 years later? Sorry, not going to happen. There are only 33 or 34 senate seats up every 2 years. If we pick up +5 again, like many are projecting/wishing, that would mean a net +10 or nearly 1/3 transfer among the same 33 seats to our side in a six year period. Every ounce of mathematical and probability logic screams to me that's basically impossible. I'll be happy to gain one or break even. Admittedly, I'm more numbers-oriented than cheerleader.

One year ago the conventional wisdom was we would be playing defense in 2006. Hint: everything tends to drift back to the beginning. The self-inflicted GOP problems of the past few months are not to be diminished, but I can't see them trumping the big picture realities: we are defending many more seats, had many close wins in 2000, and therefore can't expect significant gains in 2006.

[Phoonzang]

23. Other...

Either the Repubs cheat using the voting machines or some terrorist attack happens before the election causing the American sheep to run to the arms of the GOP. So we lose even more seats in the Senate and House.

But then again, I'm a pessimist.. :o

[newyawker99]

28. Hi Phoonzang!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

[liberalitch]

34. HAIL VOICE OF DOOM!!!!!

and welcome to DU

[Phoonzang]

44. Lol...Thanks n/t

[corbett]

24. At This Juncture, The Senate Is A Lock. The House Races Need Work

http://www.dccc.org/campaignforchange

[lessthanjake]

25. How is the senate a lock

Tell me the seats we will win back to gain control. We have to win 6 seats total. I dont see 6 seats that at this point we actually have a chance of winning.

[corbett]

26. Allen, Chafee, DeWine, Frist, Kyl And Santorum n/t

[lessthanjake]

29. Kyl?

Give me a break. Find me a poll where he doesnt have a double digit lead.

Frist??? Once again Harold Ford Jr is way behind in the polls.

Sure its possible that we could come back and win those but be realistic. Everyone here is saying that we will take back the senate when to do so we will have to close huge leads and win every currently close race.

[corbett]

37. I'll Enjoy Proving You Wrong. Stay Tuned. n/t

[lessthanjake]

39. If i am wrong ill be happy

I just dont think i am.

[liberalitch]

36. allen is going to be vunerable after people get more of a wind of this....

Confederate flags, nooses, racial slurs..... what more could you want?
http://gotv.blogspot.com/2005/06/is-george-allen-racist.html

[lessthanjake]

38. Ummmm unfortunately thats not true

No one in Virginia cares. Remember most people here (i live in VA) are conservative red neck republicans.

[liberalitch]

42. I think it will.... The indictment that Bush/GOP doesn't care...

about blacks will ring pretty loud in richmond and hampton roads (i'm in norfolk.... a blue dot on a red domino)

[paineinthearse]

27. A 2006 poll!!!!

How refreshing.

Thank you.

Focus on 2006, people!

[liberalitch]

35. At the march I carried a boom with the numbers 2006 on it....

I "became" drunk and grew tired of carrying it and gave to some punk rockers..... they seemed delighted.

[win_in_06]

30. I think it's 2nd Down and a longs ways to go.

We get it back in two downs. A big chunk on 2d down (06) and the majority of both Houses on 3d down (08).

[nvliberal]

40. Other.

Republicans gain seats in both houses of Congress.

Sorry, but I don't trust our election system as far as I can throw it.

[Mark E. Smith]

43. We're Going To Mop The Floor With The Pug Uglies

It's going to make 1930 look positively tame in comparison.