Bombshell in Ohio: Proof of Fraud?

[Liberty Belle]

Bob Fertik at Democrats.com has just published "Widespread Election Fraud in Cleveland?" in which Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D. reveals results of his just-completed precinct-by-precinct analysis of the 2004 presidential vote in Cleveland. Here are excerpts of his damning findings, which should be enough to give Karl Rove a coronary:

"There are wholesale shifts of scores of votes from the Kerry column to other candidates, and astonishingly low turnouts in certain precincts and entire wards. The Ohio recount will prove these numbers to be fraudulent."

I may have identified only the tip of the iceberg. I note that there are 17,741 uncounted ballots in Cuyahoga County. Kerry's margin in Cleveland was reportedly 108,659 votes with a 49.89% turnout. The rest of Cuyahoga County had a 71.95% turnout. Such a turnout in Cleveland would have given Kerry a margin of 156,705 votes, left Bush with a statewide margin of 85,007 votes, and with 248,100 votes still uncounted, nobody would be conceding Ohio.

This is a situation that demands rigorous investigation. I can imagine Michael Moore going door to door in Ward 4, Precinct F, looking for the 215 Peroutka voters, or in Ward 4, Precinct N, looking for the 163 Badnarik voters. Or going door to door in Ward 6, Precinct C, to find out why the turnout was only 7.10% - or in Ward 13, Precincts D, F, and O, to find out why the turnout was only 13.05%, 19.60%, and 21.01%, respectively."

<snip>

"...A NOT UNREASONABLE CONCLUSION IS THAT TAMPERING WITH THE NUMBERS HAS COST JOHN KERRY 6,000 VOTES IN CLEVELAND."

http://www.blog.democrats.com/node/812 /

[whirlygigspin]

1. your link doesn't work

try:

www.democrats.com

[Dolphyn]

6. Remove the 'www'

This works:
http://blog.democrats.com/node/812

[daleo]

2. Link didn't work for me n/t

[whirlygigspin]

3. again with Cayuhoga County

what's up with that?

what a mess.

[shuffnew]

27. http://blog.democrats.com/node/812 /

Then page down to "Wide Spread Election Fraud in Ohio" post.

http://blog.democrats.com/node/812 /

[proudbluestater]

4. Great! Keeping Hope Alive!!! n/t

[pa28]

5. Kick this thread. Waiting for the link. n/t

[Liberty Belle]

7. Here's the correct link

http:blog.democrats.com/node/812

[4democracy]

8. kick

[Liberty Belle]

9. oops, left out the //

sorry, it's late. The correct link is http://blog.democrats.com/node/812

I can't click on the links and make them work with my software when I'm typing a message, only after it gets posted, for some reason. Can you please repost this message? Thanks!

[shraby]

31. Highlight the address in your browser then copy/paste.

[DELUSIONAL]

10. The widespread fraud/vote irregularities/glitches and errors

are something like 99.9% in bushie's favor.

So who was in control of the vote manipultion/fraud?

We all know the way the Rove machine has to have control -- the Republikkklan faithfully repeat the Rove "talking points" on every media outlet and on the Sunday pundit shows. The message is almost always delivered as if with one voice.

Would Rove (and or some other as yet unknown power behind the throne) sit back and hope that the Republikkklan poll workers/hackers etc. would on their own determine which machine, precinct vote totals, computers could be hacked in such a way to make it seem like (at first glance for the corporate media) a really big win for bushie?

Rove has to be in control -- he would have already made a test run (in Georgi and other states in 2002) -- he has a database somewhere and he probably has a faithful fundie who probably thinks he is doing "god's work".

Or have the computer e-voting machine companies decided on their own to help bushie get into the white house -- and would this happen without Rove knowing in advance?

Many people were involved -- what would be the absolute minimum number? Rove was either in control or he certainly knows who organized the biggest vote fraud in the history of the world. He is looking a bit too happy with himself --

But I really don't think that he counted on the grassroots democrats to catch on quite so quickly.

But many of us were expecting this to happen -- those of us who have read Bev Harris' book -- Black Box Voting. We also saw how the Rove/bush team acted in 2000 -- when they lost the election but managed to steal enough votes, get the election called for bush by his cousin.

With Rove's known ability to control people and control the message -- how did he manage to get the poll workers or county election officials to work with him -- how many acted on their own -- determined to get "their guy" elected?

If Rove's control extended down the line -- a whole lot of people are involved. A whole lot of research went into the fixing of this election -- and probably people have limited knowledge of how their efforts meshed with others in the same state. Rove probably operates on a need to know basis -- and it really enough for him to know that he is the one who is really pulling the strings.

I certainly hope that in each Swing state -- lists of possible poll workers, precinct workers, county partisan voter officials are being made -- because each of the guilty parties will have to be exposed.

We can see from the exit polls and the stinky numbers that something is rotten on a very basic level -- but the real stink comes from the head. This was directed, orchestrated and organized from the top. The GOPig organization is a top down organization -- sort of like a Queen Bee organization.

