Approximately what time will we get results from Iowa?

[Skinner]

We're trying to figure out what to expect on DU this evening, and it would be helpful if we knew when the caucuses were over. Is there a specific time when they end?

[windansea]

1. check Kaus for some info Skinner

http://slate.msn.com/id/2093760/

[DoveTurnedHawk]

3. Hey, Is SLATE F'ed Up for Anyone Else?

I try to look at Slate, and all this freaky text gets overlaid on top of the main text.

DTH

[Skinner]

7. Yeah. I just opened that page, and it's a mess. (nt)

[windansea]

8. comes up ok for me

here's part of what he says

1) The entrance poll taken under the auspices of a six large news organizations--call them Big Press--and their group, the National Election Pool. This completely unofficial count simply questions caucus-goers as they enter the caucuses at 6:30 in the evening.

2) The "pre-viability" count: Caucusers then sit through tedious minor issues and speeches before they finally divide up into groups supporting various candidates. If a candidate gets less than about 15 percent of the vote--or higher in some caucuses, as determined by to (needless to say) a complicated formula--that candidate's supporters are declared "non-viable" and must disperse. But for a brief, shining moment, before this "non-viability" is declared, the various groupings give a clear idea of the actual preferences of caucus-goers.

3) The "realigned" or post-viability count: Then the caucusers in non-viable groups go to their second choices, or to an "undecided" group. or to the "viable" candidate whose success will most screw the candidate they want to beat. Once all the non-viable candidates' votes have been vaporized and all the remaining groups are big enough to pass muster, you get another count--which is then immediately forgotten, because it is only used as the basis for calculating the delegate count.

4) The delegate count is derived from the realigned count --#3--but isn't necessarily an exact reflection thanks to yet more arcane rules--like the one requiring that every "viable" candidate get one delegate, or a rule penalizing precincts with low turnouts in previous years.

[maddezmom]

12. worked for me

lots of interesting info there, might want to check it out again. :)

[zanana]

2. 10:30, according to CNN

They said they should have the results by then.

[DoveTurnedHawk]

4. Eastern? Or Iowa Time? (eom)

DTH

[Cuban_Liberal]

9. 10:00 p.m., EST.

Just heard it on the local U. of I. radio station's newscast.

[cthrumatrix]

5. i saw a CNN show where they guesstimated 2 rounds of cuacussess

first instruction and a letter - 20 minutes

then two rounds of caucus (picking sides) 1/2 hour each


they telephone in the results with the phone keypad and data is collected.

so if they start at 7:30 EST...it could be 9- 9:30 ish (EST)

[Cuban_Liberal]

6. About 10:00 p.m., EST.

I just now heard the time on WILL-AM's news. :)

[dontomas]

10. According to the NYT...

The results should be in at 10 pm central.

[Rose Siding]

11. A series of numbers will be reported

This poly sci prof at Kos has some dope:
snip>
Voters will first have to parade through the media and entrance pollsters (which is the first result that you will hear); then herd themselves into a corner of group of likeminded people, and join the cause (this is the second tally number that you will hear); and then begins the process of debate, with each candidates precinct captains delivering speeches (for as long as they want) to convert others, and debate, bargaining, offerings to mow lawns -who knows- all happening. And then, after a couple of hours, the final groups are formed and their percentages are determined (this is the third tally you will hear); finally, the percentages will translated into delegates (this is the final result you will hear-- and the only one that matters).

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/1/19/164420/603

With the 6:30 central start time, maybe those first numbers come shortly? Sounds like an "entrance poll"

[bhunt70]

13. Who is Kaus? I find his preferences interesting.

"P.P.S.: Some emailers--not many!--have asked about my preferences. Right now,they are, in order: Edwards / Dean / Gephardt / Lieberman / a Bush-Clark tossup / the complete telephone books of all major American cities / Kerry. ...I'm a character voter, not an "issues" voter. Candidates will change their current "issues" positions after the election. New issues will crop up. The best handle we have to predict how a candidate will actually perform in office is character. ..."


I seriously dont know who he is (which doesnt make the information on the Iowa caucus invalid- just wondering what his deal is).

[windansea]

14. he's a writer

and is credited with starting the first blog

[bhunt70]

15. first ever, or first political blog?

[windansea]

16. first ever I think n/t

http://www.theagitator.com/archives/001179.php