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Edited on Wed Nov-03-04 12:10 PM by lapfog_1
"can't chalk it up to fraud"?
less than 3 percent of the PV is the difference between them.
Lets see...
1) NO dem/prog/green that I know or talked to was going to vote for * 2) MANY 2000 Nader voters that I know were voting for Kerry. 3) Polls indicated that new voters were breaking 60/40 for Kerry. 4) Many of the NON BASE rethugilcans (non Evangelicals) were not happy with shrub, not that they were voting Kerry, but many of my rethug friends were much more ho-hum about voting this year. 5) Both bases were extremely motivated... more so than in any election in my memory (I helped elect Carter).
So, where did these 3.5 M new votes for Bush come from? New voters? Or machines that can be told what to record. It's easy to rig them all. I think they did a dry run on the Max Cleland election, and went all out on this one.
The exit polls (Zogby, others) all had Kerry winning by a large margin. These polls USED to be very good are predicting... you aren't just sampling people willing to be sampled, you aren't restricting yourself to "likely voters" or registered voters" or "voters with wired phones and published numbers"... but you are counting the votes of people that voted... and who have no reason to mislead you. Do a large enough sample of those and it is VERY HARD to get it wrong. And certainly not as wrong as this seems to be. The only reasonable explanation is fraud. Massive fraud. Computer fraud. It's SO DAMN EASY to do.
All * had to do was keep it close (within 5 percent) as a really big Kerry margin WOULD be hard to conceal. But 5 percent? Easy.
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