Rove is the queen bee and information flows to Queen Rove and from Queen Rove.

Any other organizational insights from those of you in a Swing state. I live in Washington state-- in a county with democratic officials. The vote always seems to be honest -- from time to time GOPigs are elected.

[Liberty Belle]

11. Did Bush know?

If Rove was involved, and I suspect you're right, it's time for reporters to start asking the hard questions next time Shrub holds a press conference: "What did you know about voting fraud, Mr. President, and when did you find out?"

[DELUSIONAL]

12. According to the mythology created by Karen Hughes

she told bush that it looked like he was going to lose -- and he took the news well.

But this doesn't square with how he reacted in 2000 and when his father lost the Texas governorship.

Let's hope that one journalist remembers why he/she became a journalists and starts to ask the important questions.

For one journalist -- this will be the major story of their career -- and it could make or break their career. It they remember their core moral values -- truth, honesty, integrity and patriotism -- etc. for what I've forgotten.

[roseBudd]

25. If anybody could/would dig into Warren County it would be

Howard Wilkinson of the Cincinnati Enquirer. Would his editor let him? SW OH DUers who might want to chat him up, he is a frequent smoker in front of 312 Elm St. I can provide a pic for identification purposes.

[IthinkThereforeIAM]

13. Of course...

... as someone who watched the advent of PAC's and "think tanks" since the 70's, there is no way that exactly what you describe in your essay (a good one) did not come to their attention as being do able.

I myself feel that the person(s) that did the tabulator hacks are on an expense free extended vacation at some Club Med type place.


on edit: typo

[Andromeda]

14. Kick!

:kick:

[loudsue]

16. If they're LUCKY! Too many people who "know too much" are usually

done away with in a mafia organization....unless they're part of the family. Can't have the trail of crumbs leading back to rove, now, can he?

Anybody that does work for these guys could end up "suicided"...just look at all the world-renouned microbiologists that turned up dead in the first few years after the 1st bush coup....around the time of the Anthrax letters.

Who would miss a few programmers?? All that reward money being offered for whistle-blowers on the vote fraud may prove too much for someone, and rove can't risk it.

:tinfoilhat: Ok....maybe my hat's on too tight!!

:kick::kick:

[ewagner]

17. Great post and it raises

some questions that have puzzled me for a long time (since the 2002 Georgia election).

Here's something to consider. Rove didn't put out any "orders" as such. Instead the word was passed quite openly that the Democrats are going to try to steal the election! Hence, true believers on the local level devised their own ways and means to counterbalance the anticipated "theft" (you know what they mean by theft: voter registration drives, GOTV efforts etc). It probably wasn't coordinated in a typical sense of the word; just lots and lots of little frauds.

I'm leaning more and more to this explanation because of the sheer size and scope of the reported incidents of voter suppression, miscounted votes, unreported votes and weird machine counts....

What do you think?

[Beetwasher]

18. They Leave Nothing To Chance

I suspect it WAS coordinated from the top in some way, probably through the use of cells, like an underground resistance movement, with no one cell knowing the others and communication happening very discretely, that way, if one "fraud cell" is uncovered it leads knowhere and there is plausible deniability.

What you suggest would be too risky, IOW, it might not work. They would have to depend on SOME amount of chance for it to just happen the way you suggest.

[ewagner]

20. Point well-taken

by the same token, creating any kind of a network would create the risk of exposure....so if there was some centralized control, there should be muddy footprints all over the place.

In my opinion, one of the best places to look for muddy footprints is in the Warren County lockdown/Homeland Security/threat warning. The chairman says an agent met with him and others. Who was the agent? On what authority did that agent meet with them?

Maybe it was a combination of both?

[Beetwasher]

21. Yeah, Probably A Combination of Both

I'm sure there were plenty of "freelancers" just doing "god's work"...

In any event, I'm fairly certain (just a gut feeling, though I'm sure I'm not alone) that whatever WAS coordinated , and I'm sure there was plenty, was done via Rove and his own personal cadre, and whatever footprints there are will never get close to him...

[roseBudd]

24. According to the cincinnati Enquirer the FBI and Homeland

Security deny that tale. Someone in Warren County is lieing. The decision to lock down was made on Oct. 25, but the media was not informed. Enquirer stories are from Nov. 4 & 10.

http://www.enquirer.com/editions/2004/11/04/loc_warrenvote04.html

http://www.enquirer.com/editions/2004/11/05/loc_warrenvote05.html

http://www.enquirer.com/editions/2004/11/10/loc_warrenvote10.html

[JaneEyrez]

29. I believe that very few people were involed...

It is known that the CIA has software and personnel who are able to hack at will and not be detected. It wouldn't even have to be the entire CIA that coordinated this. It would only take one or two people who agree with the President/Rove/Cheney agenda to, in the immortal words of Yoda, "make it so."

[NVMojo]

35. I know how he worked in Nevada.

He is one evil genius. The Dems couldn't have kept up if they tried and you can link him to HAVA and the Repuke SOS's nationwide. Why do you think he rewarded NV Gov. Kenny Guinn with being the leader of the Governors association? The NV repukes followed directions.

[KnowerOfLogic]

41. The look in Rove's eyes on the Sunday shows after the election

was like the look of a kid who wet his pants but was hoping nobody would notice. I definitely think he's behind it.

[Karmadillo]

15. Is anyone able to find the comparison to year 2000 figures?

I checked his website, but can't find them. It would be interesting to compare Cleveland turnout to Cuyahoga for the last Presidential election to see whether he's discovered something out of the ordinary or somthing that's simply part of an ongoing pattern.

[AzDar]

19. kick n/t

[eridani]

22. Full data from Phillips

I, RICHARD HAYES PHILLIPS, do swear and affirm the following:

I am a natural born citizen of the United States of America, and a registered voter.

I hold a Ph.D. in geomorphology from the University of Oregon.

I am a professional hydrologist and am well versed in standard techniques of statistical analysis, with
special expertise in spotting anomalous data.

I have analyzed unofficial results from the 2004general election in Columbus and Cleveland.

There is compelling evidence of systematic withholding of voting machines from predominantly Democratic wards in Columbus, many of them with high black populations. This action severely restricted voter turnout in these wards, and cost John F. Kerry upwards of 17,000 votes. Franklin County Board of Elections Director Matt Damschroder is known to have made this decision, and he is known to have met with Ohio Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell and President George W. Bush in Columbus on Election Day.

In Gahanna, Franklin County, Ward 1, Precinct B, where 638 ballots were cast, George W. Bush was awarded 4,258 votes. John F. Kerry received 260 votes. There were 87 reported write-in votes, compared to zero in the rest of the ward, 13 in the rest of Gahanna. Such discrepancies can only be found through time-consuming precinct by precinct analysis.

There is compelling evidence of incorrect presidential vote tallies in numerous precincts in Cleveland, Cuyahoga County. These irregularities include wholesale shifting of votes from one candidate’s column to another, and serious underreporting of the vote totals. These actions cost John F. Kerry at least 6,000 votes, by conservative estimate.

There are demonstrable discrepancies in the reported numbers of total ballots cast in Cuyahoga County. These discrepancies include cities and towns with more ballots cast than the number of registered voters; and cities and towns in which the reported voter turnout, though less than the number of registered voters, is greater than the sum total of ballots cast in all of its wards. These discrepancies amount to 246,919 votes, and call into question all the results in Cuyahoga County. The numbers are compromised and not to be trusted.

Supporting documentation is being provided to the court.

As of this writing there are still 248,100 uncounted ballots in Ohio, including 155,428 provisional ballots, and 92,672 ballots cast but still uncounted. George W. Bush holds a lead of only 136,483 votes in the unofficial count, not taking into consideration any of the above listed activities and discrepancies or any others that may yet be found. Furthermore, a statewide recount is still pending.

I pray for relief from this court, asking specifically that

-- All ballots cast, and all records of ballots cast, be preserved as evidence.

-- J. Kenneth Blackwell be restrained from certifying the Ohio election results.

-- Amendment XIV, Amendment XV, and the laws enacted pursuant thereto, including the Voting Rights Act, be enforced.

-- Plaintiff be allowed to file amended complaints as further evidence becomes apparent.


TO THIS I SWEAR AND AFFIRM,

Richard Hayes Phillips
STEALING VOTES IN COLUMBUS

The Free Press on Election Day posted a disturbing story, later confirmed by the Columbus Dispatch. The Free Press reported that Franklin County Board of Elections Director Matt Damschroder deliberately withheld voting machines from predominantly black Democratic wards in Columbus, and dispersed some of the machines to affluent suburbs in Franklin County.

Damschroder is the former Executive Director of the Franklin County Republican Party. Sources close to the Board of Elections told the Free Press that Damschroder and Ohio's Secretary of State Kenneth
Blackwell met with President George W. Bush in Columbus on Election Day.

The idea was to discourage turnout in Democratic wards by forcing voters to wait in long lines at the polling places. Such a strategy would be far more effective than encouraging turnout in Republican wards. Elections are all about margins. There are 74 wards in Columbus. George W. Bush won 12 wards, with a margin of 7.35%. John F. Kerry won 62 wards, with a margin of 37.62%. Affecting Kerry’s turnout would greatly reduce his margin of victory in Columbus, giving the Republicans a much better chance of overtaking Kerry given a strong enough showing in suburban and small town Republican strongholds.


COLUMBUS POPULAR VOTE (EXCLUDING PROVISIONAL BALLOTS)

Location Kerry Bush Others
Kerry Wards 141520 68.40% 63693 30.78% 1704 0.82%
Bush Wards 36228 46.01% 42015 53.36% 496 0.63%
Grand Total 177748 62.22% 105708 37.01% 2200 0.77%


In order to investigate this matter, I obtained from the Franklin County Board of Elections all the data I needed in order to calculate, ward by ward, and precinct by precinct: (1) The ratio of registered voters per voting machine. (2) Percent turnout, calculated as total ballots cast divided by the number of registered voters. (3) Percent for Kerry, calculated as votes cast for Kerry divided by votes cast for president. (4) Margin of victory or defeat for Kerry, calculated as the difference between the vote totals for Kerry and Bush.

The first thing I noticed was the distribution of turnout. There is a statistically significant difference between the turnout in the Bush precincts and the turnout in the Kerry precincts.


DISTRIBUTION OF TURNOUT

Percent Bush Kerry
Turnout Precincts Precincts

> 60 68 57
55-60 32 55
50-55 17 73
45-50 7 78
40-45 1 49
< 40 0 34
Total 125 346

Median Bush Precinct: 60.56%
Median Kerry Precinct: 50.78%

Best Bush Precinct: Ward 57, Precinct F
Bush 64.97% Kerry 34.82% Margin 30.05%

Best Kerry Precinct: Ward 17, Precinct D
Kerry 97.66% Bush 1.98% Margin 95.68%

Note: Ward 22, Precinct H was a tie.


As the above table shows, turnout was over 60% in 68 of 125 Bush precincts (54.4%), and over 50% in 117 of 125 Bush precincts (93.6%). By contrast, turnout was over 60% in only 57 of 346 Kerry precincts (16.5%), over 50% in only 185 of 346 Kerry precincts (53.5%), and under 40% in 34 of 346 Kerry precincts (9.8%).

Was the uneven distribution of turnout due to a lack of enthusiasm for the Democratic candidate? Or was it due to an uneven distribution of voting machines? To answer this question, I arranged the data, ward by ward, according to the ratio of registered voters per voting machine.


DISTRIBUTION OF VOTING MACHINES, TOP OF THE LIST

Ward Voters/ Percent Kerry Kerry
Machine Turnout Percent Margin

WARD 19 261.2 67.99 63.33 + 1491
WARD 65 265.1 60.10 44.33 - 496
WARD 30 266.4 56.25 52.50 + 147
WARD 72 267.4 62.33 39.42 - 774
WARD 22 274.1 60.21 54.89 + 465
WARD 28 276.2 58.48 82.04 + 2371
WARD 63 278.7 56.10 47.37 - 242
WARD 48 278.9 52.84 82.37 + 1909
WARD 46 279.8 58.22 55.19 + 981
WARD 70 285.5 61.17 50.95 + 79
WARD 06 292.9 47.44 91.29 + 2494
WARD 21 293.9 57.92 58.45 + 719
WARD 34 295.8 55.85 65.05 + 1051
WARD 69 296.4 57.97 41.98 - 1030
WARD 60 296.7 55.97 44.27 - 478
WARD 66 300.0 53.01 52.32 + 203
WARD 05 302.9 46.24 94.34 + 1854
WARD 62 303.2 57.96 55.68 + 760
WARD 45 303.8 57.89 55.47 + 1208
WARD 47 304.8 52.85 73.83 + 1534
WARD 20 306.2 61.96 71.46 + 1077
WARD 53 307.2 53.66 55.01 + 499
WARD 15 308.4 51.88 60.71 + 291
WARD 27 308.4 53.06 68.63 + 1283
WARD 56 308.6 55.71 82.75 + 4065
WARD 52 308.7 53.68 68.52 + 1610
WARD 10 311.5 57.18 47.58 - 560
WARD 67 313.1 54.17 48.03 - 221
WARD 64 313.6 52.73 47.88 - 153
WARD 57 314.2 56.81 48.74 - 155
WARD 50 316.4 59.54 77.14 + 1447
WARD 58 317.6 55.04 49.82 + 41
WARD 07 318.1 44.24 94.21 + 2332
WARD 36 318.7 53.31 50.57 + 91
WARD 43 319.9 56.27 58.53 + 475
WARD 73 320.6 58.23 44.18 - 1032
WARD 71 322.2 53.93 47.58 - 307
WARD 74 322.8 55.02 46.19 - 339


As the above table shows, the 38 wards in which the number of registered voters per voting machine was the lowest enjoyed high voter turnout. All but 3 of the 38 wards at the top of Damschroder’s list had a turnout above 50%, and 6 of the 38 wards at the top of the list had a turnout above 60%. All 12 of the Bush
wards are included in the top of the list. The 26 Kerry wards in the top of the list are not his biggest strongholds. In only 13 of the 26 wards did Kerry exceed his city wide share of 62.22% of the vote, which makes 13 of 38 wards altogether. However, these Kerry wards did enjoy a high voter turnout. In 23 of the 26 wards, Kerry’s turnout exceeded that of his median precinct, 50.78%. Turnout exceeded 55% in 14 Kerry wards, and exceeded 60% in 3 Kerry wards. Clearly, Kerry enjoyed a higher turnout where the polling places had enough voting machines. What about the bottom of the list?


DISTRIBUTION OF VOTING MACHINES, BOTTOM OF THE LIST

Ward Voters/ Percent Kerry Kerry
Machine Turnout Percent Margin

WARD 38 324.4 48.15 67.32 + 546
WARD 35 327.5 50.90 92.36 + 2104
WARD 17 330.6 48.67 93.12 + 2465
WARD 42 330.6 46.34 70.77 + 966
WARD 14 333.4 49.37 81.31 + 2068
WARD 13 338.6 44.91 93.36 + 1702
WARD 44 340.7 48.87 72.98 + 3212
WARD 18 342.4 55.15 76.84 + 2043
WARD 51 343.6 46.93 88.59 + 1857
WARD 61 345.6 49.28 62.35 + 594
WARD 68 347.3 44.61 75.43 + 950
WARD 04 348.6 37.69 91.75 + 1643
WARD 32 348.7 55.11 58.82 + 456
WARD 26 349.3 41.34 89.69 + 1692
WARD 33 350.1 52.64 69.19 + 1803
WARD 54 350.6 52.77 59.82 + 668
WARD 49 353.9 50.76 54.45 + 370
WARD 25 354.6 52.90 91.57 + 3872
WARD 24 356.9 48.99 68.47 + 991
WARD 37 356.9 44.37 58.99 + 441
WARD 02 357.1 52.56 69.94 + 1517
WARD 11 365.4 49.14 58.80 + 531
WARD 31 367.0 45.05 69.86 + 1000
WARD 29 369.2 45.65 61.09 + 417
WARD 16 369.5 44.61 75.98 + 1732
WARD 09 373.4 35.06 68.71 + 497
WARD 39 374.4 46.29 70.06 + 711
WARD 55 377.3 43.55 88.64 + 1644
WARD 59 381.2 48.32 54.16 + 288
WARD 08 381.8 41.52 68.99 + 974
WARD 40 381.8 42.41 78.15 + 1205
WARD 03 396.9 44.69 84.66 + 1728
WARD 41 400.5 40.22 65.95 + 1110
WARD 23 400.9 47.57 73.47 + 1252
WARD 01 407.1 44.37 68.50 + 744
WARD 12 423.9 41.81 86.47 + 1557


As the above table shows, the 36 wards in which the number of registered voters per voting machine was the highest suffered low voter turnout. All but 8 of the 36 wards at the bottom of Damschroder’s list had a turnout below 50%, and 2 of the 36 wards at the bottom of the list had a turnout below 40%. All 36 of the wards at the bottom of the list were won by Kerry, and they include most of his strongholds. In 29 of the 36 wards, Kerry exceeded his city wide share of 62.22% of the vote. However, these wards suffered a low voter turnout. In only 7 of the 36 wards did Kerry’s turnout exceed that of his median precinct, 50.78%. Turnout was below 45% in 14 of the 36 wards, and was below 40% in 2 Kerry wards. Clearly, Kerry suffered a lower turnout where the polling places did not have enough voting machines.

A similar pattern is evident when examining the data for individual precincts. I have arranged the data in the same manner as above, precinct by precinct, according to the ratio of registered voters per voting machine. The 61 precincts with the lowest ratio of registered voters per voting machine are shown below:


PRECINCTS WITH THE MOST VOTING MACHINES

Ward & Voters/ Percent Kerry Kerry
Precinct Machine Turnout Percent Margin

60-G 166.0 65.06 40.99 - 56
22-H 176.3 63.52 49.23 0
63-I 180.0 53.52 52.10 + 14
28-G 185.7 57.99 76.34 + 170
69-G 190.0 53.16 48.33 - 10
63-E 192.3 62.05 43.75 - 41
52-H 192.7 52.08 70.76 + 133
70-C 199.5 63.73 50.47 + 12
67-K 212.7 64.58 42.16 - 61
65-G 213.8 61.57 40.15 - 153

46-F 215.7 65.84 39.71 - 85
30-C 216.7 66.00 50.95 + 10
65-D 219.3 65.65 44.08 - 50
33-H 221.7 52.48 78.03 + 195
72-D 228.0 67.21 38.30 - 136
46-I 228.2 64.68 54.96 + 76
69-D 228.6 64.48 47.81 - 29
28-E 229.0 69.98 88.23 + 488
21-E 231.0 68.57 58.93 + 142
19-D 232.0 66.55 58.87 + 142

64-D 235.3 58.50 47.33 - 20
46-A 235.7 61.53 48.85 - 10
71-A 236.3 67.14 42.19 - 69
10-E 238.6 67.73 36.63 - 211
56-C 239.3 63.51 74.67 + 224
57-D 240.0 67.33 43.50 - 102
19-G 241.0 68.36 58.66 + 117
21-F 242.0 66.63 57.98 + 105
57-H 242.3 63.82 50.22 + 6
15-B 242.5 62.47 54.62 + 68

34-E 242.7 63.32 59.04 + 90
60-F 242.8 64.37 37.18 - 155
10-H 244.0 64.07 49.46 - 2
66-F 244.3 66.85 46.42 - 32
57-K 245.0 68.42 46.31 - 75
18-D 246.7 67.97 71.49 + 217
72-A 247.0 64.68 40.13 - 122
18-E 247.3 62.89 75.84 + 308
65-H 247.3 50.27 54.86 + 40
48-D 247.5 56.67 83.70 + 380

14-D 249.7 56.88 79.48 + 252
19-C 250.0 72.00 59.55 + 139
70-E 250.0 51.11 65.83 + 167
46-B 250.8 58.13 51.94 + 27
60-D 251.5 63.62 45.02 - 61
45-I 251.6 52.31 56.31 + 85
64-H 252.8 54.70 52.28 + 26
48-E 253.0 58.50 62.33 + 78
73-E 253.1 60.78 49.67 - 1
06-E 254.0 50.49 94.43 + 453

70-D 255.3 66.41 50.30 + 11
66-D 255.6 55.79 48.52 - 18
69-C 255.8 54.50 36.10 - 186
42-C 256.0 61.98 57.14 + 74
46-L 256.0 66.54 57.84 + 162
10-P 256.5 65.30 35.33 - 190
47-F 257.7 50.84 76.96 + 211
45-H 259.8 60.59 44.03 - 183
19-B 261.0 70.11 60.80 + 164
52-B 261.5 62.43 62.21 + 159
69-I 261.5 68.36 37.80 - 169


As the table above shows, of the 61 precincts with the most voting machines per registered voter, 26 were won by Bush, 34 were won by Kerry, and one was a tie. Again, Bush enjoys disproportional favoritism. Bush won 125 precincts and 26 of them (20.80%) are represented here. Kerry won 346 precincts, only 34(0.98%) are represented here, and they are not his major strongholds. In only 12 of the 34 Kerry precincts did he exceed his city wide share of 62.22% of the vote, which makes 12 of 61 precincts altogether. Most of these precincts enjoyed high voter turnout. In all 61 precincts, turnout was above 50%. In 42 of the 61 precincts, turnout was above that of Bush’s median precinct, 60.56%. Of these 42 precincts, 22 were won by Bush, and 20 were won by Kerry. This proves once and for all that the Kerry precincts could have enjoyed a voter turnout similar to that of the Bush precincts, if only they had been supplied with enough voting machines.

And what of the precincts with not enough voting machines? The 60 precincts with the highest ratio of registered voters per voting machine are shown below:


PRECINCTS WITH THE FEWEST VOTING MACHINES

Ward & Voters/ Percent Kerry Kerry
Precinct Machine Turnout Percent Margin

12-A 551.7 34.50 84.96 + 407
01-B 540.0 34.57 68.41 + 211
25-B 507.7 41.56 91.33 + 522
23-B 501.0 41.38 79.13 + 363
41-C 490.0 38.91 60.53 + 127
60-E 481.0 40.47 51.05 + 15
11-A 476.7 35.24 74.80 + 252
18-A 475.0 48.77 80.46 + 430
59-D 464.3 45.51 59.46 + 123
03-D 462.3 46.21 79.15 + 374

03-A 461.0 37.09 92.37 + 442
54-C 459.7 40.54 63.82 + 159
40-A 458.0 40.90 77.10 + 312
10-U 455.0 52.00 53.15 + 85
12-B 453.3 38.60 92.31 + 445
61-C 449.7 43.66 70.31 + 234
49-E 447.3 38.75 52.70 + 30
55-B 446.0 42.38 91.80 + 473
23-A 444.0 45.12 81.76 + 381
09-B 439.8 28.82 68.66 + 195

02-A 439.7 38.06 80.32 + 308
57-A 437.3 42.91 65.41 + 176
31-C 437.0 39.97 65.07 + 160
16-E 436.7 41.98 68.50 + 205
32-C 436.3 43.54 60.99 + 128
74-F 436.3 45.23 51.86 + 25
54-A 435.7 46.82 67.77 + 218
11-D 435.0 47.28 55.67 + 81
69-H 433.8 54.76 40.93 - 167
53-G 432.7 45.30 68.49 + 219

10-C 431.0 39.68 81.80 + 321
69-J 428.8 47.00 47.44 - 38
67-A 427.3 54.37 41.99 - 108
16-C 427.0 40.28 77.13 + 475
29-A 426.0 36.85 70.81 + 196
04-C 423.3 32.44 89.46 + 332
41-D 423.0 42.47 64.75 + 165
36-G 421.0 37.29 66.52 + 156
08-D 419.7 51.55 69.47 + 253
42-A 417.7 40.30 81.64 + 321

57-B 417.0 48.28 57.87 + 97
73-B 415.0 41.69 46.41 - 29
26-A 413.0 41.81 89.88 + 403
02-B 412.3 53.27 69.54 + 263
52-E 412.0 46.60 87.39 + 431
08-A 411.6 30.95 79.75 + 381
73-J 411.6 63.56 42.62 - 189
44-A 409.7 48.90 86.36 + 434
57-G 409.0 43.60 50.00 + 7
33-C 407.0 47.42 64.11 + 170

46-J 405.7 47.99 66.38 + 197
44-B 405.3 45.97 81.37 + 348
44-G 405.0 37.22 79.02 + 348
71-B 404.3 42.04 49.80 + 1
49-D 403.7 45.33 51.58 + 22
24-B 402.7 45.45 65.50 + 174
39-A 401.0 46.05 67.51 + 398
55-D 400.7 42.43 87.38 + 382
10-A 400.3 39.72 55.91 + 60
45-J 398.8 57.30 58.77 + 165


As the table above shows, of the 60 precincts with the fewest voting machines per registered voter, only 5 were won by Bush, and 55 were won by Kerry. Again, Bush enjoys disproportional favoritism. Bush won 125 precincts, and only 5 of them (4.00%) are represented here. Kerry won 346 precincts, 55 (15.9%) are represented here, and they include his major strongholds. In 41 of the 55 Kerry precincts, he exceeded his city wide share of 62.22% of the vote. None of these precincts enjoyed high voter turnout. In only 7 of the precincts was turnout was above 50%. Of these, 4 were won by Kerry, and 3 were won by Bush. Turnout was below 45% in 34 precincts, below 40% in 16 precincts, below 35% in 5 precincts, and below 30% in one precinct.

It is important to understand what these numbers mean. The polls in Ohio were open from 6:30 A.M. to 7:30 P.M. That is 13 hours, or 780 minutes. If there are 400 registered voters per voting machine, and turnout is 60%, each voter has less than 3.5 minutes to vote, and that is assuming a steady stream of voters, with no rushes at certain hours. It also assumes no challenges to voters at the polls. If there are 550 registered voters per voting machine, and the turnout is 60%, each voter has 2.4 minutes.

All of this amounts to theft of votes. It has been shown above that the Kerry precincts enjoyed a voter turnout similar to that of the Bush precincts when supplied with enough voting machines.

It is an easy matter to calculate, assuming the same vote percentages for each ward, how many more votes John Kerry would have gotten with a 60% voter turnout. This is not an unreasonable number. The median Bush precinct enjoyed a turnout of 60.56%. The turnout was 66.31% for Cincinnati, city wide.

I am aware that because the Franklin County Board of Elections did not purge its voter rolls, there are more registered voters than adults listed as living in Franklin County by the United States Census. There are many ‘registered’ voters who are dead or have moved away. One might expect, therefore, a lower percentage of voter turnout in Cleveland than in Cincinnati. However, 60% of the voting age population is a reasonable figure. Presidential elections have surpassed this figure four times in my lifetime: 1952 (61.6%), 1960 (62.8%), 1964 (61.9%), and 1968 (60.9%). In 1992 the figure was 55.9%, and the 2004 election was probably more hotly contested.


PROJECTED COLUMBUS RETURNS WITH 60% TURNOUT

Ward or Percent Kerry With 60% Gain or
Precinct Turnout Margin Turnout Loss

WARD 01 44.37 + 744 + 1006 + 262
WARD 02 52.56 + 1517 + 1732 + 215
WARD 03 44.69 + 1728 + 2320 + 592
WARD 04 37.69 + 1643 + 2616 + 973
WARD 05 46.24 + 1854 + 2406 + 552
WARD 06 47.44 + 2494 + 3154 + 660
WARD 07 44.24 + 2332 + 3163 + 831
WARD 08 41.52 + 974 + 1408 + 434
WARD 09 35.06 + 497 + 851 + 354
WARD 10 57.18 - 560 - 588 - 28
WARD 11 49.14 + 531 + 648 + 117
WARD 12 41.81 + 1557 + 2234 + 677
WARD 13 44.91 + 1702 + 2274 + 572
WARD 14 49.37 + 2068 + 2513 + 445
WARD 15 51.88 + 291 + 337 + 46
WARD 16 44.61 + 1732 + 2330 + 598
WARD 17 48.67 + 2465 + 3039 + 574
WARD 18 55.15 + 2043 + 2223 + 180
WARD 19 67.99 + 1491
WARD 20 61.96 + 1077
WARD 21 57.92 + 719 + 745 + 26
WARD 22 60.21 + 465
WARD 23 47.57 + 1252 + 1579 + 327
WARD 24 48.99 + 991 + 1214 + 223
WARD 25 52.90 + 3872 + 4392 + 520
WARD 26 41.34 + 1692 + 2456 + 764
WARD 27 53.06 + 1283 + 1451 + 168
WARD 28 58.48 + 2371 + 2433 + 62
WARD 29 45.65 + 417 + 548 + 131
WARD 30 56.25 + 147 + 157 + 10
WARD 31 45.05 + 1000 + 1332 + 332
WARD 32 55.11 + 456 + 496 + 40
WARD 33 52.64 + 1803 + 2055 + 252
WARD 34 55.85 + 1051 + 1129 + 78
WARD 35 50.90 + 2104 + 2480 + 376
WARD 36 53.31 + 91 + 102 + 11
WARD 37 44.37 + 441 + 596 + 155
WARD 38 48.15 + 546 + 680 + 134
WARD 39 46.29 + 711 + 922 + 211
WARD 40 42.41 + 1205 + 1705 + 500
WARD 41 40.22 + 1110 + 1656 + 546
WARD 42 46.34 + 966 + 1251 + 285
WARD 43 56.27 + 475 + 506 + 31
WARD 44 48.87 + 3212 + 3944 + 732
WARD 45 57.89 + 1208 + 1252 + 44
WARD 46 58.22 + 981 + 1011 + 30
WARD 47 52.85 + 1534 + 1742 + 208
WARD 48 52.84 + 1909 + 2168 + 259
WARD 49 50.76 + 370 + 437 + 67
WARD 50 59.54 + 1447 + 1458 + 11
WARD 51 46.93 + 1857 + 2374 + 517
WARD 52 53.68 + 1610 + 1800 + 190
WARD 53 53.66 + 499 + 558 + 59
WARD 54 52.77 + 668 + 760 + 92
WARD 55 43.55 + 1644 + 2265 + 621
WARD 56 55.71 + 4065 + 4378 + 313
WARD 57 56.81 - 155 - 164 - 9
WARD 58 55.04 + 41 + 45 + 4
WARD 59 48.32 + 288 + 358 + 70
WARD 60 55.97 - 478 - 512 - 34
WARD 61 49.28 + 594 + 723 + 129
WARD 62 57.96 + 760 + 787 + 27
WARD 63 56.10 - 242 - 259 - 17
WARD 64 52.73 - 153 - 174 - 21
WARD 65 60.10 - 496
WARD 66 53.01 + 203 + 230 + 27
WARD 67 54.17 - 221 - 245 - 24
WARD 68 44.61 + 950 + 1278 + 328
WARD 69 57.97 - 1030 - 1066 - 36
WARD 70 61.17 + 79
WARD 71 53.93 - 307 - 342 - 35
WARD 72 62.33 - 774
WARD 73 58.23 - 1032 - 1063 - 31
WARD 74 55.02 - 339 - 370 - 31

GRAND TOTAL +16788


Thus I conclude that the withholding of voting machines from predominantly Democratic wards in the City of Columbus cost John Kerry upwards of 17,000 votes. A more detailed calculation could be done on a precinct by precinct basis, but that is not necessary here. The purpose is to illustrate the magnitude of the conspiracy.

Matt Damschroder did not act alone. There are 74 wards and 472 precincts in Columbus, Ohio. It is not possible for one person to have delivered all the voting machines, and it is unlikely that nobody else was involved in planning where to deliver them. Anyone who associated with Mr. Damschroder on or shortly before Election Day should be investigated for possible complicity.

Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.
4 Fisher Street
Canton, New York 13617
[phone]
[e-mail]

[Jo March]

26. Wow. Just - wow.

This is great. He says it all quite simply, doesn't he?

Excellent. I will be sending this around.

[Digit]

32. I love reading good news like this.

Thanks for posting it!

[Silver Gaia]

33. This is an AWESOME analysis!

Eridani, is there a link where I can find the material copied above ("Full data from Phillips")? I couldn't find this particular material at the link to democrats.com linked further above. (Is it there somehwere? If so, could you explain to me how to find it there?) I'd love to pass this around and post it elsewhere, but it would help if I could properly attribute the original source. Help? And thanks? Again, this is GREAT!

[Silver Gaia]

40. Never mind!

I found it here: http://www.freepress.org/departments/display/19/2004/914

[Merlin]

34. Interesting. But it's not Cuyahoga County data, and...

the analysis here appears to be different from his analysis in Cuyahoga County. For one thing, he claims to do a precinct analysis in Cleveland.

Anybody have his Cuyahoga County data?

[slay]

23. kick

[Blue_Roses]

28. Well, it took two years for Watergate to play out

and since that pales in comparison to this, it's may take longer for justice, but then who knows...one thing is for sure--a scandal has been 'a brewing!

[eridani]

30. And kick one more time for the night shift n/t

[NVMojo]

36. kick

kick

[Demi_Babe]

37. wow

[goclark]

39. Kick for PM shift

[ChiciB1]

38. Could There Be Thanksgiving

still lurking around?? Sounds so good, but every time we hear something like this, we get dashed again! Got my fingers crossed. Even if there aren't enough votes, can't SOMEONE be prosecuted???